NCAAB Picks Against the Spread: CBB Teams to Target This Week

Since most betting lines for college basketball games don’t drop until the night before, determining which teams have positive trends, impressive statistics, and ideal upcoming matchups can often be challenging for the non-professional bettor due to time restraints.

Our NCAAB Picks page hopes to bridge the gap between the frustrating wait on betting lines that we all experience for college basketball games and the time required to delve into a matchup to adequately evaluate it by highlighting the hottest teams in the country and in which particular spots they might be good to back.

While it can be challenging to predict exactly where a line might open, this page will serve as a helpful resource and hub for all of the most important statistics and trends, so that your betting decisions are more informed. Find our NCAAB picks and college basketball teams to target for this week below!

Teams to Target Against the Spread

This section will break down our favorite teams to target against the spread this week, including some recent statistics and trends that could indicate big performances. Take a look!

Memphis Tigers

Key Statistics & Trends:

• Memphis has won four of its past five games, losing only to Florida Atlantic, one of last season’s Final Four teams.

• The Tigers currently are listed as “Next Four Out,” per Joe Lunardi’s Bracketology.

• In the past three games, Memphis has the third-highest scoring average in the nation. 

Analysis: 

After climbing to as high as No. 10 in the A.P. Poll this season, the Memphis Tigers have plummeted not only out of the rankings but possibly out of the NCAA Tournament picture, too. The Tigers are desperate and must win at least one game, if not multiple, in the AAC Tournament, as they are currently in the “Next Four Out,” per Joe Lunardi at ESPN. 

The second half of the 2023-24 regular season has been disastrous for the Memphis Tigers. A few players have left the program, an important player has suffered a significant injury, and the program is in a state of complete disarray.

However, in the past five games, Memphis has looked much more like the team that got it into the top ten in the A.P. Poll, scoring just shy of 86 points per game on 49% shooting from the field. The Tigers have also held opponents to a meager 28.5% shooting from behind the arc in that span. 

The quality of those opponents is also worth noting, with Florida Atlantic (twice), Charlotte, and UAB sitting in second, third, and fourth in the AAC at the end of the conference regular season. Memphis destroyed Charlotte and UAB by a combined 43 points!

Additionally, Memphis ranks third in points per game and 15th in unadjusted offensive efficiency in its past three games. Ultimately, the Tigers must come together and play with a sense of urgency in the AAC Tournament. Still, they have tremendous individual talent, with David Jones, Nae’Qwan Tomlin, and Jahvon Quinerly leading the way. 

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Indiana Hoosiers

Key Statistics & Trends:

• Indiana has won four consecutive games, including home wins against Michigan State and Wisconsin and road wins against Maryland and Minnesota.

• In their past four games, the Hoosiers have shot close to 55% from the field and 44% from behind the arc.

• Kel’el Ware is fresh off a 28-point and 12-rebound game against the Michigan State Spartans.

Analysis:

Don’t look now, but the Indiana Hoosiers are getting hot at the right time, having strung together four straight wins, with two coming against likely NCAA Tournament teams. The Hoosiers might have to win the entire Big Ten Tournament to punch their ticket to the “Big Dance,” but it is clear that they are not going down without a fight.

Kel’el Ware, in particular, has been nothing short of phenomenal recently. In his past four games, he has averaged roughly 23 points, 12 rebounds, and three blocks per game on 73% shooting from the field and 57% from behind the arc. And that includes a nine-point outing against Maryland in which he only took eight field goal attempts!

Senior guard Trey Galloway has also registered two double-digit assist games in the Hoosiers’ last four outings, while Malik Reneau and Mackenzie Mgbako have been playing solid basketball, too. In fact, Mgbako had his best game of the season recently, dropping 24 points on Maryland in a crucial road win against the Terrapins.

If we cover Indiana’s past three games, it ranks 14th in field goal percentage, 28th in three-point percentage, and seventh in assists per game. The Hoosiers also have held their past three opponents to roughly 29% shooting from behind the arc, which is substantially better than their season average. 

If Indiana wants to make a run in the Big Ten Tournament, it has to reduce turnovers and continue to outrebound its opponents, as it has done in the past week or two. The Hoosiers also have to knock down their free throws, especially in such a competitive environment where the margin of error is razor-thin.

Still, we only need them to cover the spread. To do that, they have to win in their first game, which will be against either Michigan or Penn State. If the Hoosiers win, they will undoubtedly be underdogs in subsequent games.

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