Biggest NFL Betting Stories from Week 2: Too Soon to Make Judgment Calls
Injuries have already taken a toll, with the odds for at least one contender skyrocketing after losing their starting quarterback.
The Cowboys are underdogs this week to one of the worst teams in football.
It was a good week to bet on the favorite and the OVER.
We are two weeks into the NFL season. While we have learned a lot about each team, it is too soon to make judgment calls about any team. But that doesn’t mean some dramatic betting narratives haven’t developed.
In this article, we’ll take a look at some of the early developments that may have an impact on how we bet moving forward.
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Super Bowl Odds: Movers and Shakers
Several teams have seen minor changes to their Super Bowl odds. For others, their odds remain the same. But there have been drastic changes to the odds of a few teams. Some have played better than expected, while injuries are taking a toll on a few.
Here are some of the biggest movers since the start of the season:
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Bengals: +2000 to +6600 - No Burrow, no Super Bowl. No disrespect intended, Jake Browning.
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Packers: +2200 to +650 - After dismantling the Lions and controlling the Commanders, the Pack now has the third-best odds in the league.
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Vikings: +2500 to +4000 - Excitement was high after the miraculous comeback in Week 1, but then the offense flopped in Week 2, and J.J. McCarthy has a high ankle sprain.
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Dolphins: +8000 to +20000 - I’ll admit it; at +8000, they were my longshot Super Bowl pick. But after watching the last two weeks, I am glad I never put any money down.
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Has All Confidence Been Lost in the Dallas Cowboys Already?
The Chicago Bears are not a good team. They are 0-2 on the season with losses to the Minnesota Vikings (27-24) and the Detroit Lions (52-21). Their offense has been mediocre; it is currently ranked No. 15 in total offense and points scored. We go into more details in our NFL Offense Rankings.
On the defensive end, the picture gets even darker. They rank 28th in total defense and dead last in points allowed. See the full list of NFL Defense Rankings here!
Dallas, on the other hand, while far from perfect, is 1-1 on the season. The Cowboys are No. 3 in total offense and No. 5 in scoring. However, on the other end of the field, they rank 30th in total defense and No. 28 in scoring.
But the Dallas Cowboys are the underdogs this week vs. the Bears, with the line opening at +1.5.
I guess when your defense makes Russell Wilson look like a god a week after there was talk he could get benched for rookie Jaxon Dart, bettors are going to lose a lot of faith in you.
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NFL Week 2: What Do The Stats Say?
If you like betting on favorites, then Week 2 was a profitable one. Favorites went 11-5 straight up and 10-6 against the spread. That includes the TNF and MNF games; on Sunday, the breakdown was 9-4 SU and 8-5 ATS.
Road favorites had a particularly good day, going 5-1 SU and 6-0 ATS.
These numbers are not too different from Week 1, when the favorites went 13-3 SU and 9-7 ATS. Last week was a great day for defenses as the UNDER cashed in 12 of 16 games. But that trend didn’t hold in Week 2 as the OVER went 10-6 for the week and 10-3 on Sunday (2-11 in Week 1).
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