Best NRFI Bets Today: Start Your Day With a Pitchers Duel Between Milwaukee and Cincinnati

Negative regression looms large over the Milwaukee Brewers and Cincinnati Reds top of their orders as they are set to face off against a pair of Cy Young contenders who excel at avoiding contact. Shortly after their opening pitch, we turn our attention towards the Texas Rangers and Tampa Bay Rays as Drew Rasmussen is in a favorable position to sustain his high level of play by facing off against an offense who struggles with getting on base and generating Hits.

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Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds - Freddy Peralta vs. Hunter Greene (7:10 PM, EST)

Under 0.5 Run (-140) at BetMGM Sportsbook

After taking a major leap with his individual production last season, Hunter Greene has been able to carry over his momentum into this year as the Cincinnati Reds pitcher is currently averaging an ERA of 2.63, a WHIP of 0.915, and a FIP of 3.28. His high level of play stems from his ability to create Whiffs as Greene is also averaging over one Strikeout per Inning Pitched.

Against Milwaukee, Greene will have be in a favorable position to build on his momentum as he faces off against a Brewers offense who ranks below league average in Contact Rate. Especially with his back end providing him the coverage he needs to limit the amount of variance in his starts as the Reds defense ranks in the top half of the board in Defensive Efficiency and in Fielding Percentage.

Speaking of generating Strikeouts, the Brewers Freddy Peralta will also have the opportunity to create a high rate of Whiffs as he faces off against a Reds lineup who ranks fifth overall in Strikeout Rate. With Peralta averaging less than one Hit Against per Inning Pitched and a ERA of 2.77, expect the Reds offense to continue to Strikeout at a high rate.

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Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Rays - Tyler Mahle vs. Drew Rasmussen (7:35 PM, EST)

Under 0.5 Run (-128) at FanDuel Sportsbook

It has been a rough start to the year for the Texas Rangers offense as their lineup has struggled to play at a competitive level in multiple key areas. As of writing, the Rangers rank near dead last in Team Total Hits, RBIs, Total Runs Scored, Bases on Walks, and in On Base Percentage.

With Drew Rasmussen set to take the mound for Tampa Bay, the Rangers struggles on offense are poised to persist as the Rays starting pitcher averages an ERA of 2.33, a WHIP of 0.931, and less than 4 Hits Against per game. The Rays back end also provides Rasmussen a high level of production as their defense currently ranks second overall in Defensive Efficiency.

On the other side of the field, Tyler Mahle will have the opportunity to match Rasmussen’s hot start as he faces off against a Rays offense who struggles with getting into scoring position as their below league average mark in On Base Percentage indicates. Expect Mahle to continue to keep the Rays batters off the bases as he enters the contest averaging a WHIP of 1.045 and less than one Hit Against per Inning Pitched.

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Best YRFI Bets Today

• New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgers - Tylor Megill vs. Clayton Kershaw - With the Los Angeles Dodgers Clayton Kershaw averaging nearly two runners on base per inning, expect the New York Mets to get into scoring position early on in their contest against the reigning World Series champions as their lineup ranks near the top of the board in On Base Percentage and in Bases on Walks.

• Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners - Tomoyuki Sugano vs. George Kirby - Positive regression looms large over the star studded Baltimore Orioles offense as the top of their order faces off against Seattle’s George Kirby who currently averages an ERA of 11.42, a WHIP of 1.846, and a FIP of 7.46.

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