The co-hosts enter this encounter level on points with their counterpart in a crucial fixture. Canada enters its Group B contest as the favoured side once again, but this is not expected to be a straightforward contest as Qatar punched above its weight in its opening tilt, producing a shocking result.
Despite both nations being locked in even on points, most World Cup predictions have The Canucks as the heavy favorite to secure all three points for a first-ever World Cup win, but Qatar fancy their chances too.
Location: BC Place, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
Date & Time: Thursday, June 18, 6 pm ET
How to Watch: FS1
| Sportsbook | Home (Canada) | Draw | Away (Qatar) |
|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | -380 | +480 | +1100 |
| DraftKings | -360 | +475 | +1000 |
| BetMGM | -370 | +450 | +1000 |
| Caesars | -380 | +450 | +950 |
| Disclaimer: The odds listed in this table are accurate at the time of writing and will fluctuate as game day approaches. | |||
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Below are our three top tips for Canada vs. Qatar, including two straight bets and one same-game parlay.
Canada to win
Jesse Marsch has instilled a front-foot, high-intensity style of play in this Canadian squad, making them a dangerous opponent and strong contenders to claim all three points. Canada will also benefit from playing on home soil once again, with the backing of a passionate home crowd providing a significant boost. Their opening match saw Les Rouges create multiple grade A chances, but they couldn’t convert in the moment. Their Achilles heel will be their finishing; that said, with Canada’s style of play, they should get the job done. The only time these two met, Canada won 2-0.
Jonathan David has two or more shots on target
Despite a rough outing, in which Canada’s leading man failed to get on the scoreboard, we feel that he will still be the focal point of the attack. Against Bosnia and Herzegovina, the Juventus striker from Serie A took three shots, one of which hit the target. Facing a less stubborn defensive side while wanting to prove the doubters wrong, he could have a lively performance that would earn him the coach's trust.
Canada to win and under 3.5 goals
A combination of the co-hosts winning and under 4 tallies being recorded is a same-game parlay with a strong chance of winning. Neither counterpart is prone to featuring in high-scoring affairs despite Canada’s appetite to push forward. Canada is no Switzerland, but Qatar couldn’t generate much offence, producing only 0.60 xG. As -350 ish moneyline favorites, the bookies perceive Canada as having a greater than 75 percent chance of winning.
Entering matchday two, Canada has won only one of its previous five matches, but on a positive note, it has avoided the loss column during that period. As previously stated, Canada has had difficulty breaching the opposing keeper, netting only 6 goals in their last 5, which is why we were using the under 3.5 goals in our same-game parlay and why the Canada odds to win World Cup glory remain quite long.
Missing in action is one player who could help turn Canada's fortunes around: its captain, Alphonso Davies. The 25-year-old has not appeared on the pitch since suiting up for Bayern Munich on May 5. His status is still questionable for Thursday’s match, but post-game, after Canada’s opener, word is he will make an appearance on bc place soil in either the two remaining matches, barring any major setbacks.
Canada’s depth proved decisive against Bosnia and Herzegovina, as Jesse Marsch’s second-half substitutions shifted the tempo of the match. Cyle Larin, who scored Canada’s first World Cup goal on home soil, quickly made his presence felt. Meanwhile, Ali Ahmed’s blistering runs down the flank repeatedly forced defenders onto the back foot and created dangerous attacking opportunities.
This marks the first time Qatar has qualified for the FIFA World Cup as a non-host nation, having earned its place through the qualification process after hosting the previous tournament. Julen Lopetegui and his men joined Group B as the lowest-ranked side according to the pre-tournament World Cup Group Stage odds, but with Saturday’s result, they looked capable of going toe-to-toe with anyone.
Qatar gutted out a cagey 1-1 draw against Switzerland in the sweltering heat. They managed to stay competitive throughout the 90-minute clash without letting the scoreline get out of reach. Levelling the match at the death, Qatar made history, cataloguing its first-ever World Cup result, similar to what their counterpart achieved the day prior.
Despite picking up a yellow card that led to Switzerland being awarded a penalty and scoring, between the sticks, Mahmud Abunada was solid. The 26-year-old managed to stop five shots, all inside the box, successfully. Switzerland were punished by the netminders' crucial stops, which can be an issue for Canada, a side that lacks the cutting edge.
Under Jesse Marsch, Canada typically plays a high-intensity, vertical style built on pressing, quick transitions, and direct attacking movement. Meanwhile, Qatar prioritises structure and discipline. Their strength is in keeping matches tight, limiting the opposition's chances, frustrating them, and creating impatience.
What Qatar lacks in players performing in Europe’s top-flight divisions, they make up for with a strong bond: several of their players come from their domestic league, and familiarity and alignment aren’t an issue for them. This cohesion, along with their confidence beaming, made Canada’s chances of a must-win to reach the knockout stages a bit tougher.
Canada has the historical backing, having won its only encounter against Qatar, 2-0, in a World Cup tune-up back in 2022. Both programs have grown since then, as Qatar is a two-time defending AFC Asian Cup winner.
The key factor in this matchup is whether Canada can capitalize on its scoring opportunities. If it does, Qatar could be in for a long afternoon. Canada’s attacking style naturally generates chances, as the team is constantly looking to push forward and play on the front foot when in possession. Jesse Marsch also travelled to San Francisco to scout Qatar firsthand. Given his attention to detail and tactical acumen, expect Canada to be well-prepared.
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