wsn-newsletter Subscribe to WSN.

NFL Prop Bets Week 4: Best NFL Player Props

Contributors
Published September 27, 2023
4 min read
NFL Prop Bets Week 4

Week 3 of the NFL season is in the books, and now, we’re looking ahead to Week 4 with the Green Bay Packers and Detroit Lions kicking things off on Thursday Night Football. 

Below are our top three prop bets for the Week 4 slate, with most coming from that Packers and Lions game. 

Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions

Pick: Luke Musgrave Under 3.5 Receptions (-120) at DraftKings

Best NFL Sportsbook Promos
How We Rate
Affiliate Disclaimer
21+

In Week 3 against the New Orleans Saints, Musgrave was one Jordan Love overthrown ball away from a massive day, including potentially a touchdown. 

Against the Saints, Musgrave finished with six receptions on eight targets for 49 yards. 

In Week 1 and 2, he combined five receptions on seven targets for 75 yards. 

On the season, he’s averaging 11.3 yards per catch, and he’s targeted 10.9 yards downfield. 

Musgrave is heavily involved in the offense for a rookie tight end, which also includes leading the team in receiving snaps.

However, in Week 4, the Packers plan on having wide Christian Watson and potentially running back Aaron Jones, who will eat into the target share.

Also, this game is played on a short week, coupled with two pass-catching options returning to the lineup, making under 3.5 receptions, which Musgrave only exceeded in Week 3, a solid value play. 

Get $200 in bonus bets when you wager $5 at DraftKings Sportsbook when you sign up using our exclusive link. You’ll also receive your first wager back if you lose, as bonus bets up to $150. 

Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions

Pick: Amon-Ra St. Brown Over 6.5 Receptions (-110) at DraftKings

Wide receiver Amon-Ra St. Brown has been dealing with turf toe the last couple of weeks, but it doesn’t appear to be slowing him down. This season, he has 21 receptions on 27 targets for 275 yards and a touchdown. When he’s on the field, he runs a route 94.2% of the time, averaging 2.84 yards per route run, and is targeted 8.7 yards downfield, a range that quarterback Jared Goff targets on 54.4% of his passes. 

In Week 1 and 2, St. Brown had six receptions and added nine more in Week 3. He lines up in the slot 53.4% of the time and is out wide on both the right and left side. 

St. Brown lines up anywhere, allowing them to create mismatches. 

In this one, the Packers are likely without cornerback Jaire Alexander, meaning St. Brown will have matchups against Rasul Douglas, Carrington Valentine, and Keisean Nixon.

This season, those corners have allowed 21 receptions on 31 targets (67.7% reception rate). However, Valentine has played just 37 coverage snaps this year. Douglas and Nixon have also allowed a touchdown.

Get ready for St. Brown to feast. 

When you wager $5, you’ll receive $200 in bonus bets when you sign up for a new player account at DraftKings Sportsbook using our link. You’ll also receive your first wager back if you lose, as bonus bets up to $150. 

Atlanta Falcons vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Pick: FalconsTo Score First (+116) at Caesars 

How We Rate
Affiliate Disclaimer
21+

🔥 Claimed by 57 people this week!

Caesars

4.5/5

Bet $1, Double Your Winnings Your Next 10 Bets

21+ | T&Cs Apply. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.

Heading out to London, we have the Jacksonville Jaguars and Atlanta Falcons. The Jaguars are frequent fliers overseas. Still, we like the Falcons to score first here.

The Falcons aren’t a world-beater in the passing game, but they run the ball efficiently, generating 0.01 EPA per run play. To be exact, they run the ball 42.5% of the time. For perspective, the Jaguars run the ball just 34.4% of the time. 

The Jaguars also allowed 0.7 rushing touchdowns per game, including one last week to Houston Texans running back Dameon Pierce. 

While the Jaguars offense is excellent with Trevor Lawrence at quarterback, their defense has struggled to generate pressure this season, and against a running back like Bijan Robinson, their seven missed tackles could rear its ugly head. 

Look for the Falcons to score after a long opening drive. 

Bet $5 and get $250 in bonus bets at Caesars Sportsbook when you click our link and sign up for a new account while using promo code “WSNGET.”

*All statistics courtesy of Pro Football Focus. 

Richard Janvrin

Richard Janvrin

Sports Betting Analyst

Expertise:
MLB
NFL
NCAAB
NCAAF
Online Sports Betting
Online Casinos
After graduating from the University of New Hampshire with a BA in Journalism, Richard Janvrin has been covering iGaming and sports betting since December 2018. Richard has covered betting at Bleacher Report, Gambling.com, The Game Day, Forbes, and more.
Email: [email protected]
Nationality: American
Education: Bachelor of English/ Journalism
Favourite Sportsbook: FanDuel Sportsbook
Favourite Casino: BetMGM Casino
Experience: 9 years
We've been featured on:
espn logo
reuters logo
cbs-news logo
forbes logo
entrepreneur logo
entrepreneur logo
We only list licensed sportsbooks
WorldSportsNetwork
WorldSportsNetwork
WorldSportsNetwork
WorldSportsNetwork
WorldSportsNetwork
Co2neutral

We support responsible gambling. Gambling can be addictive, please play responsibly. If you need help, call 1-800-Gambler.

WSN.com is managed by Gentoo Media. Unless declared otherwise, all of the visible content on this site, such as texts and images, including the brand name and logo, belongs to Innovation Labs Limited (a Gentoo Media company) - Company Registration Number C44130, VAT ID: MT18874732, @GIG Beach Triq id-Dragunara, St. Julians, STJ3148, Malta.

Advertising Disclosure: WSN.com contains links to partner websites. When a visitor to our website clicks on one of these links and makes a purchase at a partner site, World Sports Network is paid a commission.

Copyright © 2024