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Joe Mixon Over 21.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Zay Flowers Over 52.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Gus Edwards Anytime Touchdown (-105)
Joe Burrow 225+ Passing Yards (-300)
Week 11 in the NFL kicks off with an intense division rivalry between the Cincinnati Bengals and the Baltimore Ravens. These are two of the hottest teams in the league as of the last few weeks. Cincinnati comes into this game with a 5-4 record, while Baltimore is 7-3.
The Bengals faced off against the Texans on Sunday, which ended up being one of the week's best games. Houston pulled out a close win with a field goal as time expired.
Joe Burrow has been slinging the ball down the field better than ever, and Ja’Marr Chase has been feeding off his success.
The Ravens are fresh off a last-second field goal loss to the Browns on Sunday. Lamar Jackson led the team in passing and rushing yards as he typically does in the loss.
Rookie wide receiver Zay Flowers has been a primary target lately, leading the team in receiving for the last couple of weeks.
Baltimore opened as a 3.5-point favorite at home on Thursday night. With two hot teams, this could be one of the best offensive games we’ve seen in primetime. Let’s get into our same-game parlay for the matchup!
We’re taking Joe Mixon over 21.4 receiving yards as the first leg of our SGP. Mixon is a portion of this Bengals offense. He has always been a pass catcher and a strong downhill runner.
Mixon has hit this over 21.5 in his three previous contests outside the Houston game. When these two teams played on September 17, the Bengals running back accumulated 36 receiving yards on just four catches.
He’s more than capable of hitting this target and has shown that multiple times this season. Baltimore is one of the better passing defenses in 2023, only giving up 173.1 passing yards per game.
When Burrow gets in trouble because of his mediocre offensive line, he will look for his reliable back to get the job done.
Zay Flowers, the Ravens rookie wide receiver out of Boston College, has stolen the spotlight in 2023. If it wasn’t for the success of Texans quarterback C.J. Stroud, he'd be a prime candidate for the Rookie of the Year award.
Flowers has accumulated 54.5 yards per game in just ten games and averages 10.9 yards per catch. Those are excellent numbers from a rookie who got off to a slow start.
Cincinnati’s defense is currently 24th in the league against the pass. The Bengals give up 247 passing yards per game on average.
Flowers should have plenty of targets in a close contest that may decide the division winner at the end of the season.
Ravens running back Gus Edwards has been the top scorer for this team for over a month. Edwards scored seven touchdowns in the last four weeks. We believe in trends, so we recommend riding the streak.
The Bengals have allowed nine rushing touchdowns in just nine games. Cincinnati has made a name for itself this season by not stopping the run. The defense currently ranks 29th in the league against rushing yards.
Edwards should succeed in this matchup and will be critical for his team in a close game. If Baltimore gets inside the five-yard line, look for Edwards to sneak in for his eighth touchdown in five weeks.
Burrow had a rough start to the season with injuries. This caused him to struggle, and bring early losses to the Bengals. However, in the last six weeks, Burrow has come alive.
He’s shown that he’s back into winning form, which is bad news for the Ravens.
Burrow has hit this adjusted over in four of his last five, and given the -300 odds for this leg, it’s a relatively safe wager.
The last time these two teams met in September, Burrow struggled with his ankle injury. He needed to be more expansive in the pocket.
Unfortunately, his movement was limited, which didn’t help his receivers get open down the field. He threw for 222 passing yards on a sprained ankle in that game.
Since that contest, he has returned better than ever and is finally making the downfield plays we’ve seen in the past.
Tanner Kern has been working in the betting industry since 2020. He currently is a social media content creator at DraftKings and contributes to multiple sites in addition to WSN, including Forbes and VSiN. He is also the cohost of the podcast Ride the Line at WSN.More info on Tanner Kern
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