Kyle Busch Is Not the Favorite Anymore - Championship Predictions and Odds

Kyle Busch was widely regarded as the title favorite heading into the 2019 NASCAR Monster Energy Cup Series season.

It wasn’t exactly hard to see why.

Busch had just matched his career-high of eight wins in a single season.

He, along with Kevin Harvick and Martin Truex Jr., had been part of the “Big Three” all season before Joey Logano’s rise to the top in the playoffs.

The Joe Gibbs driver had finished second in the regular-season standings, only two points behind teammate Truex.

His campaign in the playoffs had some ups-and-downs, winning two races but also finishing outside the top 10 three times.

Even so, with a win in the penultimate round at Phoenix, Busch secured his place in the Championship Four for the fourth consecutive season.

After battling for the win at Homestead, he dropped down to fourth during the final restart and finished there both in the race and in the standings.

His strong regular season performances and his consecutive appearances in the Final Four naturally made him a strong pick.

Busch solidified that with a dominant start to the 2019 season.

He scored three wins and captured another three top 3 finishes in the first eight races of the season.

But now, 30 races into the season, he looks less and less like the title favorite.

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Kyle Busch’s Postseason Record


Since we are only four races into the playoffs, it could be said that it’s too early to rule Kyle Busch out of the fight.

But despite his dominant form, especially early in the regular season, history points out that another championship seems unlikely.

What we are currently observing is a common trend during Busch’s career.

It’s easy to forget that, throughout most of his career, #18 has been known to underperform when it matters.

His first postseason win only came in 2015, 11 years after the format was established.

Quite ironically, it came in the season finale at Homestead and secured Busch’s first career championship.

Busch’s postseason form did improve in recent years.

Despite not winning a race again in 2016, he went to the Championship Round after matching his career-high with six top 5 finishes.

Busch scored three wins in 2017 and another two last year, finishing second and fourth in points respectively.

At first glance, it’s easy to say that Busch looks like a fairly tempting pick.

But once we take a more detailed look at the situation, that’s not necessarily true.

This, combined with his odds, make Busch into a bit of a high-risk, low-reward bet.

While he shouldn’t be counted out of the championship fight just yet, there are some much better options to choose from.

Right now, he has gone winless in the last 16 starts.

Unless Busch shows improvement and returns to his early-season form, he looks less and less like a championship contender.

2019 NASCAR Monster Energy Cup Series Championship Odds

The latest odds for the Cup Series Championship Winner are provided by 888Sport NJ.

Good luck!

Top 3 888Sport NJ

Odds

Martin Truex Jr. +400
Kyle Busch +450
Kevin Harvick +500
Denny Hamlin +550
Kyle Larson +550
Brad Keselowski +700
Joey Logano +900
Chase Elliott +1700
Alex Bowman +2000
Ryan Blaney +3300
William Byron +4000
Clint Bowyer +6000

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