LIV Golf Miami Predictions: DJ Can Spin a Tune

• Jon Rahm has now made 16 straight top-10 finishes on LIV

• South Africa’s Dean Burmester defends the title

• Trump National Doral’s Blue Monster Course hosts

LIV Golf Miami Odds

Odds from bet365 Sportsbook. Sign up for a bet365 account with our promo code WSN365 and claim your bonus: Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets Win or Lose

LIV Golf Miami Picks and Predictions

• Dustin Johnson each way at +3500 with bet365

• Sergio Garcia each way at +1600 with Caesars Sportsbook

• Paul Casey top 20 at -150 with bet365

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LIV Golf Miami Intro

It was once the case that the Blue Monster Course at Trump National Doral was a key stopping-off point on the road to the first major championship of the year - the Masters at Augusta National.

The layout hosted the Doral Open, an event that later became the Cadillac Championship, and was won by the likes of Jack Nicklaus, Ben Crenshaw, Nick Faldo, Tiger Woods, Phil Mickelson, Patrick Reed, and Dustin Johnson.

All of those golfers not only won at Doral they also won Green Jackets at the Masters.

Moreover, the likes of Mike Weir, Bubba Watson, and Zach Johnson nearly won at Doral shortly before winning at Augusta National.

To some degree, the course also worked as a pointer last year.

Bryson DeChambeau was seventh at Doral ahead of being the first-round leader at Augusta, Tyrrell Hatton was fourth before landing a first-ever Masters top 10 and Patrick Reed was ninth before finishing T12 in the event he won in 2018.

So, while it’s important to find winners this week, it’s also worth using this week as a guide for next week’s showpiece at the end of Magnolia Lane.

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Winners at Trump National Doral

Blue Monster, Trump National Doral Notes

• It is a par-72 that plays to 7,701 yards

• It is a typical Florida resort design with water a threat on 11 holes

• The key course defenses are the blustery wind and grainy greens

• Dean Burmester defeated Sergio Garcia in a playoff last year

• Tiger Woods loved the Blue Monster - he won there seven times

Contenders to win LIV Golf Miami

Jon Rahm (+650) at bet365

The Spaniard never got to play the Blue Monster when it was a PGA Tour venue, but he looked a neat fit when carding 69-70-69 to finish fourth last year. It was, however, his career-best finish in Florida. It also remains something of an oddity that despite never finishing outside the top 10 on LIV - and not outside the top six since July last year - he’s only won twice.

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Joaquin Niemann (+700) at bet365

While Rahm is 2-for-16 at winning on LIV since the start of 2024, the Chilean is 4-for-17. Furthermore, he has won two of his last three starts on LIV at Adelaide and - last time out - Singapore. On both occasions, he closed with sensational laps of 65. He does have something in common with Rahm, though: an average record in Florida with no top-five in 13 starts.

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Tyrrell Hatton (+1000) at bet365

The Englishman has a better Florida record than Rahm and Niemann with seven top-four finishes from 17 starts including a victory at Bay Hill in the 2020 Arnold Palmer Invitational and fourth in last year’s LIV Miami. A bigger worry is his form because his last three results read: T23 in Adelaide, T20 in Hong Kong, and T19 in Singapore.

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DJ Can Spin a Tune

This is a tricky heat in many ways, not least because there are a host of favorites with poor records in Florida.

As a consequence, it’s possible to turn to Dustin Johnson with plenty of interest.

He’s very experienced on the Blue Monster and his record there is excellent.

He was the 54-hole leader when second in 2011.

He was the halfway leader when fourth in 2014.

He was a fine winner in 2015.

He was also second after 36 and 54 holes when 14th in 2016.

There’s absolutely no doubt that since winning LIV Jeddah last February he has been poor but he carded a brilliant Friday 63 last time out.

It earned him the first round lead before he drifted to fifth but he can kick on from that.

He’s the pick of the bigger-priced each-way options at +3500 with bet365.

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Garcia Can Hit Augusta Hot

We’ll add the man who last year was the unlucky loser in extra holes.

It was Sergio Garcia’s third top three finish at Doral and he’s in excellent form.

It was also his eight top three finish in Florida (a log book that includes victory in the 2008 Players Championship).

He also has five top three finishes since the start of 2024 including victory in LIV Hong Kong last month.

Fourth last time out in Macau on the International Series back him each-way with Caesars Sportsbook at +1600.

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Casey Can Crack Top 20

Since the start of 2024, the Englishman Paul Casey hasn’t often threatened to win on LIV but he has been mighty consistent.

Put simply, he’s finished top 20 in 12 of his 17 starts.

One of those top 20s came in this event last year - he was 14th.

It was his sixth top 20 in 10 starts on the Blue Monster at Doral.

We’ll back him to rack up another top 20 with his price -150 at bet365.

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How to Watch LIV Golf Miami

• Tournament: LIV Golf Miami

• Location: Blue Monster Course, Trump National Doral, Florida

• Date: FRIDAY APRIL 4 - SUNDAY APRIL 6

• How to watch: On the LIV Golf app, Fox Sports in the US, ITVX in the UK, and the Seven Network in Australia.