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One week after being upset by the Jets in New York, the Eagles head home to Philadelphia to host the Miami Dolphins. The Eagles come into this one with a massive chip on their shoulder for an intense matchup against one of the most talented AFC teams.
Last week, Miami hosted the Panthers and managed to win 42-21. The Dolphins' only loss was to the Bills in week four after putting up a massive 70-point game against the Broncos.
Both of these teams come in 4-1 and on top of their respective divisions, hoping to continue their already impressive season. This is one of the most highly anticipated matchups prime-time football has offered this season.
With talents in Miami like Tyreek Hill, Jaylen Waddle, Raheem Mostert, and Philadelphia having A.J. Brown, Jalen Hurts, and DaVonta Smith, this game has all the makings of an instant classic.
We will start this with what should be an easy pick. Both teams give up a combined average of six touchdowns per game. Both offenses are highly skilled and manage to be consistently successful week after week.
On average, the Miami defense gives up 26 points per game, while Philadelphia's defense gives up almost 21 points per game. Miami has scored at least 20 points in every game this season. Before last week's matchup against the Jets, the Eagles have scored at least 23 points in every game this season.
Starting running back for Miami, Raheem Mostert, has nine touchdowns in just six games, while wide receiver Tyreek Hill has six touchdowns in the same amount of games.
While the Dolphins have two main touchdown scorers, the Eagles have spread the ball around, and eight different offensive players have scored already this season. One of the most frequent scorers has been Jalen Hurts, with his best rushing ability inside the two-yard line.
It’s hard not to bet the over in a matchup with this much talent and ability on both sides. We expect both teams to have their foot on the gas pedal the entire way, and if one team takes it off, the other will put up more on the scoreboard.
Throughout Raheem Mostert’s career, he’s dealt with injury after injury that made his value in the league go down tremendously. In San Francisco, he was very productive and has shown that he’s capable of being a top back in the league.
Mostert has been one of the most incredible surprises of the 2023 season thus far. Two offseasons ago, Miami brought in Mostert from the 49ers. In the 2022 season, they went with more of a committee backfield with Jeff Wilson Jr. and Mostert, which limited his productivity.
The Dolphins acted like they would go with an even more complicated committee backfield with Mostert, Wilson Jr., and rookie sensation Devon Achane this season.
Before the season started, Wilson Jr. was injured and placed on IR, and Achane was just injured a few weeks ago. That injury will continue to keep him out of this contest.
So far, in 2023, Mostert is averaging 95 total yards per game. He’s been a very effective rusher and an incredible receiver out of the backfield. He will continue to be involved heavily.
We understand that the Eagles have given up the 2nd least rushing yards to opposing backs this season, but the way the Dolphins use Mostert in a close game, he should still have a night in Philadelphia.
Jalen Hurts has been a well-known rushing quarterback since entering the Eagles' starting lineup. In 2022, Hurts averaged just under 45 rushing yards a game as he completed his season with 760 total rushing yards.
Hurts has playmakers all over the field that open up opportunities to get out of the pocket and create lanes for his typical 8-12-yard carries. He’s made a name for himself by using what’s now commonly known as the “tush push,” which is just a rugby move to get a few extra yards.
This move is typically used in short-yard situations, where the quarterback can get one or two yards for either a first down or a touchdown.
Hurts has accumulated 253 rushing yards in his six games thus far, with an average of 42.2 yards per game. He has also capped that off with five touchdown runs.
The Dolphins defense gives up the 5th most yards to opposing rushers. The Miami defense has found a way to struggle big against the run in every game.
We expect Hurts to have a big day against the Dolphins. As soon as Miami’s pass rush gets through, Hurts will scramble, pick up the yards, and clear this over like he’s done two weeks in a row.
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Tanner Kern has been working in the betting industry since 2020. He currently is a social media content creator at DraftKings and contributes to multiple sites in addition to WSN, including Forbes and VSiN. He is also the cohost of the podcast Ride the Line at WSN.More info on Tanner Kern
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