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LIV Golf Miami Predictions: All Eyes Set on Jon Rahm

Written by: Matt Cooper
Published April 4, 2024
8 min read
  • Donald Trump’s Doral resort in Florida hosts 

  • Dustin Johnson, Phil Mickelson, and Patrick Reed are all course winners

  • Jon Rahm warms up for his defense of the Masters green jacket

LIV Golf Miami Odds

Odds from bet365 Sportsbook. Click the odds below to place your bets at bet365 and claim $1,000 First Bet Safety Net or Bet $5 Get $150.

Player Odds 
Jon Rahm +650
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Joaquin Niemann +750
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Bryson DeChambeau +1000
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Cameron Smith  +1400
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Dustin Johnson +1400
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Talor Gooch +1600
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Tyrrell Hatton +1600
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Brooks Koepka +1600
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Louis Oosthuizen +2200
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Paul Casey +2500
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LIV Golf Miami Picks and Predictions

For more betting opportunities, check out our curated list of the best golf betting sites and apps!

LIV Golf Miami Predictions

LIV Golf Miami Intro

Make no mistake: This is a big week for LIV Golf.

Twelve months ago, the rebel circuit prepared for the first Masters in the LIV era, and there was much talk in the game that their players would be underprepared.

Instead, Brooks Koepka very nearly won, he shared second with Phil Mickelson, and Patrick Reed was tied for fourth.

The players were fired up to prove their worth and they will be again this week, playing on a course that has proved to be a fine pointer for Augusta winners in the past.

Indeed, Doral hosted the PGA Tour up to 2016, and in the years 2012 to 2016 four of the five men who won the Masters had finished top three at Doral just weeks before.

Who will take the honors this week and join the favorites for the Masters? Let’s find out.

The Blue Monster at Trump National Doral Winners

Year Champion and Winning Score
2016 Adam Scott (Australia) -12
2015 Dustin Johnson (U.S.A.) -9
2014 Patrick Reed (U.S.A.) -4
2013 Tiger Woods (U.S.A.) -19
2012 Justin Rose (England) -16
2011 Nick Watney (U.S.A.) -16
2010 Ernie Els (South Africa) -18
2009 Phil Mickelson (U.S.A.) -19
2008 Geoff Ogilvy (Australia) -17
2007 Tiger Woods (U.S.A.) –10

Blue Monster at Trump National Doral Course Notes

  • The course is a par 72 that plays to 7,701 yards

  • It was a long-time host of the PGA Tour

  • Scoring is determined by wind strength

  • Water is a significant threat on 11 holes

  • It is a typical Florida resort course

  • There is Bermuda grass on the greens

  • Tiger Woods was a seven-time winner on the course

Favorites to Win the LIV Golf Miami

Jon Rahm (+650) at bet365

Two factors will continue to bug the Spaniard as he nears his defense of the green jacket. The first is that he had added no win since his triumph at Augusta National this time last year. The second is that in his four LIV starts he has been in the top five on the leaderboard with 18 holes to play and he is yet to improve on his position in the final round. Is it a coincidence or a trend?

Joaquin Niemann (+700) at bet365

There was no win last time out in Hong Kong for the red-hot Chilean but he carded a brilliant final round of 63 to finish fourth. It was his eighth top-10 finish in his last nine starts, a run that includes victories in the Australian Open, LIV Mayakoba, and LIV Jeddah. The only weakness in his case is an ordinary record in Florida: Just one top-20 (8th) in 12 starts in the Sunshine State.

Bryson DeChambeau (+1000) at bet365

The big-hitter is no stranger to success in Florida having finished first, second, and fourth at Bay Hill in the Arnold Palmer Invitational and third at TPC Sawgrass in THE PLAYERS Championship. Moreover, Bay Hill was designed by Dick Wilson who also created the Blue Monster. He finished sixth at LIV Hong Kong which was a third top 10 in a row.

Rahm Raider

The Spaniard has made 10 starts in Florida and he is yet to record a top-five finish but there are good reasons to believe that will change this week.

The main one is that when courses get longer, Rahm plays better.

Consider the evidence - all of these courses were over 7,600 yards:

The Earth Course at Jumeirah: Rahn’s made five starts and has five top-five finishes including three wins.

Torrey Pines in California: he’s made eight starts and has seven top-seven finishes including two wins.

Medinah, Kiawah Island, Congaree: he’s made one start on each of them and finished top-five every time.

Even his win at the Masters last year was on a layout stretched beyond 7,500 yards and he’ll be desperate to return to Augusta in the best of form.

Take the +650 for the win at bet365.

Burmester a Good Fot

South Africa’s Dean Burmester is another golfer who has enjoyed the long test of the Earth Course at Jumeirah.

He was fourth there in both 2017 and 2018, sixth in 2021, and even his one “failure” was 14th in 2020.

He was a two-time winner on the DP World Tour before Christmas, opened the 2024 LIV season with third in Mayakoba, and was 9th last time out in Hong Kong.

The clincher is that he was third in LIV’s previous visit to Florida this time last year.

He’s an excellent each-way option (five places) at +2800 with Caesars Sportsbook.

Reed in a Sweet Spot

Patrick Reed - aka Captain America - is a former course winner who might have been overlooked this week.

He won the Cadillac Championship, his first win on the PGA Tour, at Doral back in 2014 and it must surely hold fond memories for him.

He’s had a slow start to 2024 but was fourth last time out in the International Series Macau and was third alongside Bursmester this time last year in Florida.

Take him at +260 for a top 10 with bet365.

How to Watch LIV Golf Miami

  • Tournament: LIV Golf Miami

  • Location: The Blue Monster Course at Trump National Doral

  • Date: Friday, April 5 - Sunday, April 7

  • How to Watch: Friday on the CW App. LIV Golf Plus and Caffeine. Saturday-Sunday on The CW Network, CW App, and LIV Golf Plus.

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AUTHOR

Matt Cooper

67 Articles

Matt Cooper has been a sports journalist since 2009 with his work appearing at ESPN, Sky Sports, NBC, Sporting Life and the Planet Sport Network among many others, in addition to guest appearances on the BBC and CNN. Although a specialist in golf, who has traveled the world to cover the sport, Matt has also covered rugby, cricket, football and the Olympics. Email: [email protected]

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