TNF Same Game Parlay NFL Week 16: Saints vs. Rams

• Taysom Hill Anytime Touchdown (+290)

• Matthew Stafford Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-158)

• Alvin Kamara Over 29.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

• Kyren Williams Over 88.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

Combined Odds +2020 Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook

With just a few weeks left in the regular season, the Saints and the Rams face off to solidify their spot in the 2023 playoffs. New Orleans has been all over the map this season, and they are in a must-win situation if they want to make the playoffs. 

The good news for New Orleans is that they should have Chris Olave back this week. If he cannot play, Derek Carr will again rely on Rashid Shaheed and Keith Kirkwood to step up for the offense. However, their play has been very sporadic. 

The Rams have battled injuries this season, with Kyren Williams, Cooper Kupp missing time, and Matthew Stafford. Both teams are 7-7, and the Rams look like they could be putting the pieces together at the best time possible. 

Los Angeles comes into this game as 4.5-point favorites. The Saints' defense is still one of the best in football, so look for New Orleans to keep this one close and even pull off the upset. 

Let’s break down our Thursday Night Football same-game parlay!

Kyren Williams Over 88.5 Rushing Yards (-110) at FanDuel

When Kyren Williams has been on the field, the Saints have operated at a high level. He’s been such a powerful downhill runner, and no team has found an answer. In the middle of his breakout season, Williams was forced to miss four games due to an injury. 

Since returning from that injury, Williams averaged 124 rushing yards and added four touchdowns in those four games. The ever-so-balanced passing attack from Stafford opens up many opportunities for Williams on the ground. Look for the Rams to turn this into a dogfight and continue to pound Williams between the tackles. 

The New Orleans rush defense is not one of their strong suits. The Saints are 23rd in the league in rushing yards allowed, giving up over 125 yards per game. However, they have only given up nine total rushing touchdowns this season, which is seventh in the NFL. 

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Alvin Kamara Over 29.5 Receiving Yards (-112) at FanDuel

Year after year, Saints running back Alvin Kamara has been talked about as one of the best backs in the league. This season, he was suspended for the first three games. Since then, he has evolved into much more of a pass catcher for New Orleans. 

This season, Kamara is averaging 40.5 receiving yards per game. Even in his last four games, he’s averaged 25 receiving yards. This prop has hit in all but two games this season.

We feel that the pass rush from Los Angeles might be too significant for Carr, and he’ll have to get the ball out quickly to Kamara. 

The Rams' defense is giving up the 12th most receiving yards to opposing teams and averaging 226 yards in total. If Olave is forced to miss another game, this will again be a dump-off show for Kamara. 

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Matthew Stafford Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-158) at FanDuel

It seems like incredible talent always finds Stafford. From his days in Detroit with Calvin Johnson to finding Cooper Kupp a few seasons ago, Puka Nacua is the next iteration of the star power.

Stafford has one of the most well-rounded offenses in all of football. He’s got a top-five running and passing game, and it’s made his life fairly stress-free in the pocket. 

In the last four games, Stafford has thrown 12 touchdown passes, which is the most in the league by three in that time span.

No other quarterback in the league is slinging the ball more than Stafford. We expect Stafford to make his typical 25+ pass attempts and hit this over late in the game. 

The New Orleans pass defense is one of the best in the league. The Saints' defense only gives up 185 passing yards per game and has allowed just 16 passing touchdowns all season.

While we do expect Stafford to hit this prop, we don’t expect him to throw for four touchdowns as he did a few weeks ago. 

Head over to FanDuel Sportsbook to bet on our picks!

Taysom Hill Anytime Touchdown (+290) at FanDuel

You may be questioning the final leg of this parlay. Well, Taysom Hill is listed as a tight end on the depth chart and plays every offensive position except linemen, so he can definitely find the endzone. Hill has thrown touchdowns, caught touchdowns, and ran for touchdowns this season. 

Hill was held back for the last two weeks with an injury, but we expect him to be a full go this week. He is New Orleans’ “trick play” guy when he's healthy.

He’s the equivalent of Jalen Hurts on the one-yard line because he finds the endzone. We expect them to go back to using Hill like they did the past seven weeks and for him to score for the seventh time this season.

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Saints vs. Rams Odds on FanDuel Sportsbook

Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook. Head over to FanDuel to place your bets!

How to Watch Saints vs Rams

• Who: New Orleans Saints vs Los Angeles Rams

• Where: SoFi Stadium. Inglewood, CA

• When: Thursday, December 21st, 8:15 p.m. ET

• TV: N/A

• Streaming: Amazon Prime

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