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Week 4’s Sunday Night Football matchup isn’t going to draw a lot of excitement, but there is money to be made. The Chiefs appear once again to be one of the league’s elite teams, while the Jets are collapsing into themselves like a dying star.
If you want to make some money this weekend, you have come to the right place. Below, we will break down each leg of the above parlay, giving you the information you need to bet on this prime-time matchup confidently.
This game features two teams that have been trending in different directions. After a rough opening week loss to the Lions, the Chiefs again look like the Super Bowl Champions they are. Two big reasons are the return of tight end Travis Kelce and defensive tackle Chris Jones. Kelce appears to be over the bone bruise, and Chris Jones has resolved (for now) his contract issue with the team.
We all know this offense is good, but the defense is the biggest reason we like this bet. The Chiefs have allowed just 19 combined points over their last two games. Those games against Justin Fields and Trevor Lawrence, both of whom have looked better than Zach White. Jones and an improved Kansas City pass rush will make him uncomfortable all game, leading to multiple turnovers and minimal points.
Pacheco, who was taken just a few picks ahead of fellow seventh-rounder Brock Purdy, has been a massive boost to the Kansas City backfield. He is a physical and talented runner, but he also developed into a solid pass catcher late last season. The second-year back has 47 receiving through his first two weeks, but we think he will boost that number on Sunday Night.
The Jets' defense is still great, as bad as their offense has been. They were fantastic against the Patriots last week and played impressively against the Cowboys, considering they were on the field for over 42 minutes. They have the talent to contain Kelce, which will open up looks for Pacheco. We saw that when the tight end was out in Week 1, leading to four catches and 31 yards for Pacheco.
The Chiefs' pass defense has managed just one interception this season, but that will change tonight. While their secondary lacks a true ballhawk, their pass rush is improving. Chris Jones, Mike Danna, and George Karlaftis all have multiple sacks and TFLs, and they have a very talented rookie in Felix Anudike-Uzomah.
The KC pass rush is going to rattle and already bad Zach Wilson. The 24-year-old was sharp in their first game but has completed 48% of his passes over the next two. That included a game against Dallas where he threw three interceptions. While he managed to avoid throwing a pick against the Pats last week, Chris Jones and the KC pass rush will force him to on Sunday night.
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The Jets have not scored first in any of their first three games. In fact, they haven’t scored any points in the first quarter. While their defense will make things challenging for Kansas City, their chances of scoring first are far higher than Wilson and the Jets. With all of their offensive playmakers healthy, they should be able to do enough against this New York offense to at least manage a field goal in the first quarter.
The biggest threat to this bet is if the Jets defense can force a turnover. They have three interceptions and one fumble recovery this season, but that all came from their first game. While Mahomes has two interceptions this season, he is also the best quarterback the Jets have seen. We think he will have the advantage, leading to Kansas City to score first.
Michael is an avid sports fan and a veteran bettor from Milwaukee. He learned the trade from his grandfather in Las Vegas as a kid and has turned that into a successful career. He cheers for all Wisconsin pro teams along with his Alma Mater Arizona State. He specializes in baseball betting, but has experience in football, basketball, and hockey as well. When he isn’t pouring over stats, he’s spending time with his two young children.More info on Michael Savio
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