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Tom Brady's Next NFL Team - Top 3 Predictions and Odds

Written by: Mike Lukas
Updated October 14, 2022
12 min read

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The best quarterback to ever take NFL snaps is a free agent, so let the speculation begin…

Have you heard?

The minute that NFL quarterback Tom Brady and the New England Patriots voided the 2020-year option on his deal (for the first time in his 20-year career), he became a free agent and from that moment on, the media speculation on Brady’s future has been unfurling.

Apparently, the notoriously underpaid GOAT finally wants to make some football bank from the Patriots’ owner Robert Kraft, and after earning six Super Bowl rings with them and being selected as MVP for four of those games, many argue that he deserves it.

But in professional football, you don’t get paid for what you already did, your contract rewards you for what you are about to do, and some question whether the 43-year-old Brady still has enough mustard left in the jar to make signing him worth it, especially for the amount of money he will be requesting.

Here we answer a few Brady FAQs and then list the top-3 predictions and odds of which NFL team he will play for next.

How is Tom Brady Still Playing Football?

That’s the multi-million-dollar question that health experts have been asking Brady for years now, since he not only remains in excellent physical shape, he has also remained relatively injury-free.

Credit the transcendental meditation that Brady regularly does, plus the 80/20 diet (80% alkaline and 20% acidic) on top of the fact that he does not drink and he is notorious for going to bed early.

The other big factor in Brady’s ability to stay off the injured reserve list is the result of his head coach, Bill Belichick, creating a style of football that allows him to release the ball quickly so as to avoid sacks and pressure (and therefore injury) as much as possible.

How Much Was Tom Brady’s Last Contract Worth?

Tom Brady’s last contract was a 1-year deal for $23 million, and that included a signing bonus of $20.25 million, and (until it was voided) it also included a guaranteed annual salary of $32 million, which is the amount another team would most likely have to beat.

Currently, the highest-paid NFL quarterback is the Seattle Seahawks’ Russell Wilson, who averages $35 million per season, and next is the Green Bay Packers’ Aaron Rodgers, who pulls in $33.5 million per year, then Matt Ryan of the Atlanta Falcons, who earns an even $30 million.

The question is whether Brady, arguably the best quarterback to ever play in the NFL and a future Hall-of-Famer, can score a contract from any team for longer than one year and for over the $32 million he was supposed to make from his prior contract.

Why Would the New England Patriots Re-Sign Tom Brady?

That’s simple – he has led the New England Patriots to six Super Bowl wins out of nine appearances and with him under center the team has won the NFC East in all but two of his twenty seasons.

Belichick and Brady work incredibly well together and the team’s game plan and roster has been created with Brady’s particular skills in mind (quick release pocket passer), so it would only be a matter of picking up a few more high-level targets for him, like a deep threat receiver and a Gronk-like tight end.

With a 42-year-old Brady quarterbacking, the Patriots went 12-4 and made it to the playoffs, so he’s still highly effective at his job, but New England was a few playmakers short of being able to beat the Tennessee Titans in the Wild Card round, even at home, so for it to make sense to re-sign Brady, some receivers not named Julian Edelman who can get open and stay healthy will have to be acquired.

Why Would the New England Patriots Not Re-Sign Tom Brady?

Chances are, owner Robert Kraft, who considers Brady family, would only refuse to resign his favorite quarterback if Brady either demands too much money (as in $35+ million) or too much time (as in 3+ year contract) since effectiveness and longevity at his age are the main factors in question.

Although it seems highly unlikely at this point that the Pats would move on from Brady, especially given his level of fitness and the success of the team last season, it could be that they are ready to move on to their next phase and the money they would save by not re-signing Brady could be used for future deals.

Another team might offer Brady so much cash to switch over that he is tempted to leave New England, but in the end, he doesn’t need the money (he and his wife supermodel Gisele will be just fine) so the decision will most likely be based on his chances of winning another ring.

