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MLB Rookie of the Year Odds and Predictions 2026: Which Rising Stars Will Define the Season?

Updated: May 13, 2026, 09:12 AM ET
8 min read

The MLB Rookie of the Year Award, officially known as the Jackie Robinson Award, is given annually to the top first-year player in both the American League and National League.

In recent years, the award has become a strategic tool for teams due to the Prospect Promotion Incentive (PPI). If a team promotes a top prospect to the Opening Day roster and that player wins Rookie of the Year, the team is rewarded with an extra high-end draft pick.

Let's have a closer look at the best candidates and odds for MLB Rookie of the Year in 2026.

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MLB Rookie of the Year Award Odds

Odds for the AL and NL Rookie of the Year are provided by some of our best MLB betting sites available today. Also, check out our selection of the latest MLB promo codes and bonuses.

AL Rookie of the Year Odds

PlayerFanDuel OddsCaesars OddsBetMGM Odds
Munetaka Murakami+160+140+160
Kevin McGonigle+230+200+180
Chase DeLauter+500+425+550
Kazuma Okamoto+1100+1000+1100
Parker Messick+1900+1600+1600
Samuel Basallo+2500+2500+2800
Trey Yesavage+3000+3000+2500
Carter Jensen+3300+2800+2800
Travis Bazzana+3500+3500+4000
Payton Tolle+4000+4000+3500
Odds are current at the time of publishing and are subject to change.

NL Rookie of the Year Odds

PlayerFanDuel OddsCaesars OddsBetMGM Odds
Nolan McLean+200+200+270
JJ Wetherholt+350+300+340
Sal Stewart+400+325+360
Konnor Griffin+450+400+400
Moisés Ballesteros+800+650+800
Ryan Waldschmidt+4000+3500+3000
A.J. Ewing+4000+5000+4000
Bryce Eldridge+5000+5000+6000
Logan Henderson+5000+5000+6000
TJ Rumfield+5000+5000+6000
Odds are current at the time of publishing and are subject to change.

MLB Rookie of the Year - My Picks

Every season brings a fresh wave of highly touted prospects and international stars looking to make an immediate, franchise-altering impact at the major league level. Here are our definitive picks for the standout first-year phenoms poised to dominate the competition and capture the 2026 Rookie of the Year awards.

AL Rookie of the Year - Kevin McGonigle (+230) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Detroit Tigers shortstop Kevin McGonigle has completely electrified the AL Rookie of the Year race with his unmatched prospect pedigree and a truly historic start to the 2026 season. Driven by an elite, highly disciplined hit tool that previously made him the talk of the Arizona Fall League, McGonigle has maintained a blistering pace, batting well over .330 with an OPS nearing .900 through his first week in the majors.

Between his everyday role anchoring the infield for an AL Central contender, his rapid adjustment to big-league pitching, and his current status as a betting co-favorite alongside international imports like Kazuma Okamoto, McGonigle possesses the perfect combination of sky-high potential and immediate, record-book-altering production to be the undeniable frontrunner for the award.

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NL Rookie of the Year - Nolan McLean (+270) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Nolan McLean is a leading candidate for the 2026 National League Rookie of the Year award due to his strong statistical performance and pitching efficiency early in the season. After preserving his rookie eligibility during an effective 48-inning debut in 2025, the Mets right-hander has maintained his productive output.

Through the first six weeks of the 2026 season, McLean leads all qualified NL rookie pitchers in several critical metrics, including strikeouts (57), strikeout rate (11.32 K/9), WHIP (0.90), and opponents' batting average (.180), while carrying a 2.78 ERA. His consistent command and ability to suppress offensive production effectively position him as a clear statistical frontrunner for the award.

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MLB Rookie of the Year History

Plenty of future stars have won the Rookie of the Year award over the years, making it one of the more intriguing award races to watch as it’s a benchmark for future success. Their success can give rebuilding teams hope they can break out of their slump, as well as a World Series contender another tool at their disposal to help make a deep run in the playoffs.

