MLB Rookie of the Year 2024: Luis Gil Back In Elite Form

Written by: Kody Malstrom
Fact-checked by: James Whitelock
Updated July 15, 2024
10 min read
  • Wyatt Langford is the new betting favorite to win the AL Rookie of the Year award

  • Luis Gil seemingly rounded back into form after a three game cold stretch

  • Paul Skenes is now a massive favorite to win the NL Rookie of the Year award

After being listed as a heavy favorite to win the AL Rookie of the Year award, Luis Gil saw his odds drastically crash down after a three game cold stretch. He has managed to keep his name in contention near the top of the board after rounding back into form in his last two outings, but a new name resides at the top with Wyatt Langford being listed as the favorite to win the prestigious award. 

As for the NL, Paul Skenes has seen his odds continue to balloon up after putting together a dominant start to his career. Not only for the NL Rookie of the Year award, but for the NL Cy Young award as well. It’s his award to lose after being listed as high as -1100 in some sportsbooks to win the NL Rookie of the Year award, yet there's still plenty of season left to be played with Jackson Merrill not too far behind him should Skenes fall back down to reality.

AL Rookie of the Year Award Odds

Odds courtesy of the BetMGM sportsbook. Click on the odds in the table below to head to the BetMGM sportsbook and place your bets. Get up to $1,500 in bonus bets back if you lose your first bet with the WSN promo code WSNMGM.

Wyatt Langford+120
Luis Gil+200
Ceddanne Rafaela+800
Wilyer Abreu+1100
Colton Cowser+1200

NL Rookie of the Year Odds

Paul Skenes-1000
Jackson Merrill+450
Shota Imanaga+2200
Michael Busch+3500
Masyn Winn+4000
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MLB Rookie of the Year Predictions and Odds to Win the Award

NL - Paul Skenes (-1000) at BetMGM

After making his start a few weeks into the season, Skenes has not wasted any time in his efforts to run away with the NL Rookie of the Year award. Once competing with Shota Imanaga for the top spot of the oddsboard, Skenes now stands alone as the massive favorite entering the All Star break. 

Skenes enters the second half of the season with an ERA of 1.90, a WHIP of 0.920, a FIP of 2.58, 89 Total Strikeouts, 48 Hits Against, and just 14 Earned Runs Allowed in 11 total games played. Even with it looking like it’s Skenes' award to lose, avoid buying his drastically high odds as his position as a pitcher brings a high amount of variance should he go through a cold stretch.

Bet on Paul Skenes (-1000) at BetMGM 

AL - Wyatt Langford (+135) at FanDuel

Wyatt Langford was the biggest benefactor with Luis Gil’s three game cold stretch, now being listed as the new betting favorite to win the AL Rookie of the Year award. Langford plays a pivotal role for the reigning World Series champions Texas Rangers in their efforts to defend their title, giving them a productive batter in the middle of their lineup as well as a defensive stalwart in the outfield.

The issue for Langford in his chances to continue to make a case for the AL Rookie of the Year award is that they are largely dependent on Gil continuing to struggle. His offensive stats are modest at best as the Padres Jackson Merrill largely overshadows him in most key metrics. Langford’s rise up the oddsboard creates value towards Gil, making him a pass in this market for now.

Bet on Wyatt Langford (+135) at FanDuel 

NL - Jackson Merrill (+550) at FanDuel

Not only has Jackson Merrill continued to dominate as an elite offensive talent, but he is also playing as one of the best center fielders in the league. Merrill has played a major role in the Padres elite offensive metrics, elevating the team to high marks in Team Total Hits, RBIs, Total Runs Scored, and On Base Percentage.

If it wasn’t for Paul Skenes dominating the spotlight as the eccentric Pirates dominant pitcher, then Merrill would find himself as the comfortable favorite to win the award. Especially with Merrill possessing better batting metrics than the current AL Rookie of the Year favorite Wyatt Langford, beating him out in Total Hits, Runs Scored, RBIs, Batting Average, SLG, and OPS.

Bet on Jackson Merrill (+550) at FanDuel 

AL - Mason Miller (+1400) at FanDuel

Mason Miller has been a fade target since the start of the season, even when he was listed as the betting favorite after a hot start to the year. Avoiding Miller has proven to be the right move as he has seen his odds to win the award steadily decline as he has been unable to sustain his elite level of play.

The harsh reality for Miller’s season-long outlook is that his position as a closing pitcher brings too much variance to make him worth a wager. Especially when his back end gives him little to no support in his efforts to shut down opposing offenses as the Athletics defense as a whole ranks well below league average in Defensive Efficiency. Continue to avoid betting on Miller, even as his odds continue to decline.

Bet on Mason Miller (+1400) at FanDuel 

NL - Shota Imanaga (+2600) at FanDuel

Once listed as the heavy favorite to win the NL Rookie of the Year award, as well as a contender to win the NL Cy Young award, Imanaga has since fallen down the board and out of contention. Especially with Paul Skenes continuing to dominate, pushing Imanaga out of the picture with a large lead for the top spot on the oddsboard.

