Colombia won Group K ahead of Portugal by collecting seven points from a possible nine, while Ghana advanced to the round of 32 as one of the best third-place finishers. Who will triumph on Friday?
According to the latest World Cup odds, Colombia is the favorite to win this last-32 tie, but will Ghana spring a surprise and advance to the round of 16?
Location: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, USA
Date & Time: Friday, July 3, 9:30 PM ET
US Broadcast: FOX Sports
| Colombia vs. Ghana | FanDuel | DraftKings | BetMGM | Caesars |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | -175 | -170 | -185 | -182 |
| Tie | +270 | +290 | +280 | +275 |
| Away | +600 | +550 | +525 | +550 |
| Disclaimer: The odds listed in this table are accurate at the time of writing and will fluctuate as game day approaches. | ||||
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Below are our three top tips for Colombia vs. Ghana, including two straight bets and one same game parlay.
Colombia to Win the Second Half
Colombia was hugely disappointed to miss out on World Cup 2022 and it is determined to make up for lost time this summer. Nestor Lorenzo’s side impressed in the group stage, collecting seven points from nine to finish first ahead of Portugal. Colombia tended to come on strong after the interval, winning two of its three second halves in Group K. Ghana will sit deep and look to deny Colombia space in the final third, so there is a good chance that Los Cafeteros will have to wait until the second period to make a breakthrough.
Under 2.5 Goals
Ghana demonstrated its defensive credentials in the group phase, keeping two clean sheets in its three games. It successfully shut out Panama on matchday one, before scoring a last-gasp winner to claim maximum points. It then delivered a defensive masterclass to hold England to a 0-0 tie, and although Croatia beat Ghana 2-1 last time out, Carlos Queiroz’s team was taking things a little easier having already qualified for the round of 32. There were under 2.5 goals in four of the six matches involving Colombia or Ghana in the group stage.
Colombia to Win and Luis Diaz Anytime Goalscorer
For all its solidity and resolve at the back, Ghana is a limited side. Antoine Semenyo is a top player (the forward is on the books of Manchester City for a reason), but he is yet to transfer his club form to the international stage. Ghana is an honest team, but there is a shortage of quality in its current roster. Ghana has won just one of its last 10 fixtures, so Colombia will get the job done here. Luis Diaz is the dangerman, even if he had a quiet game against Portugal on matchday three of the group stage.
Colombia is not a flawless side, but it was very fun to watch in the group stage. It kicked off its campaign with a 3-1 victory over Uzbekistan which was not quite as comfortable as the scoreline suggests, with Colombia only making sure of the points with a third goal in the ninth minute of second-half stoppage time. Los Cafeteros then beat DR Congo 1-0, before finishing up with a goalless tie against Portugal that was much more entertaining than it sounds.
Colombia plays a high-tempo, attack-minded brand of soccer. It has found a way to squeeze several forwards into the side, with James Rodriguez, Luis Suarez and Luis Diaz forming a front three, and Jhon Arias invited to frequently make runs into the final third from midfield. Its principal problem so far has been wayward finishing, especially against DR Congo and Portugal.
After finishing as the runner-up at Copa America 2024, Colombia finished third in the South American section of World Cup qualifying. It is patently a good side and will consider a place in the round of 16 as its minimum objective this summer.
Ghana entered the World Cup with low expectations. It failed to qualify for a 24-team Africa Cup of Nations a few months previously; the likes of Comoros, Botswana and war-torn Sudan were present for the continental competition in Morocco, but the four-time African champion was not. Its form ahead of the World Cup was so bad that Ghana changed its coach just two months before the big kick-off, hiring Carlos Queiroz in place of Otto Addo.
You know what you are going to get with Queiroz, the former Real Madrid manager and two-time assistant to Alex Ferguson at Manchester United. Results in tune-up friendlies were mediocre, but Ghana qualified for the last 32 of the World Cup with a game to spare thanks to a 1-0 victory over Panama and a 0-0 tie with England.
Many Ghanaians did not expect the team to get this far, so anything it achieves from here is a bonus. The pressure is off the Black Stars, which is precisely what makes Queiroz’s crew dangerous in the round of 32 - and potentially beyond.
This game brings a clash of styles. Colombia is a front-footed, proactive team that does everything at speed. Ghana is the polar opposite. It likes to play reactive soccer, allowing its opponent to control the ball and slowing things down to disrupt its rhythm. It can be rapid on the counter-attack, but when it defends, ‘slow and steady’ is Ghana’s motto.
Ghana will aim to frustrate Colombia by breaking up its rhythm by fair means and foul. It is essential for Los Cafeteros that the players keep their patience and discipline. Colombia has a mixed record in that regard. In the group stage, it often took on hopeful shots from distance because it could not find a breakthrough. It must focus on the quality rather than the quantity of its attempts against Ghana.
Ultimately, Colombia has more attacking quality at its disposal and that will make the difference. It will not have everything its own way against such an obdurate opponent, but Nestor Lorenzo’s side is our pick to reach the round of 16.
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