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MLB Rookie of the Year: The Race Is Unofficially Finished

Written by: Michael Hanich
Updated September 20, 2023
12 min read

The two MLB Rookie of the Year awards have been a solid race since the start of the season. The NL Rookie of the Year award seemed to be cleared for Arizona Diamondbacks outfielder Cribin Carroll to win the award after becoming an MLB All-Star and the star of a young, but talented Diamondbacks team. No other player was able to step up to the plate. 

The AL Rookie of the Year award was much more of a tight race due to the top-level rookie talent. The race became more distant in favor of Baltimore Orioles outfielder Gunnar Henderson as Texas Rangers infielder Josh Jung suffered a fractured thumb. With the regular season coming to a close, Henderson’s lead grew and now, it is clear the award is his.

Keep a watch out for WSN’s weekly World Series updates as we give odds and best bets until a champion is crowned.

AL Rookie of the Year Odds

Odds for the AL Rookie of the Year are no longer available.

NL Rookie of the Year Odds

Odds for the NL Rookie of the Year are no longer available.

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AL Rookie of the Year Analysis & Predictions

The AL Rookie of the Year race is still to be decided. While Baltimore Orioles' infielder Gunnar Henderson has a significant lead, the race is still very much alive. There is still time for some underdogs to make a last big impression before the end of the 2023 MLB Regular Season.

Since the start of the 2023 MLB Season, Orioles' star third baseman/shortstop Gunnar Henderson has been either the leader of the race or keeping a sharp eye on the prize. Henderson's performance and consistency throughout the season validate the Oriloes' big success this season.

Both the Orioles and Henderson had a fantastic week in their six games. The Orioles won five of their six games last week as they continue to make themselves the top team in the AL this season.

Henderson was incredible at the plate in his six games played. In those six games, Henderson accumulated four runs, eight hits, three double-base hits, one triple-base hit, two home runs, seven RBIs, six strikeouts, a batting average of .267, an on-base percentage of .267, a slugging percentage of .633 and an OPS of .900.

His best performance was in the 6-3 win on the road versus the Los Angeles Angels when he accounted for one run, two hits, one double-base hit, one home run, three RBIs and two strikeouts.

In the fielding game, Henderson has accounted for five putouts, 12 assists, only one fielding error and two double plays.

Texas Rangers third baseman Josh Jung has not played since suffering a left thumb fracture on August 6, but the idea that Josh being back on the field in the regular season has boosted his Rookie of the Year odds.

In the 112 games played, Jung accumulated 70 runs, 117 hits,  24 double-base hits, 22 home runs, 67 RBIs, 28 walks, 135 strikeouts, a batting average of .274, an on-base percentage of .323, a slugging percentage of .489 and an OPS of .813.

He was even better in the fielding game as he accounted for 64 putouts, 223 assists, only three fielding errors and 21 double plays.

The third leading player in line to win the AL Rookie of the Year is Boston Red Sox first baseman Triston Casas. His case for the AL Rookie of the Year award dropped due to the hyped potential return of Josh Jung. Another reason is the lack of overall postseason potential and productivity of the Red Sox.

Casas has been a highly efficient two-way player for the Red Sox this year. This week was another example of his stellar play. 

In his six games played last week, Casas accumulated four runs, five hits, two home runs, nine RBIs, four walks, eight strikeouts, a batting average of .217, an on-base percentage of .333 and a slugging percentage of 478. In the fielding game, he accounted for 32 putouts, seven assists and three double plays.

NL Rookie of the Year Analysis & Predictions

There are no weekly odds for the NL Rookie of the Year as Arizona Diamondback outfielder Corbin Carroll has been dominating the race. In his 146 games played, Carroll has accumulated 103 runs, 141 hits, 26 double-base hits, nine triple-base hits, 24 home runs, 69 RBIs, 53 walks, 113 strikeouts, 47 stolen bases, a batting average of .279, an on-base percentage of .358 and a slugging percentage of .508.

How to Read MLB Rookie of the Year Odds

Sports statistics can be a tough language to understand as each sport utilizes special abbreviations and numbers. Sports gambling has a different set of language and context with numbers and signs.

If there is a specific award that can be gambled on such as the MLB Rookie of the Year Award, there is going to be a long list of players mentioned. How likely a player is close in odds to winning the award is determined by a + or – sign. The closer to zero a player in the negative (or positive signs depending on some sportsbooks), the more likely the player is set to be named for the award.

For the NL Rookie of the Year award, Jordan Walker is the favorite over the next player, which would be Corbin Carroll, by a close 40 points. The more a player like Walker separates himself in the race due to their consistent tremendous play, the closer to zero they get. That also means the player with the second-best odds will be distanced from the first-place recipient.

The closer to getting zero someone makes on a bet, the less they will win. The further a player is from the top odds, the more risk there is, but the reward is also higher.

Previous AL Rookie of the Year Winners

Year

Player

Team

Position

2022

Julio Rodriguez

Seattle Mariners

Outfielder

2021

Randy Arozarena

Tampa Bay Rays

Outfielder

2020

Kyle Lewis

Seattle Mariners

Outfielder

2019

Yordan Alvarez

Houston Astros

Designated Hitter/Outfielder

2018

Shohei Ohtani

Los Angeles Angels

Designated Hitter/Pitcher

2017

Aaron Judge

New York Yankees

Outfielder

2016

Michael Fulmer

Detroit Tigers

Pitcher

2015

Carlos Correa

Houston Astros

Shortstop

2014

Jose Abreu

Chicago White Sox

First Baseman

2013

Wil Myers

Tampa Bay Rays

Outfielder

Previous NL Rookie of the Year Winners

Year

Player

Team

Position

2022

Michael Harris II

Atlanta Braves

Outfielder

2021

Johnathan India

Cincinnati Reds

Second Baseman

2020

Devin Williams

Milwaukee Brewers

Pitcher

2019

Pete Alonso

New York Mets

First Baseman

2018

Ronald Acuna Jr. 

Atlanta Braves

Outfielder

2017

Cody Bellinger

Los Angeles Dodgers

First Baseman

2016

Corey Seager

Los Angeles Dodgers

Shortstop

2015

Kris Bryant

Chicago Cubs

Third Baseman

2014

Jacob deGrom

New York Mets

Pitcher

2013

Jose Fernandez

Miami Marlins

Pitcher

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AUTHOR

Michael Hanich

388 Articles

Michael Hanich is a sports journalist/analyst with a wide variety of experience in the newspaper and digital field. He has a love for all sports. The leagues that he covers are College Football, the NFL, the NBA, the NHL, College Basketball (men’s and women’s), the MLB, Lacrosse, Volleyball, and the WNBA.

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