When you sign-up through links on our site, we may earn an affiliate commission. Learn more >

Best Chiefs vs. Patriots Player Props: Revenge of Mahomes

Written by: Richard Janvrin
Published December 17, 2023
8 min read

Week 14 was quite a time for the Kansas City Chiefs and New England Patriots. The Patriots beat the Pittsburgh Steelers on the road 21-18, securing their third win of the season. Conversely, the Chiefs lost to the Buffalo Bills at home 20-17 after Kadarius Toney was technically offside, but the refs, according to players, made a call that hardly ever gets called. Thus, they ended up losing the game. 

Both teams are riding different levels of momentum here—the Patriots and quarterback Bailey Zappe are feeling good after a three-touchdown performance, and the Chiefs are likely agitated and ready to right the ship.

Let’s dive into the three best prop bets from this game.

Chiefs vs Patriots Player Props

Chiefs vs. Patriots Prop Bets

Pick#1: Patrick Mahomes Over 1.5 Passing TDs (-160) at DraftKings

It’s no secret that Mahomes and the Chiefs are having a down year, with Mahomes at 23 passing touchdowns and 3,398 yards with four games left to go. Still, something must be said about the game's human element following their Week 14 loss. 

Despite their atrocious record, the Patriots defense has been solid, holding opposing quarterbacks to 231.15 passing yards, 1.08 touchdowns, and 0.54 interceptions per game. 

Their last few quarterbacks include Gardner Minshew, Tommy Devito, and Mitchell Trubisky, and yes, they shut down Justin Herbert. 

This season, the Patriots have allowed just three quarterbacks to have multiple passing touchdowns, and Mahomes will be the fourth. 

Mahomes has just one passing touchdown in each of his last two games but had three straight games with multiple passing touchdowns. 

Look for a big-time redemption here from Mahomes on the road. 

Wager $5 and get $150 in bonus bets at DraftKings when you sign up for a new player account using our link

Pick#2: Travis Kelce Any Time TD (+100) at DraftKings

Getting Kelce at “+” money to score a touchdown, albeit +100, is a worthy bet. 

Above, we advocated for multiple touchdowns from Mahomes, and where better for them to go than into the arms of his No. 1 option?

Kelce is far and away the team’s No. 1 option, seeing 99 targets, catching 80 passes, and going for 896 yards and five touchdowns. Wide receiver Rashee Rice has 59 catches for 663 yards and six touchdowns. 

The Patriots hold tight ends to just 4.31 receptions for 38.46 yards per game and have only allowed one tight end touchdown this year, but Kelce is so prominent in the passing game that he’s hard to overlook. 

The adage of Belichick taking away the top playmaker could come true, but this is a volume play while getting the “+” money. Consider passing on this prop if this falls into the “-” territory. 

Get $150 in bonus bets when you wager $5 and a No Sweat Same Game Parlay at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Pick#3: Bailey Zappe Over 9.5 Rushing Yards (-121) at Caesars 

A bit of a random prop here, but we’re leaning over on Zappe’s rushing yards at 9.5. 

This season, the Chiefs allow opposing quarterbacks to rush five times for just over 18 yards. They’ve allowed ten rushing yards or more eight times this season. 

For Zappe, he’s had more than ten rushing yards in both of his starts this season—16 in Week 13 and 13 in Week 14. 

In his final season in college, Zappe had 140 rushing yards and three scores, including five games with ten rushing yards or more. 

Take the over here. 

Start your journey with Caesars Sportsbook and get up to $1,000 in Bonus Bets if your first bet loses.

More Sportsbook Promos

How to Watch Kansas City Chiefs vs. New England Patriots

  • What: Kansas City Chiefs vs. New England Patriots

  • Where: Gilette Stadium, Foxborough, MA

  • When: Sunday, Dec. 17, 1:00 p.m. ET

  • How to Watch: FOX

More NFL Week 15 Stories

Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets

21+ | Terms and conditions apply

Claim Now
Image for Richard Janvrin


Richard Janvrin

550 Articles

After graduating from the University of New Hampshire with a BA in Journalism, Richard Janvrin has been covering iGaming and sports betting since December 2018. Richard has covered betting at Bleacher Report, Gambling.com, The Game Day, Forbes, and more.

More info on Richard Janvrin
We've been featured on:
espn logo
reuters logo
cbs-news logo
forbes logo
entrepreneur logo
entrepreneur logo
We only list licensed sportsbooks

© Rebel Penguin ApS 2024 (a subsidiary of Gaming Innovation Group Inc.)

We support responsible gambling. 21+ Only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-Gambler.

WSN.com is run by iGaming Cloud Inc (a Gaming Innovation Group Subsidiary) and is registered with the New Jersey Division of Gaming Enforcement (DGE) under affiliate vendor ID 89744, with the Indiana Gaming Commission (IGC) under certificate of registration number SWR-000148, approved by the Pennsylvania Gaming Control Board as a gaming service provider, under certificate registration number 117656-1, possesses a Vendor Minor sports betting license from the Colorado Limited Gaming Control Commission (account number 94414163), granted a vendor registration number VR007603-20-001 by the Michigan Gaming Control Board, an interim Sports Wagering Supplier license, under license number SWS 066, issued by the West Virginia Lottery Commission, a sports betting vendor registration, under registration number #100400, issued by the Director of Gaming Licensing and Investigations of the Virginia Lottery to operate in the State of Virginia, and a Vendor Registration issued by the Sports Wagering Committee of the Tennessee Education Lottery Corporation.

Advertising disclosure: WSN contains links to online retailers on its website. When people click on our affiliate links and make purchases, WSN earns a commission from our partners, including ESPN and various sportsbooks.