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Week 10 in the NFL concludes with the Denver Broncos traveling to Buffalo to face the Bills on Monday night. Denver’s historically bad defense will once again have their hands full against a tough Bills offense.
Denver is currently on a two-game winning streak with wins over the Chiefs and the Packers. Last week's massive upset win over the Chiefs could give the team the needed confidence to pull off an upset once again. The Broncos' defense currently ranks last in almost every category, which makes this game very winnable for the Bills.
Buffalo’s season so far makes many people question whether they are still top contenders in the league. With a 5-3 record, the Bills have the schedule to end their season with over 10 wins. They will need a victory against the Broncos to gain some momentum for the remainder of the year.
With two defenses that can’t seem to stop anything, there are a lot of props that look great.
Buffalo’s quarterback, Josh Allen, is known for being the workhorse for this offense. While everyone knows what Allen can do with his arm, he’s also a stud on his feet. In his last seven games, Allen has six rushing touchdowns.
In the last two games against Tampa Bay and Cincinnati, Allen has accumulated 41 and 44 rushing yards. He likes to stay busy and puts his body on the line for his team. We expect Allen to scramble consistently, leading to yards.
Denver’s defense is 32nd in the league against the run and has allowed many rushing touchdowns. This defense has been historically bad, and it doesn’t seem like it will turn around based on their extremely tough schedule.
Russell Wilson typically has close to 30 pass attempts per game. His favorite receiver this season so far is Courtland Sutton. Sutton has been targeted at least five times in all but two games this season.
Sutton also has a touchdown in all but two games this season. It’s safe to say that the Broncos will likely be down at some point, if not the majority of this game. Wilson is expected to air it out more, and Sutton will likely be able to get open against an injured Buffalo defense.
The Bills defense gives up 22.7 completions per game on average. Buffalo has already lost corner Tre’Davious White to an Achilles tear and linebacker Matt Milano to a fractured leg. While this Broncos offense is far from the best, we expect them to have plenty of opportunities to get the ball in space to Sutton.
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As we’ve mentioned numerous times, this Denver defense is not great. Even though they held the former-world-champion Chiefs to just nine points a week ago, we don’t think that kind of defensive prowess will continue on Monday.
The Broncos defense allows 251.8 pass yards per game on average, which is 26th in the NFL this season. They also allow two passing touchdowns per game, which is tied for 30th in the league.
The former Boise State wide receiver Khalil Shakir has emerged as an incredible option for Josh Allen. Shakir was the 148th pick in the 2022 NFL Draft and recently showcased his talent.
In the Bills' last three games, Shakir has been targeted 14 total times while catching every one of those targets. He’s proven to Allen that he is a reliable option and should continue to be used as such.
Last week, Shakir’s longest catch was 23 yards, and the week before, it was 30 yards. This 18.5-yard mark seems very low for Skakir’s explosive style.
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Tanner Kern has been working in the betting industry since 2020. He currently is a social media content creator at DraftKings and contributes to multiple sites in addition to WSN, including Forbes and VSiN. He is also the cohost of the podcast Ride the Line at WSN.More info on Tanner Kern
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