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MLB Rookie of the Year Odds and Predictions 2026: Which Rising Stars Will Define the Season?

Updated: April 15, 2026, 08:04 AM ET
7 min read

The MLB Rookie of the Year Award, officially known as the Jackie Robinson Award, is given annually to the top first-year player in both the American League and National League.

In recent years, the award has become a strategic tool for teams due to the Prospect Promotion Incentive (PPI). If a team promotes a top prospect to the Opening Day roster and that player wins Rookie of the Year, the team is rewarded with an extra high-end draft pick.

Let's have a closer look at the best candidates and odds for MLB Rookie of the Year in 2026.

MLB Rookie of the Year Award Odds

Odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Use our code WSNSPORTS to join BetMGM and place your bets: Get Up to $1,500 in Bonus Bets*.

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AL Rookie of the Year Odds

PlayerOdds
Chase DeLauter+175
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Kevin McGonigle+280
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Munetaka Murakami+425
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Carter Jensen+1000
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Parker Messick+1300
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Kazuma Okamoto+1400
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Samuel Basallo+2500
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Connelly Early+2500
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NL Rookie of the Year Odds

PlayerOdds
Sal Stewart+225
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Nolan McLean+375
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Konnor Griffin+425
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JJ Wetherholt+600
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Owen Caissie+1200
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Andrew Painter+1900
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Justin Crawford+2200
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TJ Rumfield+2500
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*21+ only. Please Gamble Responsibly. See BetMGM.com for Terms. First Bet Offer for new customers only (if applicable). Subject to eligibility requirements.

MLB Rookie of the Year - My Picks

Every season brings a fresh wave of highly touted prospects and international stars looking to make an immediate, franchise-altering impact at the major league level. Here are our definitive picks for the standout first-year phenoms poised to dominate the competition and capture the 2026 Rookie of the Year awards.

AL Rookie of the Year - Kevin McGonigle (+280) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Detroit Tigers shortstop Kevin McGonigle has completely electrified the AL Rookie of the Year race with his unmatched prospect pedigree and a truly historic start to the 2026 season. Driven by an elite, highly disciplined hit tool that previously made him the talk of the Arizona Fall League, McGonigle has maintained a blistering pace, batting well over .330 with an OPS nearing .900 through his first week in the majors.

Between his everyday role anchoring the infield for an AL Central contender, his rapid adjustment to big-league pitching, and his current status as a betting co-favorite alongside international imports like Kazuma Okamoto, McGonigle possesses the perfect combination of sky-high potential and immediate, record-book-altering production to be the undeniable frontrunner for the award.

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NL Rookie of the Year - Sal Stewart (+225) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Cincinnati Reds infielder Sal Stewart has firmly established himself as the premier candidate for the NL Rookie of the Year award thanks to a historically dominant start to the 2026 campaign. Entering the season as a highly touted top prospect following a brief late-2025 debut, the 22-year-old phenom has been an absolute force at the plate, immediately capturing the season's first NL Player of the Week honors.

Stewart torched opposing pitching during his opening week, posting a jaw-dropping .563 batting average and an OPS over 1.800 through his first five games against the Red Sox and Pirates. Between his uncanny ability to draw walks while consistently racking up extra-base hits, his secure everyday spot anchoring the Reds' lineup, and his unprecedented early-season production, Stewart possesses the perfect blend of elite prospect pedigree and immediate, MVP-caliber performance to make him the undeniable frontrunner for the hardware.

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How to Bet on the MLB Rookie of the Year

When looking to bet on the Rookie of the Year award market, it’s vital to wager on players who are consistent and play a major role in their team’s success. Betting on players who have already cemented themselves as a starter in the lineup at the beginning of the year gives you a major advantage as they benefit from more playing time compared to someone who gets called up later on.

Another key way to secure a profit is by hedging your bet should the player you wager on get off to a strong start. When the odds drastically shift in your favor, value may reside down the board should someone else rival your players metrics but is not getting priced correctly. This helps create multiple profiting scenarios which increases your chances of making money in the long run.

How to Read MLB Rookie of the Year Odds

Before you make any type of wager, it’s vital to understand how the listed odds work. If you bet $100 on Jackson Jobe to win the AL Rookie of the Year award at his early season odds of +2000, then you would profit $2,000 if he wins the award.

If you wait to see if Jobe gets out to a strong start and is listed with a minus sign in front of his odds (-115 for example), then you would need to wager $115 to profit $100. Make sure you line shop before placing the wager as the odds for the same market can vary between each sportsbook.

Where to Bet on the MLB Rookie of the Year Leader

BetMGM Sportsbook has been one of the top choices for the MLB awards market as their odds normally beat out the rest of the mobile apps. If you have not signed up yet with BetMGM and are looking to bet on the MLB, you can claim promo offer Get Up to $1,500 in Bonus Bets* after creating an account with the WSN promo code WSNSPORTS.

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As for the official betting partner of the MLB, FanDuel Sportsbook is giving new users Bet $5, Get $250 in Bonus Bets after they complete the registration process, make a minimum deposit of $10, and win their first bet. No promo code is required, new users just need to follow the previously mentioned steps and FanDuel will fund their account with bonus bets.

MLB Rookie of the Year History

Plenty of future stars have won the Rookie of the Year award over the years, making it one of the more intriguing award races to watch as it’s a benchmark for future success. Their success can give rebuilding teams hope they can break out of their slump, as well as a World Series contender another tool at their disposal to help make a deep run in the playoffs.

AL Rookie of the Year Award Winners

PlayerYear
Nick Kurtz2025
Luis Gil2024
Gunnar Henderson2023
Julio Rodriguez2022
Randy Arozarena2021
Kyle Lewis2020
Yordan Alvarez2019
Shohei Ohtani2018
Aaron Judge2017
Michael Fulmer2016

NL Rookie of the Year Award Winners

PlayerYear
Drake Baldwin2025
Paul Skenes2024
Corbin Carroll2023
Michael Harris II2022
Jonathan India2021
Devin Williams2020
Pete Alonso2019
Ronald Acuna Jr2018
Cody Bellinger2017
Corey Seager2016

MLB Rookie of the Year FAQ

Who are the current favorites to win the Rookie of the Year awards in 2025?

Has a rookie ever won the World Series MVP award?

When will the MLB Rookie of the Year award be announced?

Can you bet on the Rookie of the Year award in the middle of the season?

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Kody Malstrom WSN Contributor

Kody Malstrom

Sports Betting Analyst

Expertise:
MLB
NHL
Betting Picks
Kody Malstrom is a sports betting journalist with six years of writing experience in the industry. He covers an abundance of sports, including College Football, NFL, College Basketball, NBA, and more. Born and raised in Michigan, Kody is a devoted Detroit Sports fan and spends his Sundays rooting for the Detroit Lions while telling himself this year is the year they win it all. When not staring at betting markets, Kody spends his free time at the beach in the summer or snowboarding in the winter.
Email: kody.malstrom@wsn.com
Nationality: American
Education: Bachelor of Finance
Favourite Sportsbook: Caesars Sportsbook
Favourite Casino: BetMGM Casino
Experience: 6 years
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