While fading the New York Yankees elite top of their order is never a recipe for success, they draw a tough assignment Monday night as they are set to face off against the Kansas City Royals Brady Singer who excels at avoiding contact. Before that takes place, we target the matchup between the Miami Marlins and Pittsburgh Pirates as Paul Skenes is given an opportunity to round back into form with a dominant outing.
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With just a half game lead over the Baltimore Orioles for first place in the AL East division standings, the New York Yankees are now in control of their own destiny. Should they be able to hold off the Orioles for the division title, then the Yankees would most likely secure a bye in the playoffs as the AL West leading Houston Astros are five games back in the overall standings. Getting a bye is crucial for the Yankees, giving them a major advantage to help make a run to the World Series after much needed rest.
Should the Yankees want to continue to pull away from the Orioles and win the division, then their defense will need to round back into form after slipping down to league average marks in Defensive Efficiency. Especially during the course of the playoffs as the quality of opponents ramps up. Their offense can’t do it alone, even while they rank near the top of the board in Team Total Hits, RBIs, Total Runs Scored, and On Base Percentage.
Luckily for the Yankees, a matchup against the Royals offense presents their defense an opportunity to build some late season momentum as the Royals fail to get on base at a league average rate. That bodes especially well for their starting pitcher Carlos Rodon as he has struggled with his command in his 2024 campaign. In 28 games played this season, Rodon takes the mound with an ERA of 4.19, a WHIP of 1.221, and a FIP of 4.30.
On the other side of the field, the Royals Brady Singer draws a much tougher matchup as he is set to face off against the AL MVP front runner Aaron Judge and Juan Soto at the top of the Yankees lineup. Even against their elite blend of power and contact ability, Singer possesses the tools needed to neutralize their production as he enters the contest with an ERA of 3.35 while averaging less than one Hit Against per 152.1 Innings Pitched.
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Shortly before our previously mentioned NRFI kicks off, we turn our attention towards the matchup between the Miami Marlins and Pittsburgh Pirates as Paul Skenes looks to build his case for the NL Rookie of the Year award. After being listed as high as -5000 to win the award, Skenes is now listed behind the San Diego Padres Jackson Merrill on the oddsboard after going through a lengthy cold stretch in the month of August.
Against the Miami Marlins, Skenes will have a beautiful opportunity to remind voters why he was once considered a near lock to win the award as their offense ranks below league average in Team Total Hits, RBIs, Total Runs Scored, and On Base Percentage. With little to no offensive production, expect Skenes to continue to limit the number of opposing runners on base and in scoring position as his ERA of 2.13 and WHIP of 0.982 indicates.
Speaking of struggling offenses, the Pittsburgh Pirates have equally underwhelmed as they also rank below league average in the same previously mentioned offensive metrics. Their lack of offensive production puts Valente Bellozo in a position to continue to succeed in regard to limiting opposing scoring opportunities as he enters the contest with an ERA of 3.78, 44 Hits Against, and 20 Earned Runs Allowed in nine games played.
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