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We missed the Patrick Mahomes passing touchdowns as life without tight Travis Kelce proved to be a problem, as well as the Joe Mixon Any Time Touchdown. Against the Cleveland Browns, the Bengals offense was inept, limiting quarterback Joe Burrow to less than 90 yards passing. Simply brutal.
Let’s dive in and regroup with a week of data under our belts.
Starting Week 2 are the Philadelphia Eagles hosting the Minnesota Vikings. The Eagles are 1-0 after a close call on the road against the New England Patriots, while the Vikings fell to 0-1, losing at home to the Baker Mayfield-led Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
Against the Patriots, Hurt was solid, completing 22 of 33 passes for 170 yards and a single touchdown. He did have two turnover-worthy plays but managed to stay clean in the interception department. More than 45% of his attempts were on passes of 0-9 yards, and he didn’t take too many shots downfield.
Taking on the Vikings, Hurts will have a chance to air it out for DeVonta Smith, A.J. Brown, and the rest. Vikings cornerbacks Akayleb Evans and Byron Murphy Jr. allowed seven combined receptions on 11 targets. The yardage and touchdowns were held in check, but they also went against Mayfield.
Safety Josh Metellus was responsible for one of the touchdowns, too.
Against a softer secondary, look for Hurts to put up a much better passing day.
On the road against the Jaguars, the Chiefs are three-point road favorites after losing Week 1 to the Detroit Lions. However, we know that defensive tackle Chris Jones will be back in the fold after signing a one-year deal, and tight end Travis Kelce also has a great chance of getting back out there.
Despite the field goal favoritism, we’re upping it to 7-12. Kelce’s back in the offense changes everything the Chiefs can do. They can spread the field much more, including getting some deep passes off to playmakers like Marquez Valdes-Scantling and, yes, even Kadarius Toney.
Toney and fellow wide receiver Skyy Moore were atrocious against the Lions, but don’t expect that to happen again here.
The Jaguars have a star in cornerback Tyson Campbell, but their pass rush did have issues against the Colts, which, if that happens against the Chiefs, Mahomes will carve them up.
Look for an excellent return to form here by Mahomes and the Chiefs.
Looking back to the Thursday Night Football matchup, we’ll target an unsuspecting receiver in the Vikings offense for an Any Time TD prop, K.J. Osborn.
While rookie Jordan Addison caught a touchdown, he was on the field in particular ways. Meanwhile, Osborn played more than 90% of the snaps and ran a route 97.8% of the time. He saw six targets, catching three and going for 31 yards.
The Vikings want to get Addison more involved. Still, they’re bringing him along a bit slower, using him in certain packages only.
The Eagles might be without cornerback James Bradberry here. If he’s out, this could leave Avonte Maddox still in the slot (Osborn played there less than 50% of the time in Week 1), leaving him matched up, most likely, with Josh Jobe, who’s not exactly striking any fear into opposing offenses while Darius Slay looks to lock down Justin Jefferson.
This is an exploitable matchup. Of course, we’re projecting that Addison’s usage remains somewhat similar. At the same time, Osborn still has a role before Addison inevitably takes it over.
After graduating from the University of New Hampshire with a BA in Journalism, Richard Janvrin has been covering iGaming and sports betting since December 2018. Richard has covered betting at Bleacher Report, Gambling.com, The Game Day, Forbes, and more.More info on Richard Janvrin
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