ACC Tournament Predictions, Odds, Favorites to Win: Clemson, Louisville Are Worthy Opponents for Duke

• N.C. State won the 2024 ACC Tournament, becoming the first double-digit seed to run the table in the conference’s history.

• The Duke Blue Devils and North Carolina Tar Heels will be the likely favorites to win the 2025 ACC Tournament after bringing in tons of talent through the transfer portal and the recruiting trail.

• The Blue Devils will be the odds favorites entering the ACC Tournament, but Louisville, Clemson, UNC, SMU, and Wake Forest are capable opponents.

The N.C. State Wolfpack shocked the nation during the 2024 ACC Tournament, winning five games in five days to punch their ticket to the “Big Dance.” Entering the conference tournament, the Wolfpack had no shot at hearing their name called on Selection Sunday unless they won it all. 

While the Wolfpack will not be able to accomplish that feat again this season, perhaps there will be another underdog that gets hot at the right time and runs through the ACC Tournament.

Duke undoubtedly will be a favorite, with Louisville and Clemson following closely behind, but can a team like UNC, Wake Forest, SMU, or Stanford shock the nation (and the conference)?

Read about our favorites to win the 2025 ACC Tournament and the analysis behind it below!

ACC Tournament Odds 

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2025 ACC Tournament Predictions

Below, we have listed our ACC Tournament predictions, including our favorite teams to win. Without ACC Tournament odds available, we can’t determine whether there is any value in betting on a team; however, we can break down the teams we believe can win.

Duke

Duke is the only team in the country that ranks in the top five in adjusted offensive and defensive efficiencies (KenPom).

While there are several key contributors to this elite Duke team, including defensive anchor Khaman Maluach, sharpshooter Kon Knueppel, floor general Tyrese Proctor, and do-it-all guard Sion James, Cooper Flagg is the engine.

As a freshman, Flagg has cemented himself as the top player in the country, leading the Blue Devils in points, rebounds, assists, steals, and blocks per game. Outrageous.

Flagg’s versatility and switchability make him an unstoppable force defensively, while his progression as a 3-point shooter has made him unguardable on the other end of the floor.

In fact, from the beginning of the 2025 calendar year until mid-February (when this was written), Flagg has shot better than 45% from behind the arc on more than four 3-point attempts per game.

Simply put, this team has no weaknesses, and in a year in which the ACC is “down,” the Blue Devils should storm through the conference tournament with little resistance.

However, we have seen stranger things happen in March, so don’t put all your proverbial eggs in one basket. 

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Clemson

Clemson is one of the slowest teams in the country, ranking in the bottom 20 (out of 364 teams) in adjusted tempo (KenPom).

However, there is a very valid reason for the Tigers’ pace: they are simply better than most teams in the half-court on both ends of the floor.

Clemson currently (mid-February) sits in second place in the ACC, with impressive wins over Duke, UNC, and Kentucky.

In fact, two of those three wins came after a bad home loss to Georgia Tech. Few teams in the country have been playing basketball at the Tigers’ level since that game, which was in early February.

This season, the Tigers have emphasized 3-point shooting and spreading the floor; they rank 14th in 3-point percentage and have the 20th-most efficient offense in the country.

There might only be one or two teams that have the personnel, discipline, and talent to upend Duke in the ACC Tournament. Clemson is one of those teams.

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Louisville

It always seems like there is one team that is unexpectedly at, or near, the top of the conference.

In this case, the Louisville Cardinals are that team.

Louisville was projected to finish ninth in the ACC in the preseason, which was fairly generous given that it held merely a 3-17 record in conference play during the 2023-24 campaign.

But head coach Pat Kelsey has completely turned the program around in merely his first season at the helm; he wasted no time whatsoever.

The other positive catalyst for the Cardinals has been the arrival of veteran guard Chucky Hepburn, the former Wisconsin standout. 

Through the middle of February, Hepburn has averaged roughly 15 points, six assists, three rebounds, and three steals per game on a 44/34/85 shooting split.

Since their three-game slide against Oklahoma, Ole Miss, and Duke, the Cardinals have rattled off 15 wins in 17 games (as of February 18).

They are one of the hottest teams in the country and, with a bit of luck, could make a run at the ACC Tournament title.

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Who Will Win the ACC Tournament - My Pick 

Duke

What appeared to be a two-team race for the ACC Tournament championship entering the 2024-25 regular season now appears to be Duke’s to lose.

North Carolina is entirely unreliable and the Blue Devils have been exceptional on the defensive end of the floor (fourth in adjusted defensive efficiency).

As expected, Duke has also taken giant leaps in the past few months, particularly in 3-point shooting.

The Blue Devils are a team with no weaknesses, so it will take a near-perfect performance from any other ACC team to have even a remote shot at knocking them off in the conference tournament.

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ACC Tournament History

The ACC Tournament has been around since 1954, when the conference was incepted. With the exception of 2020, when the COVID-19 pandemic forced an early end to the college basketball season, the ACC Tournament has been a yearly event that takes place after the ACC regular season concludes. The Duke Blue Devils have the most ACC Tournament championships with 22, while North Carolina trails by four with 18 ACC Tournament championships. N.C. State (10) is the only other team that has double-digit ACC Tournament championships.

Past ACC Tournament Winners

Below is a look at all of the past 15 ACC Tournament champions, beginning with the most recent winners. Take a look:

How to Choose the Best Sportsbook for Betting on the ACC Tournament

Choosing the best sportsbook is the second-most important thing to picking the right bet! Oftentimes, sportsbooks have varying odds for the same bet, meaning you can get better value on one sportsbook versus the other. Odds shopping is undoubtedly one of the most vital aspects of sports betting.

Additionally, choosing a sportsbook for the functionality, user interface, welcome bonus, payment and withdrawal options, and withdrawal timing are also incredibly relevant. Find our table below to see which sportsbook you would prefer to bet on for the ACC Tournament:

How to Read ACC Tournament Winner Odds

Reading odds can seem like a challenge when you first begin betting, but we can make it incredibly simple for you. First, if there is a minus in front of a number, that indicates that the team is a favorite and has implied odds of winning that are greater than 50%. For example, if the Duke Blue Devils have -150 odds to win the ACC Tournament, then they have a 60% implied probability of winning. You would need to bet $150 to win $100 in this case, as Duke is a favorite, so wagering more to win less makes sense. 

If the North Carolina Tar Heels have +300 odds to win the ACC Tournament, then their implied probability is much lower (25%), so there is a greater chance for you to make money if they win. When a team is an underdog (has a + in front of their odds), then you only need to bet $100 to win that number. In this case, you would only need to put $100 on the Tar Heels to win $300.