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Chicago Bears vs. Kansas City Chiefs Predictions, Picks & Odds

Written by: Michael Hanich
Published September 24, 2023
5 min read

The Chicago Bears (0-2) have been in the news a lot this week for many wrong reasons. After a disastrous week two loss at the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, third-year quarterback Justin Fields was scolded for his terrible performance. Later in the week, defensive coordinator Alan Williams resigned. Finally, Fields was the center of attention again as he seemingly criticized the coaching staff's playcalling, only to walk it back and blame the media for blowing it up.

The Kansas City Chiefs (1-1) are back in the win column after defeating a solid Jacksonville Jaguars team in a defensive battle. It was the first game for Chiefs defensive tackle Chris Jones and tight end Travis Kelce.

On Sunday, the Chiefs host the Bears in what could be the most one-sided, not only this week but this entire 2023 NFL Season

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Bears vs. Chiefs Odds

Chicago Bears+12.5 (-108)+535O 48
Kansas City Chiefs-12.5 (-112)-720U 48

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Chicago Bears vs. Kansas City Chiefs Betting Preview

Bears vs Chiefs NFL Week 3

The Chicago Bears haven't had much success on the offensive side of the ball this season. They currently rank 22nd in the league in points per game (18.5) and 26th in total yards per game.

There was hope heading into the season that quarterback Justin Fields was going to turn into one of the most dynamic playmakers. Instead, he has regressed as a passer and rarely runs the ball. Last week, in the Bears' 27-17 road loss to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Fields' screen pass was easily intercepted just near the goal line for a short pick-six. The Bears aren't just bad on offense, they are terrible.

The Chiefs are looking forward to their defense putting work against the Bears' offense. Last week, Kansas City held a great Jacksonville Jaguars offense to only 271 total yards. They accounted for seven quarterback hits, four sacks and four tackles for loss. If the Chiefs' defense plays smart, they can still make Fields' performance into another example that he regressed.

Through the first two games of the season, the Chiefs' offense are feeling the effects of the lack of presence of offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy, now in the same position as the Washington Commanders. The Chiefs are finding success in driving the ball down the field thanks to the great passing of quarterback Patrick Mahomes III, but they are having a difficult time capitalizing on scoring touchdowns. The Chiefs did face two high-caliber defenses in the Lions and the Jaguars.

On Sunday, the Chiefs' offense could easily have their performance through all 17 regular season games against this Bears' defense. Chicago ranks 31st (second to last) in points allowed (32.5), 29th in total yards allowed per game (383) and 27th in passing yards allowed per game (277). 

Chicago shouldn't have to worry about winning this game. For the sake of their season, they will have to worry about losing nearly double the spread, which is very possible.

Bears vs. Chiefs Picks & Predictions

Pick #1 - Over 2.5 Passing Touchdowns from Kansas City quarterback Patrick Mahomes III (+110)

It is even difficult for quarterbacks to pass for three touchdowns in a game. For Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes III, he has made a great habit of it. Of the 82 regular season games played in this career, Mahomes has thrown for three touchdowns in 36 games (43.9%). Mahomes takes on a horrible Bears' pass defense on Sunday. The only two reasons Mahomes might not accomplish this is if his receivers continue to drop passes or the Chiefs only decide to run the ball.

Pick #2 - Over 41.5 Receiving Yards from Chicago wide receiver D.J. Moore (-115)

The Bears have almost no chance for their offense to keep up with the same production as the Chiefs. Chicago is going to try every play and angle to get their top wide receiver in D.J. Moore the ball. Moore leads the Bears in receiving yards after two games with 129.

Pick #3 - Under 1.5 Team Total Touchdowns from the Chicago Bears (+130)

The offense for the Chicago Bears has scored four touchdowns in the two games played this season. They were able to score against the Green Bay Packers and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, but they are facing a more efficient defense in the Chiefs. Kansas City's defense is more prominent at stopping offenses in the red zone than the Packers and the Buccaneers combined. 

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How to Watch Chicago Bears vs. Kansas City Chiefs

  • What - Chicago Bears vs. Kansas City Chiefs
  • Where - Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri
  • When - Sunday, September 24, 4:25 PM 
  • How to Watch - FOX, YouTube TV, NFL Network
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Michael Hanich

Sports Betting Analyst

Betting Picks
Michael Hanich is a sports journalist/analyst with a wide variety of experience in the newspaper and digital field. He has a love for all sports. The leagues that he covers are College Football, the NFL, the NBA, the NHL, College Basketball (men’s and women’s), the MLB, Lacrosse, Volleyball, and the WNBA.
Nationality: American
Education: N/A
Favourite Sportsbook: Caesars Sportsbook
Favourite Casino: FanDuel Casino
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