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Premier League Relegation Odds, Predictions, Picks 2024

Written by: Greg Lea
Fact-checked by: James Whitelock
Updated April 16, 2024
11 min read
  • The Premier League 2023/24 season began on August 11 and will end on May 19

  • The campaign will feature 38 rounds of fixtures spread over more than nine months

  • Leicester City, Leeds United and Southampton were relegated in 2022/23

The battle to avoid Premier League relegation in 2023/24 promises to be fierce, with a number of sides tipped to be involved in the demotion dogfight.

The three teams that finish below the dreaded dotted line will go down to the Championship, a fate every team in the top flight will be desperate to avoid.

Which three clubs will drop out of the Premier League in 2023/24? Check out the odds below, before we consider that very question.

Premier League Relegation 2023/24 Odds

The odds for the Premier League Relegation 2023/24 are provided by the DraftKings sportsbook, where you'll get $200 in Bonus Bets once you wager your first $5.

Premier League 2023/24 RelegationOdds
Burnley-2000
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Luton Town -185
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Nottingham Forest +225
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Everton +450
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Brentford+8000
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Crystal Palace +15000
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Relegation Premier League

Premier League Relegation 2023/24 Candidates

The best online sportsbooks are no longer offering odds on Sheffield United being relegated from the Premier League.

Burnley (-2000) at DraftKings

Burnley will be rueing some missed opportunities in recent weeks. Goalkeeping errors proved costly in both a 1-0 defeat by Everton and a 1-1 draw with Brighton & Hove Albion, leaving the Clarets six points adrift of safety.

Realistically, Vincent Kompany’s side must win a minimum of four of their remaining six games to stand a chance of survival. It is hard to see that happening given how easy Burnley have been to play against this term.

Luton Town (-185) at DraftKings

Luton Town have punched above their weight this season. Last year’s Championship play-off winners have been the best of the promoted bunch and are just one point adrift of 17th spot at the time of writing.

Luton’s run-in looks kind on paper: Rob Edwards’ men will not face another big-six team in 2023/24. However, they have won just one of their last 12 Premier League outings.

Nottingham Forest (+225) at DraftKings

Nottingham Forest were held to a 2-2 draw by Wolverhampton Wanderers last time out. They have been deducted four points for falling foul of the Premier League’s financial rules, leaving Nuno Espirito Santo's men just one point clear of the drop zone.

Forest will have earmarked away games against Everton, Burnley and Sheffield United as eminently winnable, but their record on the road has been poor since promotion.

Everton (+450) at DraftKings

Everton have been deducted eight points this season for breaching the Premier League's profit and sustainability rules. They would be almost safe had they not been punished in that manner.

Still, Sean Dyche’s side have won only one of their last 15 top-flight matches. They have some crunch clashes coming up, including against Nottingham Forest and Luton Town.

Brentford (+8000) at DraftKings

There was a palpable sense of relief at the Gtech Community Stadium when Brentford beat Sheffield United 2-0 last time out. That was their first victory in the Premier League in 10 matches and it moved the Bees seven points above the dreaded dotted line.

The job is not done yet, but Brentford are now outsiders to be relegated to the Championship. Thomas Frank will now be looking to make it back-to-back wins for the first time since November.

Crystal Palace (+15000) at DraftKings

Crystal Palace will feel they have done enough to begin planning for another season in the Premier League. A 1-0 victory over Liverpool on Sunday moved them eight points clear of the bottom three.

One more win would almost certainly be enough for Palace to get over the line. Oliver Glasner will soon begin to turn his attention to the summer.

How Does Relegation Work in the Premier League?

The Premier League is played on a double round-robin basis. Each team in the division plays every other side home and away, giving a total of 38 matches.

Three points are awarded for every win and one point for every tie. At the end of the campaign, the three sides with the fewest points are relegated.

As a result of this format, there is no fixed date when Premier League relegation is announced – that moment is simply confirmed when it is no longer mathematically possible for a team to finish 17th or higher.

The earliest confirmation of relegation from the Premier League came when Derby County’s fate was sealed on 29 March 2008.

What Does Relegation Mean in the Premier League?

Relegation ends a club’s participation in the Premier League. A team that is relegated will spend the following season in the Championship, the second tier of English soccer.

Relegation is an important part of the English soccer system, which makes it a key point of difference with MLS in the United States.

It is seen as essential to sporting integrity within the English soccer pyramid, and the vast majority of supporters of Premier League clubs would oppose the removal of relegation, even if it benefited their team.

The presence of relegation also makes the Premier League more entertaining. Because the division lacks a play-off system, the majority of clubs would have nothing to fight for if the threat of demotion was abolished. Relegation battles are sometimes even more dramatic and engaging than title races.

Which Clubs Were Relegated in the Premier League 2022/23?

Southampton were the first team relegated from the Premier League in 2022/23. Previously heralded as a model club, the Saints went through three different managers - Ralph Hasenhuttl, Nathan Jones, and Ruben Selles - on their way to the Championship.

Leeds United and Leicester City were relegated on the final day of the campaign. The Whites returned to the second tier after three years in the Premier League, while Leicester suffered a shock demotion.

Which Clubs Have Been Relegated the Most?

ClubNumber of Relegations
Norwich City6
West Bromwich Albion5
Crystal Palace4
Sunderland4
Middlesbrough4
Watford4
Leicester City 4
Birmingham City3
Burnley3
Bolton Wanderers3
Queens Park Rangers3
Nottingham Forest3
Hull City3
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Premier League Relegation FAQ

Which Premier League Teams Have Been Relegated?

Was the Premier League Called the Premiership?

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AUTHOR

Greg Lea

786 Articles

Greg Lea is a freelance soccer journalist from London. He is the former editor of The Set Pieces, and has contributed to the Guardian, FourFourTwo, and ESPN. A Crystal Palace fan, he is a long-time subscriber to the belief that it's the taking part that counts. Email: [email protected]

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