The early start to the baseball season means we’ve already had a full weekend of MLB action prior to April 1. Each team has played a full series, so we’ve been able to identify the players who have hit the ground running. That should help us to make some prop picks, especially after going 7-3 on Thursday and Friday last week. Today’s odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook, where new users just have to bet $5 to receive $150 in bonus bets.
Machado didn’t have his best year in 2023 and is off to a somewhat uneven start in 2024. In six games, including San Diego’s two games in Korea, he has just five hits and is batting .217. However, four of those five hits have gone for extra bases - two homers and two doubles. That makes him a good candidate to get over 1.5 total bases since there is a good chance if he gets a hit, it’ll be a double or a homer. It doesn’t hurt that Machado is 10 for 28 (.357) with a pair of doubles in his career against St. Louis starter Kyle Gibson. That's enough to take a chance on him with plus odds.
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You probably aren't familiar with Hancock, who is just 24 years old and has just three career starts under his belt. But he won the job as Seattle’s fifth starter, so he gets the start on Monday. The problem is he’ll face the Guardians, who pounded out 29 runs over their first four games of the season. We’ve got an unproven pitcher with just six strikeouts in 12 career innings facing a red-hot lineup. That’s a recipe for disaster, so we’ll fade the rookie pitcher in his season debut.
If the Guardians do damage against Hancock, you can bet Ramirez will be in the middle of it. While he has just four hits in his first 20 at-bats of the season, Cleveland’s best hitter leads the team with four RBI. He’s also the type of hitter who will feast on a rookie pitcher. The kicker is that Ramirez is hitting behind Steven Kwan and Andres Giminez, who are a combined 13 for 35 (.371) to start the season. Those guys are getting on base and have plenty of speed, which will make it easier for Ramirez to drive them home.
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To be honest, it doesn’t seem that far-fetched to fade Paxton in his first start with the Dodgers. We’re getting good odds for him to allow just two runs or more against a San Francisco lineup that’s scored at least four runs in every game this season. Paxton is 35 and faded toward the end of last season. Frankly, the Dodgers would probably be happy if he gave up two runs over five innings, which is part of what makes this a sound bet.
Smith is never at the top of the list when it comes to players on the Dodgers to target with prop bets. But he might be the most impressive member of the Los Angeles lineup thus far. He went 4 for 6 in one of the games against the Padres in Korea and has a hit in every game this season. Smith is currently batting .455 with a pair of doubles. While he’s not an obvious extra-base threat, he does have a home run in one of his two career at-bats against San Francisco starter Keaton Winn. That makes us think he has a chance to get an extra-base hit or have another multi-hit game on Monday.
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