What Other NFL Quarterbacks Have Famously Changed Teams at the End of Their Career?

There have been plenty of other legendary quarterbacks who have switched teams at the end of their careers, and here are just a few of them.

After winning Super Bowl 41 with the Indianapolis Colts, Peyton Manning signed with the Denver Broncos when he was 36-years old and ended up winning Super Bowl 50 with them.

Brett Favre was with the Green Bay Packers for 16 seasons and with him under center, the team won Super Bowl 31, but was traded to the Jets for a season and then signed with the Minnesota Vikings, who beat the Packers and Aaron Rodgers twice on their way to the NFC Championship game.

The great Joe Montana won four Super Bowls with the San Francisco 49ers over the course of 13-seasons, but after missing 1991 and most of 1992 due to injury, he signed with the Kansas City Chiefs in 1993 and posted a 17-8 record over the next two seasons.

Top-3 Predictions of Tom Brady’s Next NFL Team

Which team will bring enough tin cans to the table to make the GOAT happy?

According to oddsmakers, here are the top three candidates:

3) Los Angeles Chargers             +800

With veteran quarterback Philip Rivers also experiencing free agency, the Los Angeles Chargers have been rumored to be interested in taking on Brady for a season or two while they transition into a younger quarterback.

Head coach Anthony Lynn would have fun pairing Brady with wide receiver Keenan Allen, who would be one of the best wide receiving targets that Brady has ever played with.

The Chargers have been out of the playoffs for five of the last six seasons, so they couldn’t do worse with Brady under center, and that would give general manager Tom Telesco a little more breathing room as the team gradually transitions to a younger quarterback.

2) Las Vegas Raiders                   +600

What an exciting deal that would be for Jon Gruden and his Las Vegas Raiders – march into their new Nevada hometown with the GOAT on display as they use him to fill the seats of their new stadium.

Of course, that would involve Brady learning an entirely new offense, one that supposedly includes calling plays as long as a CVS receipt for a head coach like Gruden who plays a completely different brand of football than Brady’s used to with Belichick.

Of course, this would involve Brady living across the country from his family, who currently live in Greenwich, Connecticut, so the money and the potential to win another Super Bowl would have to be incredible for such a move to be worth it for him.

1) New England Patriots              -455

Even the odds makers know that the most likely scenario for Tom Brady in 2020 is to stay right where he is, the same place he’s been successful for the last two decades.

Chances are Robert Kraft will pay the man – after all, Brady has taken a ‘hometown discount’ for most of his career, so it’s not like he doesn’t deserve it.

Brady staying in New England is the best thing for the Patriots since they are going to have to start looking towards the future anyway and having a player like the GOAT mentoring whichever young buck the team decides to bet on would make the transition far less bumpy than it would be without him.

Tom Brady’s Next Team Odds

The odds for which will be Tom Brady’s next team are provided by DraftKings Sportsbook.

To see if it is legal to bet on sports in your state, go to “Where is online sports betting legal in the USA?“.

Team DraftKings Odds
NE Patriots -455
Las Vegas Raiders +600
LA Chargers +800
TEN Titans +1200
IND Colts +1600
TB Buccaneers +1600
MIA Dolphins +2500
CAR Panthers +4000
CHI Bears +5000
DEN Broncos +5000
NO Saints +5000
PIT Steelers +5000
NY Giants +6000
DAL Cowboys +6600
DET Lions +6600
JAX Jaguars +6600

For more odds visit DraftKings Sportsbook, William Hill NJ, or bet365 NJ.

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Mike Lukas

1204 Articles

Mike Lukas is a retired standup comedian turned freelance writer now living in Dallas, Texas, originally from Cleveland, Ohio. His love for the game of football and all things Cleveland Browns turned Mike into a pro blogger years ago. Now Mike enjoys writing about all thirty-two NFL teams, hoping to help football gamblers gain a slight edge in their pursuit of the perfect wager. Email: [email protected]

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