NFL Prop Bets Week 7: Best NFL Player Props

Week 7 of the NFL season has arrived and for the first time in three weeks, there’s no game in London. Instead, the season kicks off with the New Orleans Saints hosting the Jacksonville Jaguars. We have an electric Sunday Night Football game to watch as the Philadelphia Eagles host the Miami Dolphins. 

Below are three early prop bets to make this week, including the two games we just mentioned.

Let’s dive in.

New Orleans Saints vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

Pick: Derek Carr Under 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-160) at DraftKings

Hosting the Jaguars, the Saints will face a Jacksonville defense that allows 1.5 passing touchdowns per game. For Saints quarterback Derek Carr, through six games, he has just one multi-touchdown game and two games without a passing touchdown at all. His lone multi-touchdown game came in Week 5 against the lowly New England Patriots. 

What’s telling about Carr, though, is that he has four games with 33+ attempts, had 50 in Week 6, and still only had the one passing touchdown. He’s also been dealing with a shoulder injury for a few weeks, which could be hindering things. 

At -160, the value isn’t great, but Carr getting two touchdown passes is unlikely. 

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Pick: Alvin Kamara Over 29.5 Receiving Yards (-115) at DraftKings

This season, the Jaguars allow opponents to pass for over 270 yards per game, which will bode well for Kamara. This season, Carr is averaging just 6.5 yards per attempt, and 59.5% of his attempts come from behind the line of scrimmage or 0-9 yards downfield. 

Kamara has played in three games this season, and he’s gone for 30 yards or more in two. The one game he didn’t was in Week 5, where he caught three passes for 17 yards. 

Expect Kamara to get plenty of work here again—he had 13 receptions in Week 4 and seven in Week 6. 

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Philadelphia Eagles vs. Miami Dolphins

Pick: MIA Drive 1 to Include 20+ Yard Offensive Play (+165) at Caesars

The focal point of the Dolphins offense is their pass catchers in, Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle. Hill is averaging 19.4 yards per reception this season, and Waddle is at 12.3 yards. In this matchup with the Eagles, they’ll match up with James Bradberry and Josh Jobe unless Darius Slay makes a return. 

Hill has caught ten passes on passes that sail 20+ yards downfield, and Waddle has two from that range and six from 10-19 yards. 

Their primary matchups, Bradberry and Jobe, each allow more than 10 yards per reception and have allowed multiple touchdowns this season. 

This is a perfect matchup for the Dolphins to have a big play down the field. 

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*All statistics courtesy of Pro Football Focus.