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Best MLB Prop Bets Today | MLB Player Props, July 17

Written by: Bryan Zarpentine
Published July 17, 2023
18 min read
Best MLB Player Props July 17 2023

The following odds are from DraftKings, where the MLB Prop Bets can be made. Check out other MLB betting sites for more betting opportunities!

Salvador Perez Over 1.5 Total Bases (-110 at DraftKings) vs Matt Manning

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4.8/5

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With trade speculation surrounding him, Perez has come back from the all-star break on fire for the lowly Royals. In the first three games after the break, Perez is six for nine with a home run. On the season, he has 15 home runs and 15 doubles, so he’s always a threat to get an extra-base hit if he’s not capable of collecting multiple hits in a game.

Clearly, he’s not bothered by the trade speculation surrounding him and is completely focused on leading the lowly Royals, at least for the time being. Perez also has an excellent track record against Detroit starter Matt Manning. While he only has seven career at-bats against Manning, Perez has three hits and two walks, so he tends to see the ball well against Manning, setting him up for a productive game on Monday.

Gleyber Torres and D.J. LeMahieu to Each Get a Hit (-115 at DraftKings)

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4.8/5

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To get some value from player-hit props, try putting Torres and LeMahieu together in a same-game parlay on Monday. The Yankees have scored 13 total runs over the last two days with these two leading the way. Since the all-star break, Torres is 7 for 15 and LeMahieu is 6 for 13. Both have come back from the break red-hot and have a chance to keep it going on Monday.

For what it’s worth, both Torres and LeMahieu are 0 for 2 in their careers against Griffin Canning, who starts for the Angels. But Canning also has a modest 4.62 ERA and got rocked in his last start, giving up four runs on five hits over just 2.2 innings. He also hasn’t pitched in 10 days, so Canning could be a little rusty, allowing the Yankees to get something going against him, especially their two hottest hitters right now.

Grayson Rodriguez Over 4.5 Hits (-155 at DraftKings)

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4.8/5

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Even if this were to get bumped up to 5.5 hits, we’d still take the over. The 23-year-old Rodriguez has had a rough season, posting a 7.35 ERA and a 1.74 WHIP. Needless to say, that doesn't bode well for him against a star-studded Los Angeles lineup. While he’s never faced the likes of Mookie Betts and Freddie Freeman in his young career, those players will have a chance to do some serious damage against him.

For what it's worth, the Orioles are bringing Rodriguez back to the majors for the first time since May, so it’s been a while since he’s been knocked around by big-league hitters. Over the last six weeks, Rodriguez has posted a 1.96 ERA across eight starts at triple-A, so he certainly deserves a second chance. However, Rodriguez has only allowed four hits or less in two of his 10 starts in the majors this season, and he’s allowed at least six hits in six of those starts. Even if he’s grown during his time in the minors, the Dodgers are not the team he wants to face in his return.

Jesus Luzardo Over 6.5 Strikeouts (+105 at DraftKings), Under 2.5 ER (-140 at DraftKings)

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4.8/5

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For what it’s worth, the Cardinals have scored 22 runs in their first three games coming out of the all-star break. But that was against the Nationals, so that success may not translate against Luzardo. The lefty posted a 3.28 ERA in June and has a 1.46 ERA over his first two starts in July, allowing just two runs on nine hits over 12.1 innings. That includes six scoreless innings against the Cardinals earlier this month. Even if it can be difficult to face the same team twice in a short period of time, Luzardo has been so hot lately that may not matter.

Specifically, Luzardo has at least eight strikeouts in his last four starts, which is why the over/under of 6.5 is a little low. In fact, if you go back to the middle of May, Luzardo has recorded at least seven strikeouts in nine of his last 11 starts. He’s been able to go at least six innings deep in six of his last seven starts, so the lefty is giving himself plenty of opportunities to rack up the strikeouts. At the same time, Luzardo has held opposing teams to two earned runs or less in five consecutive starts. He’s pitched at least six scoreless innings in three of those five starts, showcasing just how dominant he’s been. 

Jordan Lyles Over 5.5 Hits (+105 at DraftKings), Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-135 at DraftKings)

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4.8/5

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Granted, the Tigers aren’t the best offensive team in the league. In fact, they just got shut out by the Mariners on Sunday. But fading Lyles is never a bad idea. Even if he’s put together some decent starts lately, he’s still just 1-11 with a 6.42 ERA and just 69 strikeouts in 96.2 innings this year. Plus, the value is too high, especially for Lyles to give up over 5.5 hits.

Even when Lyles pitched well in his last start, allowing just one run over five innings against the Guardians, he still gave up six hits. Lyles has allowed at least six hits in five of his last seven starts, and that’s during his best stretch of the season. With a little bit of rust possible after the extended break, Lyles should be more vulnerable than usual, even against the Tigers. Likewise, the five strikeouts he had against the Guardians in his last start is a little out of character for Lyles. That’s the only time he’s hit five strikeouts in his last five starts. He’s reached that mark just three times in his last 12 starts, making it unlikely that he’ll get there on Monday.

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AUTHOR

Bryan Zarpentine

162 Articles

Bryan Zarpentine is a 2008 graduate of Syracuse University and has been working as a freelance writer and editor since 2010. During that time, he has contributed to countless sites while covering baseball, soccer, the NFL, college football, and college basketball.

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