It was a June to forget for the Cubs ace as he routinely got burnt as opposing offenses continued to make contact at a high rate. This led to an uptick in Earned Runs Allowed, as well as tarnishing his WHIP and FIP in the process. Even after impressively shutting down the Orioles elite offense in his last outing, it’s tough to back Imanaga until Paul Skenes falls back down to reality.

Bet on Shota Imanaga (+2600) at FanDuel 

MLB Rookie of the Year Award Winner - My Pick

AL - Luis Gil (+200) at BetMGM

After a rough three game cold stretch that featured a combined 14 Hits Against, 16 Earned Runs Allowed, and just 6 Total Strikeouts, Luis Gil has seemingly rounded back into form after shutting down the Boston Red Sox and Baltimore Orioles offense in his last two outings.

With his recent play, Luis Gil has managed to mitigate the self-inflicted damage done with his chances to win the AL Rookie of the Year award by keeping his name near the top of the oddsboard. Fortunately for Gil, the field is rather lackluster with current leader Wyatt Langford hardly making a case as the deserving favorite. Buy the dip on Gil now before he continues to string together impressive outings and reclaims the top spot on the oddsboard as a heavy favorite.

Bet on Luis Gil (+200) at BetMGM 

Rookie of the Year History

Winning the Rookie of the Year award is more than just an accomplishment, it is also an indicator of future success and a potential turning point for rebuilding teams to take the next step knowing that they have a franchise player in their organization.

Plenty of big names have won the Rookie of the Year award over the past few years and have continued to succeed after a hot start to their careers. Whether it is a pitcher or a batter, knowing you have a set in stone star in the lineup gives an organization major relief as they can attempt to build around them.

Previous AL Rookie of the Year Winners

The table below shows the last ten winners of the AL Rookie of the Year award. Gunnar Henderson was one of the top choices to win the award starting the 2023 MLB Season.

2023Gunnar HendersonBaltimore OriolesOutfielder
2022Julio RodriguezSeattle MarinersOutfielder
2021Randy ArozarenaTampa Bay RaysOutfielder
2020Kyle LewisSeattle MarinersOutfielder
2019Yordan AlvarezHouston AstrosDesignated Hitter/Outfielder

Previous NL Rookie of the Year Winners

The table below shows the last ten winners of the NL Rookie of the Year award. Carroll won the award last season after starting the 2023 season as an underdog.

2023Corbin CarrollArizona DiamondbacksOutfielder
2022Michael Harris IIAtlanta BravesOutfielder
2021Johnathan IndiaCincinnati RedsSecond Baseman
2020Devin WilliamsMilwaukee BrewersPitcher
2019Pete AlonsoNew York MetsFirst Baseman

How to Read MLB Rookie of the Year Odds

Like in every bet you make, it’s vital to understand how the listed odds work. While there are no players currently in this market with a negative sign in front of their odds (-130 for ex.), you may see that later on. Should Luis Gil’s odds say that he is a -130 favorite, then you would have to wager $130 to profit $100. At his current listed odds of +200, then a $100 wager profits you $200.

How to Choose the Best Sportsbook for Betting on the Rookie of the Year Award

Multiple factors play into what makes the best sportsbooks for betting on the Rookie of the Year award. For starters, odds vary between sportsbooks which makes it vital to have as many as you can get in order to line shop. When looking to wager on Luis Gil, you can see that his odds are as high as +200 at BetMGM and as low as +135 at Caesars. That is a difference of $65 in profit should Luis Gil win the Rookie of the Year award.

Each sportsbook also has a unique new user sign up offer that you can read in the table below. With FanDuel sportsbook, you can claim $200 in bonus bets by simply creating an account and winning your first bet of at least $5 wagered. Be sure to wager the $5 on a heavy favorite immediately after signing up, maximizing your chances of winning and collecting the $200 in bonus bets.

Luis Gil Rookie of the Year Odds+200+135+170
Welcome BonusUp to a $1,500 First Bet on BetMGM*Up to a $1,000 First Bet on CaesarsBet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets
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More MLB Futures

MLB Rookie of the Year FAQ

Who Won the AL and NL Rookie of the Year awards in 2023?

Who Are the Current Favorites to Win the Rookie of the Year Awards in 2024?

Can You Bet on the Rookie of the Year award in the Middle of the Season?

When Will the MLB Rookie of the Year Award Be Announced?


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Kody Malstrom

Sports Betting Analyst

Betting Picks
Kody Malstrom is a sports betting journalist with six years of writing experience in the industry. He covers an abundance of sports, including College Football, NFL, College Basketball, NBA, and more. Born and raised in Michigan, Kody is a devoted Detroit Sports fan and spends his Sundays rooting for the Detroit Lions while telling himself this year is the year they win it all. When not staring at betting markets, Kody spends his free time at the beach in the summer or snowboarding in the winter.
Nationality: American
Education: Bachelor of Finance
Favourite Sportsbook: Caesars Sportsbook
Favourite Casino: BetMGM Casino
6 years
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