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The biggest Sunday Night Football game of the season to date will take place in Week 5. The Dallas Cowboys will travel to San Francisco to battle the 49ers in primetime. The NFC is a three-team race between Dallas, San Francisco, and Philadelphia.
The three powerhouses have yet to compete, so this game will tell us a lot on Sunday night. The 49ers are a 3.5-point favorite, and we fully expect them to win the game by a touchdown.
Dallas has a great defense, but the 49ers are also elite on that side of the ball. The offensive edge definitely goes toward San Francisco in this spot. The combination of these two advantages, along with the game being played in the Bay Area, tips the scale in favor of the 49ers.
Outside of the traditional betting markets, there are a few props that we have our eyes on Sunday night. The prop market has been lucrative, and there are plenty of chances to take advantage of the mismatches in primetime.
Christian McCaffrey is a touchdown machine, but this has caused sportsbooks to juice his odds. McCaffrey’s touchdown scorer bet is listed at -180, and it’s likely to hit, but the juice makes it perfect for a same-game parlay.
To win $100 on McCaffrey to score, a bettor must risk $180 based on the current price. The best way to bet McCaffrey’s touchdown prop is by sprinkling 2+ for +300. Two touchdowns may seem like a lot for the running back, but it’s not, and this is clear after watching his Week 3 performance.
McCaffrey scored four times, and he is an excellent touchdown scorer bet because of his ability to run and catch the football. McCaffrey has some of the best rushing ability in the NFL, but he also runs better routes and has softer hands than most wide receivers.
Kyle Shannahan consistently leaves McCaffrey in the game and works in numerous schemes to get the All-Pro involved. The way McCaffrey plays, it’s worth sprinkling to score three times as well.
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Dak Prescott hasn’t been great this season, and we’re not taking his passing prop because we expect him to win the game for Dallas with his arm. The 49ers have a tremendous passing defense, starting with their pass rushers.
Nick Bosa and company have been getting after the quarterback all year, and we see it happening again in Sunday’s game. However, the Cowboys' offensive line is beat up, and running the ball will be at a premium on Sunday.
Dallas may try to establish the run, but we don’t expect them to succeed. Additionally, the Cowboys will play from behind if the game plays out as expected.
If the Cowboys fall behind, Prescott will rack up passing yards by default. Look for the quarterback to have a big night and be right around the 250-yard mark. Prescott has exceeded this total in three of four starts this season.
The one game he went under on his passing total was against the Giants. Dallas beat New York 40-0 and had multiple defensive touchdowns and turnovers that led to limited possessions for the quarterback. This won’t happen on Sunday night.
Brock Purdy is one of the greatest stories in the NFL. Going from Mr. Irrelevant to a starting quarterback in his first season was amazing to see, and he continues to play at a high level. Luckily for Purdy, he hasn’t been forced to repeatedly throw the ball down the field.
The 49ers win by running the football. This is a Kyle Shannahan staple, and it has caused the quarterback’s passing numbers to be limited. He has been efficient when he throws the ball and has a lot of explosive receivers, so we don’t recommend playing a yardage under for the quarterback.
Yet, based on what we've seen from San Francisco, his passing attempts are a viable betting option for Sunday. Purdy has only gone over 31 attempts once in three games. He has missed the over on this line by 11, seven, and three attempts. If McCaffrey and the run game are clicking early, Purdy will stay within 31.5 attempts.
When you wager $5, you’ll receive $200 in bonus bets when you sign up at DraftKings using our link.
Tanner Kern has been working in the betting industry since 2020. He currently is a social media content creator at DraftKings and contributes to multiple sites in addition to WSN, including Forbes and VSiN. He is also the cohost of the podcast Ride the Line at WSN.More info on Tanner Kern
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