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One leg short. It might as well be my nickname at this point.
At least last week had the decency to end on Thursday night, though it made strong wins with the Dolphins spread and Chargers/Patriots UNDER less enjoyable. Here is another parlay for Week 14.
|Payout (Increasing with each leg, top to bottom)
|HOU @ NYJ: ALT Texans -3.5
|$10 to win $16.45
|DET @ CHI: ALT OVER 39.5
|$10 to win $29.10
|TB @ ATL: ALT Bucs +3.5
|$10 to win $48.13
|DEN @ LAC: ALT Broncos +3.5
|$10 to win $81.55
|PHI @ DAL: Eagles +3.5
|$10 to win $150.66
The Texans are more than capable of covering the set line of (-6), but let’s buy a few points for a team that feels completely backed into a corner. The only question is whether the Jets can claw their way out.
Houston has covered this line in five of its seven wins this season and did so as recently as Week 13 against the Broncos. The Texans have a legitimate shot at winning the AFC South, especially after the Jaguars lost to Cincinnati on Monday night. This is a game they can’t afford to drop. If you expect Houston to win, you might as well bet them to cover this spread.
Meanwhile, the Jets don’t know who is starting at quarterback and released its Week 12 and 13 starter in Tim Boyle due to the quality of his play. Ride the hot hand of C.J. Stroud in Houston, even with Tank Dell out (fibula).
Even buying a singular point, this line seems awfully low for a Detroit team that has scored 30 or more points six times this year. This Lions team has also allowed 20 or more points in all but four games this year.
This game seems like a near-lock to finish in the 40-50-point total. Justin Fields can keep the Bears on the field and scoring, and the Lions need no introduction to doing just that.
Desmond Ridder is tough to watch. Yet the Falcons sit atop the sterling NFC South with a 6-6 record, primed for a playoff opportunity. That means their division rivals in Tampa Bay have a chance to leap-frog ahead and jump atop the division with a win in this game.
Getting more than a field goal in what is likely going to be a tightly contested affair is a great move. The Buccaneers are facing this Falcons team that could be without linebacker Nate Landman, cornerback A.J. Terrell, and guard Kaleb McGary who all suffered injuries in Week 13.
Atlanta could sleepwalk into this one after last week’s date with Tim Boyle, while the Bucs got a rude awakening in Week 13 and barely fended off the Panthers. That’s not a ringing endorsement in itself, but getting the points in this one makes too much sense.
Denver’s five-game winning streak came to an end in Week 13 after losing to the Texans, but the Broncos can get right back on track against an underwhelming Chargers team.
It’s somewhat surprising to get the Broncos as underdogs in this one, and buying a few points for a marginal difference makes it icing on the cake. Denver has covered this line in eight of its 12 games this year, most of which have come recently as the team rounded into form.
Meanwhile, the Chargers barely scraped by a terrible Patriots team in sloppy weather in Week 13. Los Angeles held a three-game losing streak prior.
This game could be a pick-em, so getting the Eagles at more than a field goal at base odds is some good value. Yes, Philadelphia faced a hard dose of reality in Week 13 against the 49ers, but it’s losses like those that can forge the fires of a good playoff team.
The Cowboys are rolling, but they also haven’t faced many stiff tests. They’ve faced only two teams this year that currently sit above .500, losing both such games to Philadelphia and San Francisco. The Eagles could also return tight end Dallas Goedert this week, which would be a major upgrade from Jack Stoll, who has filled in.
Dallas does have an extra few days to prepare after an impressive showing on Thursday night against Seattle.
Michael Sicoli has been writing about fantasy football and betting within the NFL space since 2020. He works as a writer and content creator with ClubFantasyFFL and runs an NFL defensive (IDP) newsletter with The IDP Guys. A graduate from Quinnipiac University, Michael is a long-time NFL fan with a love for soccer and the NBA.More info on Michael Sicoli
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