Tottenham Hotspur are looking to keep in touch with the top of the Premier League table
A top-four finish is probably the best Liverpool can hope for after a torrid start to 2022/23
Liverpool’s away form is a major concern and Spurs could take advantage on Sunday
Given they have home advantage and are higher up the Premier League table, the odds of a Spurs victory are too tempting to pass up.
Back Tottenham Hotspur to beat Liverpool this weekend. (+200)
Tottenham Hotspur have not made things easy for themselves in recent days. Last weekend, they went 2-0 down to an out-of-form Bournemouth team that are among the favorites for relegation with the best online sportsbooks. A strong second-half showing saw Spurs turn the game around, with Rodrigo Bentancur making it 3-2 to the north Londoners in stoppage time.
Antonio Conte’s side did something similar in midweek. In a winner-takes-all encounter against Marseille in the Champions League, Tottenham conceded the first goal late in the first half. Clement Lenglet restored parity early in the second period before Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg confirmed his team’s place in the knockout stage with a winner at the death.
Tottenham actually would have advanced to the round of 16 had they drawn 1-1, but Hojbjerg’s late effort saw them finish top of Group D - and that could yet be significant. It also meant Spurs have won back-to-back matches after a difficult run in October.
Conte’s side suffered three defeats in the Premier League last month, having previously gone unbeaten in their first seven matches of the campaign. Those results have harmed their title chances: they head into the weekend five points adrift of Arsenal in the top spot, despite having played one game more than their arch-rivals and the unlikely league leaders.
Tottenham have not played as well as either Arsenal or Manchester City so far, but if they can remain within touching distance of first place until after World Cup 2022, they will still be in with a chance of winning the title for the first time since 1961. A loss this weekend, though, would be a huge blow to those ambitions.
In the second half of last season, Liverpool were a winning machine. They closed the gap to Manchester City at the top of the Premier League table and ended up finishing just a point behind the champions, having trailed by 11 points on January 2.
The Reds also won the EFL Cup and the FA Cup, then reached the final of the Champions League for the third time in five seasons. They may have lost that match 1-0 to Real Madrid in Paris, but no one could argue with their relentlessness since the turn of the calendar year.
This term, however, Liverpool seem unable to generate any sort of momentum. Jurgen Klopp’s side beat Napoli 2-0 on Tuesday, but three days earlier they went down 2-1 at home to Leeds United. They previously overcame Ajax 3-0 in the Champions League, before which they lost 1-0 at Nottingham Forest.
Liverpool’s inability to go on a consistent winning run is in large part down to their poor record on the road, at least in the Premier League. Remarkably, the Reds are yet to win an away game this term. Their five matches at grounds other than Anfield have yielded just two points.
Unless Liverpool can significantly improve on their travels, the top four will be out of reach. Klopp’s side are already eight points adrift of the Champions League qualification spots and cannot afford to fall much further behind.
That is why this game is hugely important to the Reds, who could do with taking maximum points from their remaining pre-World Cup assignments against Tottenham and Southampton.
Arsenal have a tough game away to Chelsea this weekend. By the time Tottenham’s match kicks off a little later on Sunday, they will know the outcome of the London derby at Stamford Bridge. If the Gunners have dropped points, Spurs will have an opportunity to close the gap at the top. If Mikel Arteta’s men have emerged victorious, their north London rivals will need to match them.
Beyond the points that are on the line, Tottenham have some convincing to do in a big game. Conte’s side have taken just one point from a possible nine against fellow big-six sides this campaign.
Even more concerning was their performances in those games. Spurs were fortunate to draw 2-2 with Chelsea, and they were outplayed in defeats by Arsenal and Manchester United. All three matches took place away from home, though, and Tottenham will surely put up more of a fight in front of their own fans.
Indeed, home advantage - together with Liverpool’s struggles on the road in 2022/23, are one reason why it is worth backing Tottenham to come out on top in the last match of the Premier League weekend.
Another relates to the odds. Tottenham are playing at home and are higher in the table than Liverpool, who have just lost back-to-back matches in the Premier League. Yet Spurs are available at an attractive price of +200.
If you know anything abouthow to bet on soccer, you will know that value in the market is the thing to look out for - and we feel our selection offers exactly that.
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Teams: Tottenham Hotspur vs Liverpool
Location: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London, England
Date and Time: Sunday, 6 November 2022, 11.30 AM EST
How to Watch: Peacock Premium
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Greg Lea is a freelance soccer journalist from London. He is the former editor of The Set Pieces, and has contributed to the Guardian, FourFourTwo, and ESPN. A Crystal Palace fan, he is a long-time subscriber to the belief that it's the taking part that counts. Email: [email protected]More info on Greg Lea
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