The Detroit Lions and Chicago Bears just played in Week 11, but we’re back again for the rematch. The Lions came from behind to win, and this time, this game is taking place in Chicago.
Below are the three best prop bets for this game.
Since returning from suspension, Williams has had very little involvement in the offense when considering his draft stock (first-round, 12th overall in 2022). This season, he’s seen a target in eight games and had two receptions in all but two of those. Last week, Williams had just one reception for 11 yards. In Week 11 against the Bears, he had two for 44 yards and a score.
Here, we’re taking the under on the receptions. This game will be played outdoors in Chicago in a significantly less pleasant environment than in a dome in Detroit.
Williams succeeded in Week 13 with a carry for 19 yards and a score due to his explosiveness.
The current forecast has 11 mph winds on deck, and we’ll take the +130 odds on the under here for a player that hangs around two receptions per game.
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In a battle of the St. Brown brothers, we’re taking the under on “EQ” St. Brown’s receiving yards here.
St. Brown has four receptions this season on five targets for 44 yards. He did have 19 against the Lions in Week 11, and sure, there could be something there because his brother played for the Lions, but this is a player who’s hardly involved in the offense.
If we get burned on the over for a guy with four catches all season, we’ll always recommend the under for St. Brown when betting markets appear for him.
He does have some big-play potential, averaging 15.4 yards per catch in 2022, but there’s not a whole lot of positive data to warrant taking them over here, especially with neither having “+” lines.
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It’s no secret that Moore is the No. 1 weapon for the Bears. Over the past three games, Moore has had at least nine targets in each and has one touchdown, which came against the Lions. Now, Moore has six touchdowns, and in Week 12, before the bye, he had 11 receptions for 114 yards against the Vikings in a 12-10 win.
Considering Moore’s usage, No. 1 receiver status, and a recent touchdown against this team, we’ll take the Any Time TD prop for Moore with +145 value.
He’s going to get plenty of opportunities.
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