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NFL Prop Bets Week 7: Best NFL Player Props

Written by: Richard Janvrin
Published October 18, 2023
8 min read
NFL Prop Bets Week 7

Week 7 of the NFL season has arrived and for the first time in three weeks, there’s no game in London. Instead, the season kicks off with the New Orleans Saints hosting the Jacksonville Jaguars. We have an electric Sunday Night Football game to watch as the Philadelphia Eagles host the Miami Dolphins. 

Below are three early prop bets to make this week, including the two games we just mentioned.

Let’s dive in.

New Orleans Saints vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

Pick: Derek Carr Under 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-160) at DraftKings

Hosting the Jaguars, the Saints will face a Jacksonville defense that allows 1.5 passing touchdowns per game. For Saints quarterback Derek Carr, through six games, he has just one multi-touchdown game and two games without a passing touchdown at all. His lone multi-touchdown game came in Week 5 against the lowly New England Patriots. 

What’s telling about Carr, though, is that he has four games with 33+ attempts, had 50 in Week 6, and still only had the one passing touchdown. He’s also been dealing with a shoulder injury for a few weeks, which could be hindering things. 

At -160, the value isn’t great, but Carr getting two touchdown passes is unlikely. 

Get $200 in bonus bets when you wager $5 at DraftKings Sportsbook when you sign up using our exclusive link.

Pick: Alvin Kamara Over 29.5 Receiving Yards (-115) at DraftKings

This season, the Jaguars allow opponents to pass for over 270 yards per game, which will bode well for Kamara. This season, Carr is averaging just 6.5 yards per attempt, and 59.5% of his attempts come from behind the line of scrimmage or 0-9 yards downfield. 

Kamara has played in three games this season, and he’s gone for 30 yards or more in two. The one game he didn’t was in Week 5, where he caught three passes for 17 yards. 

Expect Kamara to get plenty of work here again—he had 13 receptions in Week 4 and seven in Week 6. 

When you wager $5, you’ll receive $200 in bonus bets when you sign up for a new player account at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Philadelphia Eagles vs. Miami Dolphins

Pick: MIA Drive 1 to Include 20+ Yard Offensive Play (+165) at Caesars

The focal point of the Dolphins offense is their pass catchers in, Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle. Hill is averaging 19.4 yards per reception this season, and Waddle is at 12.3 yards. In this matchup with the Eagles, they’ll match up with James Bradberry and Josh Jobe unless Darius Slay makes a return. 

Hill has caught ten passes on passes that sail 20+ yards downfield, and Waddle has two from that range and six from 10-19 yards. 

Their primary matchups, Bradberry and Jobe, each allow more than 10 yards per reception and have allowed multiple touchdowns this season. 

This is a perfect matchup for the Dolphins to have a big play down the field. 

Get a bonus bet of up to $1,000 at Caesars Sportsbook when you click our exclusive link and use promo code “WSN1000.”

*All statistics courtesy of Pro Football Focus.

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Richard Janvrin

548 Articles

After graduating from the University of New Hampshire with a BA in Journalism, Richard Janvrin has been covering iGaming and sports betting since December 2018. Richard has covered betting at Bleacher Report, Gambling.com, The Game Day, Forbes, and more.

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