Netherlands vs. England Prediction: Euro 2024 Final Awaits for Winner

Written by: Greg Lea
Published July 9, 2024
6 min read
  • The Netherlands came from behind to beat Turkey 2-1 in the quarter-finals

  • England edged out Switzerland in a penalty shoot-out last time out

  • The winner of Wednesday’s semi-final will advance to the Euro 2024 showpiece

Netherlands vs. England Odds

The odds for Netherlands vs England are provided by the FanDuel Sportsbook, which gives punters $150 in bonus bets when you wager $5.

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Netherlands +134
England -110
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Netherlands vs England Pick

Back the Netherlands to reach the final of Euro 2024. England have been mediocre up to now and their luck could run out on Wednesday.

Bet on Netherlands (+134) at FanDuel 

Netherlands vs England Euro 2024 Prediction

Netherlands Growing into Tournament but Questions Remain

Now that only eight teams are eliminated from the European Championship in the group stage, it is perfectly possible to advance to the round of 16 without being overly convincing. Most famously, Portugal failed to win any of their group games in 2016, but that did not prevent them going on to lift the trophy in France. 

The Netherlands did better in their group this year than Portugal did eight years back. For starters, they actually won a game, even if a late winner was required to see off Poland on matchday one. A creditable goalless draw with France followed before the Dutch were defeated 3-2 by Austria to finish third in Group D.

Perhaps that was not a bad thing. The Netherlands ended up on the easier side of the bracket and promptly eased past Romania 3-0 in the round of 16. They were made to work a little harder last time out, falling behind to Turkey in the quarter-finals, but two goals in the second half earned Ronald Koeman’s charges a 2-1 victory.

The Netherlands have grown into this tournament. Pessimism abounded after that defeat by Austria, but that was a pretty even game on chances created. Romania and Turkey are not the toughest opponents in the knockout phase of a major competition, but the Dutch have performed better than the likes of England and France from the round of 16 onwards.

Koeman looks to have settled on a favored XI and system. It is not perfect and the Netherlands can still be got at defensively, but there is a much better balance to the team now than in their first outing of the summer. 

The Netherlands have not reached the final of a European Championship since 1988 when they went on to lift the trophy. That tournament was held in West Germany and the Dutch will hope that proves to be a good omen.

Bet on Netherlands vs France at FanDuel 

England Continue to Dig Out Results at European Championship

England are still waiting to find their stride at this tournament. Perhaps they never will. But that does not mean they are incapable of going all the way. Two more victories will make Gareth Southgate’s side king of the continent. If they go on to claim the prize in Berlin on Sunday, no one will be talking about their performances over the course of the Euros.

Yet performances and results are not mutually exclusive. England have ridden their luck up to now and the concern for Southgate is that their good fortune could run out at any moment. A penalty shoot-out saw them squeeze past Switzerland in the quarter-finals, but that was another game in which England failed to impress.

The issue is in attack. Key individuals have been subdued, most notably Harry Kane. But it is a structural problem too. England do not seem to have an attacking plan. That often leads to them sending hopeful crosses into the box. 

England also have a worrying habit of sitting deep after they have scored a goal. This has happened against Serbia, Denmark, Slovakia and Switzerland. It seems like an instinctive response to going ahead, but it invites pressure and puts the defense under pressure.

Southgate switched to a 3-4-2-1 formation last time out and it did provide his team with better balance. But England once again struggled to create chances. Remarkably, their cumulative xG for the tournament is lower than that of the Czech Republic, who have played four fewer hours of soccer than the Three Lions. 

None of this means England will not beat the Netherlands on Wednesday. So far, though, their all-round displays have left a lot to be desired.

Do Not Be Surprised if This One Is Not Decided in 90 Minutes

Neither of England’s knockout games to date was settled in 90 minutes and this one could go to extra time and possibly penalties too. There is not much to choose between the two sides: England have a better team on paper, but the Netherlands have played better soccer at this tournament.

England have more outstanding individuals in their team than the Netherlands. If you were to make a combined XI of players from both sides, more would be English than Dutch. But Southgate’s team are less than the sum of their parts right now - and that could swing this semi-final in the direction of the Netherlands.

Koeman’s men have looked sharp in transition over their last two games. Memphis Depay will drop deep to link the play, while the likes of Cody Gakpo, Denzel Dumfries, Tijjani Reijnders, and Steven Bergwijn run beyond him. Wout Weghorst is the ideal plan B off the bench, a targetman center-forward who will be able to dominate John Stones in the air.

England have more match-winners in their ranks, but we are still waiting to see the best of Kane and Phil Foden at this competition, while Jude Bellingham has flitted in and out. This England team wins on moments rather than flow, but they could meet their match here.

For more betting insights, check our curated list of the Best Euro 2024 Betting Sites or place your bets with one of the online sportsbooks listed below 👇

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How to Watch Netherlands vs. England

  • Teams: Netherlands vs England

  • Location: Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund, Germany

  • Date and Time: Wednesday, July 10 at 3:00 PM ET 

  • How to Watch: FOX


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Greg Lea

Soccer Betting Analyst

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Greg Lea is a freelance soccer journalist from London. He is the former editor of The Set Pieces, and has contributed to the Guardian, FourFourTwo, and ESPN. A Crystal Palace fan, he is a long-time subscriber to the belief that it's the taking part that counts.
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Education: Bachelor of Arts in Politics
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