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We have yet another SEC battle in Week 5 of the college football season as the Auburn Tigers host the Georgia Bulldogs. The Bulldogs are the No. 1 team in the nation and are favored to win the National Championship, while the Auburn isn’t ranked, but is 3-1 this season.
Below, we’ll cover this game in more detail to add to our best college football bets for Week 5.
The Tigers and Bulldogs have had easy schedules to this point of the season. The Tigers have performed pretty poorly this season against semi-competent teams, beating Cal 14-10 on the road and losing last week to Texas A&M on the road 27-10.
The Bulldogs have kind of slept walked through the first four games, beating UT Martin, Ball State, South Carolina, and UAB. The South Carolina game was a close call, winning 24-14.
Quarterback Carson Beck is improving, throwing three touchdowns last week. This week, he’s completing 72.1% of his passes for 1,187 yards, six touchdowns, and one interception.
Their rushing attack is potent, too, with Daijuan Edwards, Kendall Milton, and Roderick Robinson II. These three running backs are all averaging well over four yards per carry, with Edwards and Robinson II at 5.8 and 5.9, respectively.
Meanwhile, the Tigers offense is led by Payton Thorne, who’s averaging just 7.5 yards per attempt, 693 passing yards, four touchdowns, and three interceptions.
The Tigers also have a nice rushing attack with Jarquez Hunter, Damari Alston, and Brian Battie. They all have over 100 rushing yards, averaging 4.6, 5.0, and 5.3 yards per carry, respectively.
Defensively speaking, the Tigers had more sacks than the Bulldogs, but the Bulldogs had a few more pressures. The Bulldogs do have seven interceptions compared to five for the Tigers.
Find our three best bets for this game and head to DraftKings Sportsbook to place your bet.
The Bulldogs spread here has come down from the massive 24+ spreads, which is encouraging.
The Tigers do have a nice rushing attack, but against the Bulldogs, they’ll likely need Thorne to throw, which is not the highest upside for winning this game or scoring points against a Bulldogs defense that has players like Tykee Smith, Julian Humphrey, Kamar Lassiter, and Malaki Starks in the secondary and this veteran defensive line against a beatable offensive line.
The Bulldogs have allowed some unsuspecting teams to score here, but the Tigers receivers aren’t all too threatening, either. If the Tigers can run the ball effectively, they should be able to keep it close, but we think Georgia eventually pulls away here, especially with Ladd McConkey at receiver returning to the lineup.
The Tigers have had some production defensively, but again, this is against fairly tame competition. This is also coming when Beck is ramping up his passing production with an excellent running game.
The Bulldogs don’t have a defense that’s necessarily loaded with numerous top NFL draft picks, so the Tigers should be able to score 17-20 points here.
With McConkey back in the lineup, tight end Brock Bowers, this rushing attack, and Beck’s overall performance expect the Bulldogs to drop 30 or more in this game.
Look for Beck to build on his Heisman Trophy odds here, too.
We think the Bulldogs win this one 34-17.
The Bulldogs allowed two touchdowns to the Gamecocks and more than that to UAB. We don’t expect Thorne to be a scary presence passing the ball, but their three-headed rushing attack and being at home should allow them to score a couple of times here against a Bulldogs defense that isn’t as stout as we’re used to.
*Statistics courtesy of Pro Football Focus.
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After graduating from the University of New Hampshire with a BA in Journalism, Richard Janvrin has been covering iGaming and sports betting since December 2018. Richard has covered betting at Bleacher Report, Gambling.com, The Game Day, Forbes, and more.More info on Richard Janvrin
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