WNBA Player Props and Best Bets for Sunday, July 7

Written by: Travis Pulver
Published July 7, 2024
6 min read

The WNBA wants to help fans and bettors wrap up their weekends with a full day of basketball, betting lines, and player props. Atlanta and Connecticut get things started at 1 p.m. ET, followed by Dallas vs. Las Vegas, Chicago taking on Seattle, and concluding with Phoenix visiting Las Angeles.

Not sure where to put your money? Take a look at our favorite WNBA player props for each of today’s four games.

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Best WNBA Prop Bets 2024 07 07

Atlanta Dream vs. Connecticut Sun

  • Location: Mohegan Sun Arena in Uncasville, CT

  • Game Time & Date: 1 p.m. ET on Sunday, July 7

  • Coverage: WNBA League Pass

  • Point Spread: Sun -11.5 (odds via FanDuel)

Alyssa Thomas, OVER 22.5 Pts. + Reb at -102 via FanDuel

Thomas treated fans and bettors to a stellar performance in her last game. She recorded a triple-double (13 points, 10 rebounds, and 14 assists), reminiscent of her MVP-caliber season last year.

Her results against the Dream this season have been decent but not exceptional: 14 points, seven rebounds, and eight assists on June 28 and eight points,14 rebounds, and 11 assists on June 2. At home, she averages 11.8 points and 9.4 rebounds.

We can see her doing more of one and a little less of the other in this game, but the total of the two will be over 22.5

Tina Charles, UNDER 15.5 Points at -114 via FanDuel

Charles has averaged 17+ points in her last eight games, including a 14-point night against the Sun in Atlanta. When these two teams played in Connecticut earlier in the month, she had 12. While she has been scoring points lately, the Sun has the best home defense in the WNBA (71 ppg allowed).

After recording a big win over the Lynx on Thursday, the Sun will do whatever it takes to keep the good times rolling. Bettors and fans can expect a solid defensive performance in front of a home crowd. That means the Dream will not score a lot, and neither will players like Charles.

Bet on Dream vs Sun Props at FanDuel 

Dallas Wings vs. Las Vegas Aces

  • Location: Michelob ULTRA Arena in Las Vegas, NV

  • Game Time & Date: 3:30 p.m. ET on Sunday, July 7

  • Coverage: ESPN

  • Point Spread: Aces -15 (odds via bet365)

A’ja Wilson, OVER 26.5 Points at -120 via bet365

Quite a few signs point towards betting the UNDER on this one. Wilson averages fewer points at home (25.4 ppg) than on the road (29.1 ppg). Look at her last five home games, and the UNDER looks appealing (23 ppg). She had 36 when these teams last met (@ Dallas, June 5).

However, the Dallas defense is atrocious and giving up 96 ppg in their last five road games. Wilson and the Aces offense are going to eat them alive.

Kelsey Plum, OVER 18.5 Points at -130 via bet365

  • To Score 25+ at +290

Plum led the team in scoring in recent home wins over Washington (28) and Indiana (34) and has averaged 20.4 ppg at home this season. Factor that in with Dallas’s abysmal defense this season (especially on the road), and there is value in taking her to score 25+ at +290.

Arike Ogunbowale, UNDER 22.5 Points at -115 via bet365

The last time the Wings and Aces met, Ogunbowale lit up the Vegas defense for 31 points, but at home in Arlington. At that point in the season, Vegas was struggling on defense. That is not the case anymore, as the Aces have allowed 73 ppg in their last five at home.

Ogunbowale will lead the way for Dallas vs. Las Vegas, but she will not score more than 20.

Bet on Wings vs Aces Props at bet365 

Chicago Sun vs. Seattle Storm

  • Location: Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle, WA

  • Game Time & Date: 6 p.m. ET on Sunday, July 7

  • Coverage: WNBA League Pass

  • Point Spread: Storm -9 (odds via bet365)

Angel Reese, OVER 10.5 Rebounds at -125 via bet365

  • To Record a Double-Double at -150 (not to record +120)

Reese lit up the Storm defense in Seattle for 27 points and 10 rebounds on Friday. She will probably not score as well this time, but until she doesn’t record a double-double, bet on her to do so (if you bet that she will not, the odds are +120).

As for her rebounding numbers, Reese just pulled down ten on Friday vs. Seattle. While that number is under the total by a half-game, Reese had 11+ in her last seven and hasn’t had fewer than 10 since May. She’ll probably score less in this game but will pull down a few more boards.

Jewell Loyd, UNDER 28.5 Pts + Reb + Asst at -105 via bet365

Loyd has averaged 19.9 ppg, 5.2 rebounds, and 3.8 assists per game this season. She is capable of going over the listed total with just scoring, but then she failed even to come close when these teams played on Friday (13 points, two rebounds, and five assists).

Chicago is playing well right now, especially on defense. They’ll succeed in keeping Loyd in check enough to keep him from going OVER this total.

Bet on Sun vs Storm Props at bet365 

Phoenix Mercury vs. Los Angeles Sparks

  • Location: crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles, CA

  • Game Time & Date: 7 p.m. ET on Sunday, July 7

  • Coverage: WNBA League Pass

  • Point Spread: Mercury -3.5 (odds via bet365)

Kahleah Copper, OVER 22.5 at -115 via bet365

  • To Score 25+ Points at +140

Copper is one of the top scorers in the league this season, with an average of 22.4 ppg (third best). She does a hair better at home, with 23 ppg. However, she has been a bit sporadic recently, scoring 34 her last time out and 21 in the game prior, followed by seven-, 24-, and nine-point games.

But she’ll be facing a Sparks defense that has not played well at home (83.6 ppg, eighth-best). They’ve struggled even more in their last five home games (87.5 ppg allowed). Against that defense, she’ll score more than 22.5 points, and there is value in her scoring 25+ at +140.

Dearica Hamby, OVER 19.5 Points at -115 via bet365

Hamby played a significant role in the Sparks recording a 98-93 OT upset of the Aceson Friday with 28 points and 14 rebounds. She’s averaging 18.8 ppg this season but has done exceptionally well against the Mercury. She scored 29 in Phoenix (June 28) and had 23 earlier in the month.

In three of her last four, Hamby recorded 20+ points. Against a Phoenix defense giving up 84.7 ppg (ninth best) this season, she should score at least 20.

Bet on Mercury vs Sparks Props at bet365 

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Travis Pulver

Sports Betting Analyst

Expertise:
NCAAB
WNBA
Betting Picks
Travis Pulver is a lifelong football fan, something he says comes naturally having been born in the football-crazy state of Texas. Through the years, Pulver's love of sports has extended into baseball, basketball, golf, and rugby. Life currently finds him in Indiana with his wife and two kids.
Nationality: American
Education: M.A. in Political Science
Favourite Sportsbook: FanDuel Sportsbook
Favourite Casino: FanDuel Casino
Experience:
17 years
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