Premier League 2020/21 Relegation Odds, Predictions and Picks

Premier League Relegation

  • The three promoted clubs will be hoping to avoid an immediate return to the Championship
  • Some of last season’s mid-table finishers could be looking over their shoulders
  • The relegation battle looks set to be full of drama once again this term

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Premier League Relegation Odds

Odds taken 14 September 2020 from DraftKings

To be RelegatedOdds
West Bromwich Albion+250
Aston Villa+188
Crystal Palace+300
Brighton and Hove Albion+350
Leeds United+450
Sheffield United+400
West Ham United+250


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Premier League Relegation Predictions and Picks

As the odds suggest, around half of the Premier League’s 20 clubs could feasibly be involved in the fight to stay out of the drop zone this season. Three clubs will go down as usual, but it is particularly difficult to predict the identities of the unfortunate trio in 2020/21.

Fulham was promoted through the play-offs and could struggle to keep their heads above water. Elsewhere, Newcastle looks vulnerable despite comfortably avoiding demotion last time out, while Aston Villa could be set for another difficult campaign. Back those three to suffer relegation.


Fulham -139

Aston Villa +188

Newcastle +350

How to Watch Premier League

Premier League Information
What2020/21 Premier League season
When12 September 2020 – 23 May 2021
How to WatchNBC Sports

Fulham, West Brom, and Leeds Should All Be Happy With 17th

With a few notable exceptions, the promoted clubs usually enter a Premier League season with the sole objective of avoiding demotion. Sometimes they exceed expectations by finishing in the top half, as Sheffield United did last season, but first and foremost it is about securing top-tier status.

Leeds might feel differently this time around, having finally ended their 16-year absence from the division from the top flight under the guidance of Marcelo Bielsa. The Argentinian is a tremendous manager but he is also a temperamental character, which means nothing can be ruled out for the Whites this term. Leeds should have enough quality to steer clear of the bottom three, but Bielsa’s intense style might run into trouble given the condensed nature of the campaign.

West Brom finished second behind Leeds in 2019/20. Slaven Bilic did an excellent job last time out and the Baggies team is much fresher than it was when the club suffered relegation two years ago. Even so, there are question marks over whether there is enough proven Premier League quality within the ranks, while a lack of strength in depth will make this season an uphill struggle.

West Brom and Fulham are the bookmakers’ favorites for relegation. The Cottagers were extremely disappointing in this division two seasons ago, but Scott Parker has restored the club’s pride and will not make the same mistake of 2018/19 when Fulham tried to stay up with a bloated, incoherent squad. Expect Parker’s side to battle hard but ultimately come unstuck, particularly if they are unable to tighten up defensively.

Editor’s pick:

Cause for Concern for Aston Villa, Newcastle and Crystal Palace

Aston Villa survived by the skin of their teeth last term, with a 1-1 draw with West Ham on the final weekend seeing them finish just a point clear of 18th-placed Bournemouth. They will hope for a more comfortable campaign this time around, but there are reasons to believe the Villans could go down. Dean Smith’s side is heavily reliant on Jack Grealish, and a spell on the sidelines for the England international could be catastrophic. Villa scored too few goals and conceded too many in 2019/20 – a sure-fire recipe for disaster if it continues.

Newcastle was linked with a multi-million dollar takeover in the summer, only for the deal to fall apart. As such Steve Bruce will be working with much the same squad as the last term, a fact that has Magpies fans worried. Newcastle was feeble in attack for much of the campaign, creating too few chances and averaging only a goal a game. Bruce did a fine job in his first year in charge but he is still not that popular with supporters, while the failed takeover and continued ownership of Mike Ashley have also contributed to the doom and gloom around St James’ Park.

Crystal Palace ended last season in torrid form. A 1-1 draw with Tottenham Hotspur on the final day at least prevented an eight-game losing streak, but a return of one point from a possible 24 is relegation form – and then some. Roy Hodgson is usually a guarantor of safety but, now 73, it is unclear whether he would have the appetite for a long, drawn-out fight against the drop. Palace will rely on its defensive solidity to keep them clear of danger, but a lower mid-table finish will surely be the height of their ambitions.

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Sheffield United and West Ham Could Be Outside Picked for the Drop

Burnley and Brighton are also included in the top 10 for relegation odds, but both should survive. Sean Dyche has shown time and time again that he knows what it takes to keep the Clarets up, and while their squad may lack a little stardust it is high on grit, determination, and discipline. Brighton, meanwhile, should be stronger in Graham Potter’s second season than they were last term.

For outside picks, consider Sheffield United and West Ham. The former was the surprise package in finishing ninth in 2019/20, and that placing was far from a fluke – the Blades played some excellent football at times and have kept their squad intact. However, United will be fighting against second-season syndrome this season, with opposition managers now better prepared to face their unusual system. Chris Wilder’s charges should ultimately avoid the drop, but a slow start would have their supporters worried.

West Ham finished five points clear of the bottom three last campaign, as David Moyes fulfilled his remit of keeping the club in the division. Yet West Ham’s squad does not seem to have been assembled with an overriding style or idea in mind, and that could work to their disadvantage as the season unfolds. Again, the Hammers should have enough quality to stay up but it might not be smooth sailing.

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Greg Lea

Expert on Soccer

Greg Lea is a freelance soccer journalist from London. He is the former editor of The Set Pieces, and has contributed to the Guardian, FourFourTwo, and ESPN. A Crystal Palace fan, he is a long-time subscriber to the belief that it's the taking part that counts.

Email: [email protected]