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Premier League Relegation Odds, Predictions, Picks 2024

Written by: Greg Lea
Fact-checked by: James Whitelock
Updated April 23, 2024
11 min read
  • The Premier League 2023/24 season began on August 11 and will end on May 19

  • The campaign will feature 38 rounds of fixtures spread over more than nine months

  • Leicester City, Leeds United and Southampton were relegated in 2022/23

The battle to avoid Premier League relegation in 2023/24 promises to be fierce, with a number of sides tipped to be involved in the demotion dogfight.

The three teams that finish below the dreaded dotted line will go down to the Championship, a fate every team in the top flight will be desperate to avoid.

Which three clubs will drop out of the Premier League in 2023/24? Check out the odds below, before we consider that very question.

Premier League Relegation 2023/24 Odds

The odds for the Premier League Relegation 2023/24 are provided by the DraftKings sportsbook, where you'll get $200 in Bonus Bets once you wager your first $5.

Premier League 2023/24 RelegationOdds
Burnley-1000
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Luton Town-280
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Nottingham Forest+150
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Everton+1200
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Brentford+25000
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Crystal Palace+25000
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Relegation Premier League

Premier League Relegation 2023/24 Candidates

The best online sportsbooks are no longer offering odds on Sheffield United being relegated from the Premier League.

Burnley (-1000) at DraftKings

Burnley kept their slim survival hopes alive at the weekend with a crucial 4-1 defeat of Sheffield United. Despite that much-needed win, the Clarets have a mountain to climb in their bid for a great escape.

Three points adrift of safety and with the worst goal difference of the various relegation candidates, Burnley may need to win three of their remaining four matches to keep their heads above water. For now at least, Vincent Kompany’s side are still fighting.

Luton Town (-280) at DraftKings

Luton Town have punched above their weight this season. Last year’s Championship play-off winners have been the best of the promoted bunch and are just one point adrift of 17th spot at the time of writing.

Luton’s run-in looks kind on paper: Rob Edwards’ men will not face another big-six team in 2023/24. However, they have won just one of their last 13 Premier League outings and were thumped 5-1 by Brentford at the weekend.

Nottingham Forest (+150) at DraftKings

Nottingham Forest suffered a 2-0 defeat by Everton at the weekend, leaving them right in the relegation mix. Nuno Espirito Santo’s side are only one point above the drop zone as we approach the end of the campaign.

Forest must face Manchester City in their next game, so that will not be easy. Nuno will be looking at clashes with Sheffield United and Burnley as opportunities to get some points on the board.

Everton (+1200) at DraftKings

Everton have been deducted eight points this season for breaching the Premier League's profit and sustainability rules. They would be almost safe had they not been punished in that manner, but Sean Dyche’s side will fancy their chances of staying up regardless. 

After a recent 13-game winless streak, Everton have now won back-to-back home matches against Burnley and Nottingham Forest. Those results have seen Dyche’s side pull five points clear of Luton Town in 18th.

Brentford (+25000) at DraftKings

There was a palpable sense of relief at the Gtech Community Stadium when Brentford beat Sheffield United 2-0 in their most recent home game. In their next outing on the road, the Bees thrashed Luton Town 5-1.

Thomas Frank’s side can now celebrate survival, even if the mathematics says otherwise. As things stand, Brentford have a substantial 10-point buffer above the bottom three as the finish line comes into view.

Crystal Palace (+25000) at DraftKings

Crystal Palace will feel they have done enough to begin planning for another season in the Premier League. Back-to-back victories over Liverpool and West Ham United have lifted Oliver Glasner’s men 11 points clear of the drop zone.

Even if they do not take another point this term, Palace will be a top-flight team next term. Glasner will hope to push on in 2024/25 rather than being involved in a relegation battle.

How Does Relegation Work in the Premier League?

The Premier League is played on a double round-robin basis. Each team in the division plays every other side home and away, giving a total of 38 matches.

Three points are awarded for every win and one point for every tie. At the end of the campaign, the three sides with the fewest points are relegated.

As a result of this format, there is no fixed date when Premier League relegation is announced – that moment is simply confirmed when it is no longer mathematically possible for a team to finish 17th or higher.

The earliest confirmation of relegation from the Premier League came when Derby County’s fate was sealed on 29 March 2008.

What Does Relegation Mean in the Premier League?

Relegation ends a club’s participation in the Premier League. A team that is relegated will spend the following season in the Championship, the second tier of English soccer.

Relegation is an important part of the English soccer system, which makes it a key point of difference with MLS in the United States.

It is seen as essential to sporting integrity within the English soccer pyramid, and the vast majority of supporters of Premier League clubs would oppose the removal of relegation, even if it benefited their team.

The presence of relegation also makes the Premier League more entertaining. Because the division lacks a play-off system, the majority of clubs would have nothing to fight for if the threat of demotion was abolished. Relegation battles are sometimes even more dramatic and engaging than title races.

Which Clubs Were Relegated in the Premier League 2022/23?

Southampton were the first team relegated from the Premier League in 2022/23. Previously heralded as a model club, the Saints went through three different managers - Ralph Hasenhuttl, Nathan Jones, and Ruben Selles - on their way to the Championship.

Leeds United and Leicester City were relegated on the final day of the campaign. The Whites returned to the second tier after three years in the Premier League, while Leicester suffered a shock demotion.

Which Clubs Have Been Relegated the Most?

ClubNumber of Relegations
Norwich City6
West Bromwich Albion5
Crystal Palace4
Sunderland4
Middlesbrough4
Watford4
Leicester City 4
Birmingham City3
Burnley3
Bolton Wanderers3
Queens Park Rangers3
Nottingham Forest3
Hull City3
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Premier League Relegation FAQ

Which Premier League Teams Have Been Relegated?

Was the Premier League Called the Premiership?

How Can I Watch the Premier League on TV?

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AUTHOR

Greg Lea

786 Articles

Greg Lea is a freelance soccer journalist from London. He is the former editor of The Set Pieces, and has contributed to the Guardian, FourFourTwo, and ESPN. A Crystal Palace fan, he is a long-time subscriber to the belief that it's the taking part that counts. Email: [email protected]

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