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After a blowout loss to the Chargers on Monday night, the New York Jets travel to Las Vegas to face the Raiders. After an impressive three-game winning streak over the Broncos, Eagles, and Giants, the Jets look to get another victory on Sunday night to move to 5-4 on the year.
The Raiders have struggled all season long. The offense, when healthy, just hasn’t clicked and doesn’t seem like it will anytime soon. While they are 4-5 through nine weeks, Las Vegas really hasn’t had any good moments prior to firing Josh McDaniels.
This matchup is a pick’em game with the public leaning toward the Jets. This isn’t a surprise as New York is a more competent football team. It doesn’t seem like the Jets should have any issues with the Raiders in this matchup if they can score, but these two teams have been very inconsistent.
We have cooked up a few props to exploit the various mismatches in this contest. Let’s get into the picks!
Breece Hall has been electrifying in the past few weeks as the primary running back for the Jets. In the last four games, he has averaged over 70 yards per contest.
Before the season, there was speculation that former Vikings running back Dalvin Cook would cut into Hall’s production, but that hasn’t been the case.
Cook has been a nonfactor all season and nothing suggests that will change. Hall should continue to be used as a three-down back and be one of the focal points of the New York offense.
Hall has three touchdowns in the last four weeks and should shine once again against a terrible run defense in Las Vegas. This is why we like him to find the endzone.
The Raiders defense has given up the most rushing touchdowns this season. Las Vegas gives up almost two rushing touchdowns per game, and they have consistently struggled against talented rushing attacks. The Jets have the horses to overpower this Raiders front seven.
It’s surprising how high Aidan O’Connell’s line is on Sunday. The Jets give up the third least amount of passing yards per game with 174. The Raiders have struggled to get the offense going most of the year, and New York has done a great job shutting passing attacks down.
This game should consist of Josh Jacobs getting the ball as many times as he can handle. The Jets' run defense is inferior compared to their secondary play.
Cornerback Sauce Gardner will shadow Davante Adams all night, making it extremely difficult for him to get open. Gardner is in the conversation to be the best corner in football, and rightfully so based on his performances.
This Jets defense has slowed down the Chiefs, Bills, and Eagles offenses, which are three of the best in the league. We expect them to do the same against a much worse Raiders team. This will be through a lot of pass breakups and a few turnovers.
We have been high on Tyler Conklin's over-in receptions all season, as he has only missed twice this year. Last Monday, Conklin had six catches for 66 yards on six targets. His over/under has consistently been 2.5, and even with a big game last week, it remains the same.
Zach Wilson struggled to get the ball to his receivers Lazard and Wilson, so he’s been forced to check it down to his bigger targets.
Las Vegas allows opposing offenses to complete 21.4 passes per game. They are also 20th in the league in defending tight ends.
We expect Wilson to have to get rid of the ball fast because of the Raiders' pass rush, which will cash this over with ease.
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Tanner Kern has been working in the betting industry since 2020. He currently is a social media content creator at DraftKings and contributes to multiple sites in addition to WSN, including Forbes and VSiN. He is also the cohost of the podcast Ride the Line at WSN.More info on Tanner Kern
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