Best MLB Prop Bets Today | MLB Player Props August 7

Written by: Bryan Zarpentine
Published August 7, 2023
5 min read
Best MLB Player Props August 07 2023

Juan Soto and Trent Grisham to Both Get a Hit (+170 at DraftKings)

Both players have surprisingly good value to get a hit individually, but pairing them together in a same-game parlay can give you valuable odds. Soto getting a hit is obvious. He’s been one of San Diego’s best hitters all season. He’s also 10 for 26 (.385) over his last six games. Soto is also 3 for 9 in his career against Tony Gonsolin, who starts for the Dodgers in Monday’s matinee.

Admittedly, Grisham is a surprise addition to any hitting prop. Known mostly for his defense, Grisham is hitting just .215 on the season. But he’s batting .350 over his last six games, suddenly coming alive. In fact, he enters Monday’s game on a seven-game hitting streak. The kicker is that Grisham is 6 for 13 (.462) with two extra-base hits in his career against Gonsolin. Between his current hot streak and a great history against Gonsolin, Grisham has tons of value on Monday, making him and Soto an intriguing pairing in a same-game parlay.

Ronald Acuna Jr. to Get Hit and Matt Olson 1+ RBI (+140 at DraftKings)

This is another same-game parlay that helps to get good value. The Braves are set to face Pittsburgh’s Osvaldo Bido, who has had mixed results this year with a 5.18 ERA and a 1.52 WHIP. He’s also failed to go beyond three innings in his last four starts, so the Pittsburgh bullpen should be asked to do some heavy lifting. That should make it easier for Acuna and Olson, two of the best hitters in baseball this season, to do some damage.

Over his last six games, Acuna is 11 for 23 (.478). He’s put together four consecutive multi-hit games and is scorching hot at the moment. It’d be shocking to see him not be able to get at least one hit against Bido and the Pittsburgh bullpen. Meanwhile, Olson is usually a safe bet to get an RBI, as he has 97 of them this season. In fact, he’s driven in a run in nine consecutive games. Olson also has 39 home runs on the season, so he doesn’t always need someone on base to get an RBI. Considering the way Acuna and Olson have performed all year, getting plus odds on any same-game parlay involving these two provides great value.

Marcus Semien Over 0.5 Hits (-270 at DraftKings)

The value may not be there, but this figures to be one of the safest bets in baseball on Monday, one that can be included in parlays. In his career, Semien is 2 for 5 with two doubles against Oakland starter Ken Waldichuk. Even if Waldichuk doesn’t last long enough to face Semien more than twice, a terrible Oakland bullpen may not fare much better against the slugger. 

Over his last 13 games, Semien is batting .353. He’s been even hotter lately, batting .409 over his last six games. Currently, Semien has a seven-game hitting streak. In fact, Semien has multiple hits in three of his last six games. With such a favorable matchup on Monday, it’s hard to imagine that his hitting streak will come to an end against Waldichuk and the lowly A’s.

Seth Lugo Over 4.5 Strikeouts (-145 at DraftKings)

Frankly, we were prepared to take over 5.5 strikeouts with Lugo on Monday, so over 4.5 being an option is a dream scenario. Obviously, he faces a tough assignment against the Dodgers on Monday. But it’s a day game, so perhaps Lugo will luck out and face a sleepy Los Angeles lineup with one or two regulars getting the day off. If not, reaching five strikeouts shouldn’t be that difficult. In his 16 starts this season, Lugo has failed to strike out at least five batters just three times.

On the season, Lugo has 88 strikeouts in 89 innings of work, so he essentially strikes out one batter per inning. Lugo has also pitched seven innings in back-to-back starts and lasted at least six innings in five of his last six starts, so he should have plenty of time to reach five strikeouts. That’s particularly true with a full week since his last start. On top of that, Lugo has at least seven strikeouts in three consecutive starts, so reaching five, even against a team like the Dodgers, isn’t that much of an imposition.

Pablo Lopez Under 2.5 ER (-165 at DraftKings), Over 7.5 Strikeouts (+115 at DraftKings)

There are two prop bets we like with Lopez on Monday. Remaining under 2.5 earned runs allowed feels a little safer, but over 7.5 strikeouts is worth considering as well. The Tigers were shut out on Friday and have scored below two runs in two of their last five games, so Lopez keeping them to two runs or less for six or seven innings isn’t hard to believe. Keep in mind that Lopez has held teams to two runs or less in five of his last six starts. Somehow, Oakland was the only team to get to him during that stretch. But he’s put together three solid outings since that game.

On the strikeout front, Lopez has only reached eight strikeouts once in his four starts since the all-star break. But he entered the all-star break striking out at least nine batters in four of five starts. Plus, over his last four starts, he struck out seven batters twice despite failing to complete six full innings. In the 14 games in which he’s pitched at least six innings, Lopez has reached eight strikeouts nine times. That includes a 10-strikeout performance in six innings against the Tigers in June, albeit in a loss. As long as Lopez pitches at least six full innings against Detroit, he should be able to get to eight strikeouts.

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Bryan Zarpentine

Sports Betting Analyst

Online Sports Betting
Bryan Zarpentine is a 2008 graduate of Syracuse University and has been working as a freelance writer and editor since 2010. During that time, he has contributed to countless sites while covering baseball, soccer, the NFL, college football, and college basketball.
Nationality: American
Education: Bachelor of Arts
Favourite Sportsbook: BetMGM Sportsbook
Favourite Casino: BetMGM Casino
14 years
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