The MLB postseason begins today with four games on the schedule. That’s more than enough games for our daily prop bets to continue. Obviously, the playoffs can be a little harder to predict, but we feel good about the five prop bets for Tuesday.
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We’re swinging for the fences - at least metaphorically - with this first bet. While the Astros are favored to win this game, presumed Cy Young winner Tarik Skubal has shorter odds than Valdez to be the winning pitcher. But Valdez has something that Skubal lacks, which is postseason experience, as Houston’s ace has started 15 playoff games in his career. Valdez also posted a 1.59 ERA in August and a 1.73 ERA in September, so he’s been outstanding lately. Valdez has also been the winning pitcher in nine of his last 14 starts, so given Houston’s history of playoff success in recent years, we’re taking a shot with this bet.
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Kansas City’s Cole Ragans has his work cut out for him against Baltimore’s Corbin Burnes in Game 1. Ragans should be particularly concerned with Rutschman, who is 4 for 6 with a double in his career against Kansas City’s starter. That’s a small sample size, but keep in mind the switch-hitting Rutschman hit .329 with an OPS of .902 against lefties this year, so he’s much better batting right-handed. Rutschman also had three multi-hit games over his last six regular-season games, giving him some momentum heading into the postseason.
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Lindor’s two-run home run on Monday lifted the Mets into the postseason. If not for Shohei Ohtani having a 50-50 season, Lindor would be an obvious MVP pick. We’re going to bank on him continuing to carry the Mets in the playoffs. Since returning from an almost two-week absence because of a back injury, Lindor is 6 for 17 with two home runs. He’s going to keep coming up with big hits for the Mets in the playoffs, so we’re backing him for multiple bases in Game 1.
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King has put together a fine season, earning a start in San Diego’s postseason opener. He pitched to a 1.57 ERA in September, so he’s poised for success. However, King hasn’t been pitching deep into games down the stretch. He’s been pulled before recording an out in the sixth inning in four of his last six starts. Those were all big games, yet he had a high enough pitch count to be pulled early. In a three-game postseason series, the Padres will trust their bullpen more than King in the middle innings, making it unlikely that he’ll go beyond five innings.
Admittedly, this is a rather odd prop bet. However, King is averaging more than a strikeout per inning this year and has had some big strikeout totals down the stretch. He’s also struck out Urshela the only two times he’s faced him. Urshela is also better known for his defense than his hitting. Equally important, he has struck out five times in his last five games, making him a good candidate to strike out on Tuesday, especially since Atlanta’s entire lineup could be a little tired after playing a doubleheader on Monday and then traveling to San Diego.
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