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5 Best Picks for Martinsville Speedway - Predictions and Odds

With only four races to go, the championship battle is over for all but eight drivers.

But while most of the field does not have a chance at winning the title anymore, there is still plenty at play.

Building up momentum for 2020 is one of these things.

While some drivers have a very small chance at winning the race, picking up a top 3 or top 5 finish is equally important.

These five drivers offer good value for a potential top 3 or top 5 result.

How to Watch First Data 500

Where: Martinsville Speedway in Ridgeway, VA

When: Sunday, October 27th at 3:00 PM EST

How: NBCSN (TV) | Motor Racing Network (Web radio) | NBC Sports App

1. Ryan Newman

Winner Odds: +10000

Top 3: +2500

Newman is already out of the playoff race, but he could still score a good finish to close out the season.

The Roush Fenway driver has two top 5 finishes in six postseason races, compared to a single one in 26 regular season starts.

He nearly won at Talladega, finishing a very close second to Ryan Blaney.

Newman won at Martinsville back in 2012 and has an average finish of 14.94 at the track, ninth-best among active drivers.

His eight top 5 finishes, on the other hand, are good enough for fourth.

2. Jimmie Johnson

Winner Odds: +3500

Top 3: +900

Jimmie Johnson is third in the all-time winners’ list at Martinsville with nine victories.

That alone makes it worth picking the seven-time champion for a top 5 finish.

Johnson, however, failed to score a single top 10 in the last five starts since his most recent Martinsville win.

The Hendrick Motorsports driver has shown some improvement in this year’s playoffs, finishing five times inside the top 10.

Johnson also holds the best stats at Martinsville among active drivers by a significant margin.

He has an average finish of 8.49, 19 top 5 finishes, 24 top 10 finishes, and 2,863 laps led, more than 1,300 ahead of the second-best mark.

3. Clint Bowyer

Winner Odds: +2500

Top 3: +600

Bowyer snapped a winless streak of six years at Martinsville last year.

The Cup Series veteran had a dominant run, leading 215 laps.

Since joining Stewart-Haas in 2017, Bowyer has only missed out on the top 10 once in five Martinsville starts.

He also scored a third-place and two seventh-place finishes to go along with his 2018 win.

Bowyer currently holds the sixth-best average finish at Martinsville among active drivers.

He also ranks sixth in top 5 finishes, fifth in top 10s and seventh in laps led.

His 2019 season is over as far as the title battle is concerned, but a good result here could build up some confidence for 2020.

4. Kurt Busch

Winner Odds: +3300

Top 3: +800

The elder Busch is a two-time winner at Martinsville.

After capturing his first win in 2002, he repeated the feat more than a decade later, in 2014.

Busch’s performance at Martinsville, however, is as on-and-off as it gets.

While he is one of only five active drivers with multiple wins at Martinsville, his overall record isn’t particularly good.

The Chip Ganassi driver has only managed to score six top 10 finishes in 38 starts.

He only has one more top 5 finish aside from his two wins.

This pick is a bit risky, but Busch’s 2019 form could lead to a good result this weekend.

5. Ryan Blaney

Winner Odds: +1400

Top 3: +350

After scoring a surprising win at Talladega and securing a spot in the Round of 8, Blaney has some additional motivation heading into Martinsville.

Martinsville has been a very good track for the Team Penske driver.

Blaney has three top 10 finishes in his last four starts at the Paper Clip.

He led 145 laps and won the second stage in the March 2018 race, scoring a career-best third-place finish.

Blaney finished fourth at Martinsville earlier this year, having also scored a second place in stage 2.

2019 First Data 500 Odds

The odds for the First Data 500 are provided by DraftKings, bet365 NJ, and Unibet NJ.

Good luck! 

Winner DraftKings


bet365 NJ


Unibet NJ


Kyle Busch +325 +225 +325
Denny Hamlin +400 +400 +400
Martin Truex Jr. +500 +550 +500
Joey Logano +700 +750 +700
Chase Elliott +800 +700 +800
Brad Keselowski +800 +700 +800
Kevin Harvick +1000 +1000 +1000
Ryan Blaney +1400 +1400 +1400

Bet on NASCAR With These NJ Sportsbooks

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