NFL Prop Bets Week 6: Best NFL Player Props

Week 6 of the NFL season is here, and it’s time to look at some early prop bets before we head into Thursday Night Football and the weekend slate.

Below are our three best prop bets for this week’s action, including the Tennessee Titans and Baltimore Ravens in London. 

Tennessee Titans vs. Baltimore Ravens

Pick: Lamar Jackson Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (+140) at DraftKings

When you look at the stat line of Jackson from Week 5, you’d think he had a poor game with a 57.9% completion rate, 236 passing yards, no touchdowns, and an interception, but this was a fantastic game. He had several drops in the endzone that would’ve certainly shifted the tide of the game and probably would have less value on this wager if that was the case.

Of course, heading to London and the long travel stresses players, but Jackson is facing a beatable Titans secondary.

In coverage, the Titans have allowed a 78% reception rate (117 receptions on 150 targets), allowing 11.3 yards per reception, and have allowed five touchdowns.

Five touchdowns have been allowed to various underperforming teams, such as the New Orleans Saints, a depleted Cincinnati Bengals squad, and the Indianapolis Colts, who experienced a quarterback injury in Week 5.

Look for Jackson to dominate here.

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Pick: Lamar Jackson Under 0.5 Interceptions (-125) at DraftKings

Sticking with Jackson, he’s thrown two interceptions this season—one in Week 1 and one last week against the Steelers. He does have seven turnover-worthy plays this season and at least one per game, which is certainly not great, but again, the Titans coverage unit just isn’t that imposing. 

On the year, they have just one interception, and the Ravens rushing offense dynamic will further limit Jackson’s attempts for a potential interception. 

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Kansas City Chiefs vs. Denver Broncos

Pick: Patrick Mahomes 2.5 Passing TDs (+123) at Caesars

The Kansas City Chiefs offense hasn’t been as productive to this point as they were last year or the Tyreek Hill days, but Mahomes has ten touchdowns this season and just one three-touchdown game. 

This week, he draws a Broncos team on a short week that’s coming off a loss and has allowed 13 passing touchdowns this season. 

The Chiefs have several potential threats on offense. While none of the receivers have “pulled away” from one another, they’ll have an excellent opportunity to do so against a cornerback unit that features Damarri Mathis, which has allowed 26 receptions on 31 targets for 349 yards and four touchdowns. 

Linebacker Alex Singleton, who will oppose tight end Travis Kelce throughout, has allowed 23 receptions on 235 targets for 214 yards and three touchdowns.

An alternate line of 4+ touchdowns for Mahomes might not be a bad small-unit wager. 

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 All statistics courtesy of Pro Football Focus.