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We are approaching the midway point of the Premier League season and this midweek brings another round of fixtures.
We have focused our attention on the four games taking place on Wednesday, picking out the best prop bet for each of them.
You can check out our recommendations below, and do not forget to play along at home too. If you prefer to keep it simple, check out our guide to how to bet the moneyline.
The odds for Wednesday’s Premier League games have been supplied by the DraftKings sportsbook. Sign up today for up to a $1000 deposit bonus.
Both teams will view this match as a golden opportunity to get one over on a relegation rival. Southampton are bottom of the table and Nottingham Forest are 18th, so this is the type of game that is often labeled a ‘six-pointer’ because of its significance.
Despite that, we do not anticipate a cagey, low-scoring encounter. One reason for that is these two teams’ defensive records. Only Bournemouth have a worse defensive record than these sides, with Southampton conceding 32 goals and Forest letting in 34.
In that light, over 2.5 goals looks like pretty good value at a price listed above. Despite their struggles this season, both Southampton and Forest possess players who have what it takes to find the back of the net.
The latest media reports suggest David Moyes is not in danger of losing his job at West Ham yet, but a few more poor results could lead to a change in the dugout. The Hammers are outside the relegation zone on goal difference alone, having now lost five matches in a row on either side of World Cup 2022.
Leeds will be looking to take advantage of West Ham’s low confidence when the two teams go head-to-head at Elland Road on Wednesday. Jesse Marsch’s men produced a battling display at the weekend, holding in-form Newcastle United to a goalless draw away from home.
Leeds spent much of that match defending, but they should be able to show more as an attacking force against West Ham.
Despite a tough fixture schedule, Aston Villa have made a fine start to life under Unai Emery. The Spaniard has overseen victories over Manchester United, Brighton & Hove Albion, and Tottenham Hotspur, the latter of whom were beaten 2-0 by Villa on New Year’s Day. Emery’s side are now on the verge of climbing into the top half.
Yet although their upcoming opponents are lower in the table than the likes of United, Brighton, and Spurs, Wolves could be a tough nut to crack. Villa were able to play reactive soccer in those aforementioned wins, whereas here they will be obliged to take the initiative.
The wolves do not score many goals but their defensive record is far from the worst in the division. Villa will have to remain patient against their West Midlands rivals.
Tottenham’s poor form continued on New Year’s Day, as they went down 2-0 to Aston Villa at home. Spurs have now failed to win five of their last seven matches in the top flight, dropping out of the top four in the process. There have even been murmurings about whether Antonio Conte is still the right man for the job.
The spurs’ main weakness this season has been their tendency to start games slowly. Conte’s side have conceded the first goal on 11 occasions. Remarkably, only last-placed Southampton have done so more often.
Crystal Palace will be rejuvenated after a 2-0 victory over Bournemouth last time out, and they could take advantage of Tottenham’s chief shortcoming on Wednesday.
Season Dates: 5 August 2022 – 28 May 2023
How to Watch: USA Network, NBC Sports, Peacock Premium, fuboTV
Greg Lea is a freelance soccer journalist from London. He is the former editor of The Set Pieces, and has contributed to the Guardian, FourFourTwo, and ESPN. A Crystal Palace fan, he is a long-time subscriber to the belief that it's the taking part that counts. Email: [email protected]More info on Greg Lea
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