AL Rookie of the Year Award Winners

PlayerYear
Nick Kurtz2025
Luis Gil2024
Gunnar Henderson2023
Julio Rodriguez2022
Randy Arozarena2021
Kyle Lewis2020
Yordan Alvarez2019
Shohei Ohtani2018
Aaron Judge2017
Michael Fulmer2016

NL Rookie of the Year Award Winners

PlayerYear
Drake Baldwin2025
Paul Skenes2024
Corbin Carroll2023
Michael Harris II2022
Jonathan India2021
Devin Williams2020
Pete Alonso2019
Ronald Acuna Jr2018
Cody Bellinger2017
Corey Seager2016

How to Bet on the MLB Rookie of the Year

When looking to bet on the Rookie of the Year award market, it’s vital to wager on players who are consistent and play a major role in their team’s success. Betting on players who have already cemented themselves as a starter in the lineup at the beginning of the year gives you a major advantage as they benefit from more playing time compared to someone who gets called up later on.

Another key way to secure a profit is by hedging your bet should the player you wager on get off to a strong start. When the odds drastically shift in your favor, value may reside down the board should someone else rival your players metrics but is not getting priced correctly. This helps create multiple profiting scenarios which increases your chances of making money in the long run.

How to Read MLB Rookie of the Year Odds

Before you make any type of wager, it’s vital to understand how the listed odds work. If you bet $100 on Jackson Jobe to win the AL Rookie of the Year award at his early season odds of +2000, then you would profit $2,000 if he wins the award.

If you wait to see if Jobe gets out to a strong start and is listed with a minus sign in front of his odds (-115 for example), then you would need to wager $115 to profit $100. Make sure you line shop before placing the wager as the odds for the same market can vary between each sportsbook.

Where to Bet on the MLB Rookie of the Year Leader

As for the official betting partner of the MLB, FanDuel Sportsbook is giving new users a welcome bonus: Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets, after they complete the registration process, make a minimum deposit of $10, and win their first bet. No specific FanDuel promo code is required. New users just need to follow the previously mentioned steps and FanDuel will award their account with bonus bets.

Caesars Sportsbook is another reliable and structured environment for MLB wagers. Their mobile app features a highly navigable interface that allows bettors to easily locate and track long-term futures markets, making it a practical choice for evaluating and securing positions on emerging MLB talent throughout the regular season. Users who join with our Caesars Sportsbook promo code WSNDYW are eligible for the welcome offer: Bet $1, Double Your Winnings 10x.

BetMGM Sportsbook has been one of the top choices for the MLB awards market as their odds normally beat out the rest of the mobile apps. If you have not signed up yet with BetMGM and are looking to bet on the MLB, you can claim the following promo offer Get Up to $1,500 in Bonus Bets*, after creating an account with the BetMGM bonus code WSNSPORTS.

*21+ only. Please Gamble Responsibly. See BetMGM.com for Terms. First Bet Offer for new customers only (if applicable). Subject to eligibility requirements. Bonus bets are non-withdrawable. In partnership with Kansas Crossing Casino and Hotel. Promotional offers not available in Mississippi, New York, Ontario, or Puerto Rico.

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MLB Rookie of the Year FAQ

Who are the current favorites to win the Rookie of the Year awards in 2025?

Has a rookie ever won the World Series MVP award?

When will the MLB Rookie of the Year award be announced?

Can you bet on the Rookie of the Year award in the middle of the season?

Kody Malstrom WSN Contributor

Kody Malstrom

Sports Betting Analyst

Expertise:
MLB
NHL
Betting Picks
Kody Malstrom is a sports betting journalist with six years of writing experience in the industry. He covers an abundance of sports, including College Football, NFL, College Basketball, NBA, and more. Born and raised in Michigan, Kody is a devoted Detroit Sports fan and spends his Sundays rooting for the Detroit Lions while telling himself this year is the year they win it all. When not staring at betting markets, Kody spends his free time at the beach in the summer or snowboarding in the winter.
Email: kody.malstrom@wsn.com
Nationality: American
Education: Bachelor of Finance
Favourite Sportsbook: Caesars Sportsbook
Favourite Casino: BetMGM Casino
Experience: 6 years
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