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Steelers ML (-142)
Will Levis Over 202.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Najee Harris Under 45.5 Rushing Yards (-140)
DeAndre Hopkins Over 52.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
The Tennessee Titans will look to build off their momentum after beating the Falcons Sunday, 28-23. The Titans only won by five, but they dominated in nearly every phase of the game. The team was electrified by rookie quarterback Will Levis, and DeAndre Hopkins also came alive at receiver.
This week may be tougher on the road against the Steelers. Mike Tomlin has been a master at limiting young quarterbacks, and this will surely be his goal on Thursday Night Football.
We break down our Thursday Night Football SGP weekly on WSN. Check back every Wednesday, so you’re ready for TNF on Prime!
The Pittsburgh Steelers don’t do a lot of things well statistically. They have struggled on offense and defense this season in nearly every category. They’re allowing 401.4 yards per game, which is embarrassing because they have talent on the defensive side of the ball.
Pittsburgh is too good to give up this many yards per game with players like TJ Watt. However, the offense hasn’t played complementary football in 2023. Kenny Pickett, Najee Harris, and the entire Steelers offense have been horrendous.
They haven’t converted on third down consistently, and they’re only averaging 292 yards per game. They need to be better on offense, and we believe it has a chance to start against the Titans.
Will Levis had an electric debut for the Titans, but this is as good as it will get in his first few starts. He threw for four touchdowns, and the team only beat the Falcons by five. Pittsburgh is still a 4-3 team despite their horrendous stats. They find ways to win and have the advantage over the rookie quarterback. This game will be close, but in crunch time, we trust the experienced head coach Mike Tomlin. Mike Vrabel is a great head coach, but it’s hard to say Levis will go on the road and beat a Mike Tomlin coached team in his second start.
Even though we don’t believe the Titans will win on Thursday, it’s still hard not to take the over on Levis’ passing yards. This line is extremely low, considering Levis threw it all over the field on Sunday.
Levis was 19 of 29 for 238 yards with four touchdowns. He had a long completion of 61 yards and has the ability to do this once again versus the Steelers. The Steelers are bad against the run and pass, but their secondary has been one of the worst in the NFL.
The team is allowing 264.3 yards per game, and it hasn’t been against the best quarterbacks in the league. To give you some perspective, Jimmy Garoppolo threw for 324 yards against the Steelers.
Pittsburgh forced two turnovers in this game, and the script on Thursday may be similar. Yet, we still like Levis to have a big day throwing the ball.
Najee Harris has been a massive disappointment for the Steelers. Pittsburgh doesn’t have a great offensive line, but he hasn’t been able to figure it out running the football. He has carried the ball 84 times for 313 yards with just one touchdown in 2023.
He has exceeded this total once in his past three games. Last week, he carried the ball seven times for 13 yards and should have difficulty against one of the best defensive fronts in the NFL.
The Titans are allowing just over 100 rushing yards per game. Look for Harris to be limited by this defensive front and for the Steelers to throw the ball throughout the game.
DeAndre Hopkins had his best game on the season, with Levis throwing him the ball. He was targeted six times and made four catches for 128 yards and three touchdowns. Hopkins is one of the best deep threats in the NFL, and he proved this on Sunday.
Hopkins hauled in a 61-yard touchdown catch as well in the win so that he can hit this total on one catch against a bad Steelers defense. He has been around this number consistently with Ryan Tannehill, so Levis may just be the key to unlock his full receiving potential with frequent deep passes.
Tanner Kern has been working in the betting industry since 2020. He currently is a social media content creator at DraftKings and contributes to multiple sites in addition to WSN, including Forbes and VSiN. He is also the cohost of the podcast Ride the Line at WSN.More info on Tanner Kern
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