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New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Predictions, Betting Odds & Picks

Written by: Tony Garcia
Updated October 14, 2022
5 min read
Yankees At Blue Jays June 16
  • Yankees with the heavy pitching advantage
  • Will Blue Jays be able to slug their way past division rival?
  • X-factor to watch on both sides

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Yankees vs Blue Jays Odds June 16

The latest odds for this matchup are taken from William Hill. Click on ‘bet here’ below to head to William Hill and place your bet. Get a $500 Risk-Free bet at sign up with promo code ‘WSNRF‘.

Team Run Spread Money Line Total
New York Yankees -1.5 (-105)
O 8.5 (-110)
Toronto Blue Jays +1.5 (-115)
U 8.5 (-110)
  • Yankees are 6-0 in their last 6 Wednesday games
  • Yankees are 2-6 in their last 8 road games
  • Yankees are 5-2 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning record
  • Yankees are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record
  • Over is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 overall
  • Under is 8-2 in the last 10 head-to-head meetings
  • Blue Jays are 4-1 in their last 5 Wednesday games
  • Blue Jays are 3-8 in their last 11 home games
  • Under is 6-2-1 in Blue Jays last 9 overall
  • Over is 7-3 in Blue Jays last 10 home games vs. a right-handed starter

New York Yankees at Toronto Blue Jays Predictions and Picks

The Yankees are a completely different team with Gerrit Cole on the mound and that’s good for the Bronx bombers — because they’ve struggled of late. Toronto meanwhile is in the midst of an extremely tough stretch against the Astros, White Sox, and Red Sox — all who would be in the playoffs as of right now. We’re going out on a limb and going Blue Jays against the spread, money line, and the over.

Our Pick
Go with the Blue Jays against the spread, money line, and the over!
The best odds for this match Odds provided by William Hill
Blue Jays (+147) Bet Now

Garcia’s 2021 record: (28-20-2)

How to Watch New York at Toronto

Event Information
Teams New York Yankees at Toronto Blue Jays
Location Sahlen Field, Buffalo, NY
Time Wednesday, June 16, 7:00  p.m. EST
How to Watch YES Network, MLB.TV

Gerrit Cole vs. Ross Stripling Isn’t As Lopsided As it Sounds

The Yankees aren’t having the season anybody expected them to have, barely staying above the .500 line for the majority of this year — and that’s because they haven’t been able to get ahead of the curve with their ace on the mound.

Cole is having a solid season by most accounts. A pre-season Cy Young favorite, Cole ranks in the top 15 in a number of categories including his 7-3 record (T-7th),  2.31 ERA (14th). 0.87 WHIP (8th) and 113 strikeouts (3rd).

Still, despite his consistency and ability to throw a quality start in 10 of 13 appearances thus far, the Yankees are just 7-6 overall when he starts.

On the flipside, Ross Stripling has struggled in his first full season in Toronto (though technically Blue Jays home games are still being played in Buffalo). The former Dodger is 2-3 with a 4.91 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 49 strikeouts in 47.2 innings.

He has been better of late, however, giving up just 6 earned runs in 22.2 innings over his past four starts.

However, with all of that said, the MLB is now cracking down on the use of foreign substances on baseballs. Many accused Cole of doing so (like many others). If his spin rates are down on those curveballs against a team that hits this well? That’s going to be a problem.

Will Blue Jays Bats Be Enough?

There is absolutely no chance any team in baseball has played a harder schedule than Toronto. First of all, their home games haven’t even been at home, they’ve been in Buffalo. Secondly, of their last 14 series — dating all the way back to the final day of April — 13 (!!!) of them have been played against teams with winning records.

That trend continues against New York, so it will be up to the offense to try and keep pace. Toronto has scored the seventh most runs of any team in baseball and that’s in LARGE part because of the breakout season of the young star, Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Guerrero Jr. leads the majors in almost every major category including home runs (22), RBIs (56), OPS (1.148) and is second in batting average (.346).

He’s somehow taken his game to another level in June — boasting a .452 average, .540 OBP, and 1.516 OPS while belting six long balls, driving in 14 runs, and drawing eight walks compared to just 10 strikeouts.

He’s going to need some help though if Toronto will beat Cole and the Yankees and that’s where you turn to his fellow young teammate Bo Bichette who’s on a nice run of his own: .458 average, .567 OBP, and 1.567 OPS over the past week with a team-high four home runs and nine RBIs.

X-factor to Watch on Both Sides

For the Yankees, we’re looking for somebody who does well against right-handed pitching and has been playing well of late. The man who fits that bill? Miguel Andujar. The third baseman is hitting .389 the past week (7-of-18) with a 1.151 OPS, two home runs, and three RBIs. He’s also hitting a team-high .302 against righties this season.

On the flip side, we’re going to pick Marcus Semien because if this veteran bat can heat back up, Toronto can make a postseason push. The shortstop’s batting average dropped more than .100 points from his May average (.368) to this point in June (.260).

Semien can take a good Toronto team and make them great when he’s going right — and a few big hits against an ace like Cole can do exactly that.

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Tony Garcia

Sports Betting Analyst

Betting Picks
Tony writes about baseball for WSN.com after recently graduating with his Masters from the Medill School of Journalism at Northwestern University. Prior to that, Tony was a local sports reporter for MLive Media Group, based out of Jackson, Michigan where he covered everything from high school to professional sports. He graduated from Michigan State in 2015 with a degree in journalism. During his time there he covered the Michigan State football and men’s basketball teams from 2013-15 and hosted a sports radio show on WDBM 89FM.
Nationality: American
Education: M.A. in Journalism
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