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Image for Jay Sanin Jay Sanin - Published September 28, 2023

Thursday Night Football Prop Bets: Best TNF Player Props Week 4

This week’s Thursday Night Football matchup is an NFC North clash between the Detroit Lions and Green Bay Packers. Both teams come into this game at 2-1, and the winner will enter Week 5 in sole possession of first place in their division. But rather than look at the outcome of this game, we have three prop bets that you should consider firing on for this huge matchup in Green Bay.

NFL TNF Prop Bets Week 4 2023

Lions to Score First

-116 at FanDuel Sportsbook

Our first prop bet for Lions vs Packers is for the Detroit Lions to score the first points of the game on the road. Green Bay is off to a 2-1 start to this season just like the Lions, and the Packers may be a popular pick at home in this crucial contest. But there are several reasons to back the Lions and for them to score first in this matchup of division rivals.

First, the Packers are 2-1 following their Week 3 win over the New Orleans Saints. But a little context is required when looking at the record for the Packers and their win over the Saints. Green Bay trailed that game decisively before Saints starting quarterback Derek Carr went down due to a shoulder injury, forcing Jameis Winston to take over at quarterback, allowing Green Bay to come back and win.

Along with that fortunate situation that led to the Packers coming back in Week 3, the Packers are lacking consistency in their running game which could hurt them here. The Packers are averaging just 90.3 yards per game on the ground through three weeks, which ranks in the bottom 10 in the NFL. That will mean having to throw the ball more than they’d like with Jordan Love, which will help the Lions to score first even if they don’t start with the ball.

Amon-Ra St. Brown Anytime TD scorer

+125 at DraftKings Sportsbook

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Our next prop for this contest focuses on Lions wide receiver Amon-Ra St. Brown, who is +125 to score a touchdown in this game at DraftKings Sportsbook. We expect St. Brown to do just that, to help the Lions in a game they should win on the road. St. Brown has just one receiving touchdown on the season so far, but the circumstances are favorable for him to get another one in this contest.

Bettors should not word about the Lions being on the road for this game, at least when it comes to whether or not St. Brown will find the end zone. St. Brown’s lone touchdown of the season so far came against the Kansas City Chiefs on the road in Week 1 of the season, in a game the Lions won in an upset. St. Brown will be a threat again on the road here against the Packers' defense.

Jared Goff Over 1.5 Passing TDs

-125 at DraftKings Sportsbook

πŸ”₯ Claimed by 139 people this week!

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10/10

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The last Thursday Night Football prop on our list for this week concerns Jared Goff and his passing touchdown total. Goff has thrown for five touchdowns so far this season in three games. He will go over his total of 1.5 touchdowns in this game to help the Lions pick up a huge win to improve to 3-1 on the season.

So far this year, Goff has thrown for more than one touchdown in just one of the Lions’ three games. That came at home in Week 2, when the Lions lost outright as a five-point favorite against the Seattle Seahawks. But the two games that Goff did not throw two or more touchdowns in were games where the defense and running game of the Lions were the keys to their success.

In this game, the passing attack of the Lions is going to be much more important to their chances of winning. Against a Packers defense that is going to have to sell out against the run based on their bottom-five ranking against the run so far this year, there should be plenty of openings for Goff to attack through the air to hit this over.

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AUTHOR

Jay Sanin

190 Articles

Jay Sanin is a sports bettor and writer from New York. He has been handicapping since the moment he was old enough to gamble legally, with his specialties being niche sports like the WNBA and XFL. He’s been told he has a voice for radio. He also has a face for radio.

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