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Mahomes has just one game with three passing touchdowns this year, but on a short week against an atrocious Broncos secondary, he’s in a great position to pass for three or more.
The Broncos secondary has allowed 13 passing touchdowns this season, including four from cornerback Damarri Mathis.
The total in this game is at a respectable number of 47. The Broncos offense has been playing OK lately, scoring 20 or more in each game this season since Week 1, and should manage to score some points here, creating more situations for Mahomes to throw.
This prop bet has been a great one to wager on historically and at plus money against this poor secondary.
At +295, we’re willing to take a chance on Valdes-Scantling here, who should see plenty of opportunities on the outside against Mathis, who’s not only allowed four touchdowns this year but also has allowed 26 receptions on 31 targets for 349 yards.
MVS has just 11 targets this year, but he leads the team in receiving snaps. This correlation is quite jarring, especially considering that MVS runs a route more than 93% of the time on the field.
He’ll break out of the slump here and score.
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The value here on Kelce to score isn’t great here, especially with his lingering injuries, but like MVS and the rest of this Chiefs offense, he’s in a great position to succeed. Broncos linebacker Alex Singleton, who will matchup plenty against Kelce, has given up 23 receptions on 25 targets this year for 214 yards and three scores.
With the Chiefs receiver core still working through its kinks, Kelce leads the team in targets, receptions, yards, and touchdowns.
After graduating from the University of New Hampshire with a BA in Journalism, Richard Janvrin has been covering iGaming and sports betting since December 2018. Richard has covered betting at Bleacher Report, Gambling.com, The Game Day, Forbes, and more.More info on Richard Janvrin
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