UFC on ESPN: Dariush vs Tsarukyan - Odds, Predictions & Picks

Written by: Ryan Bristlon
Published November 30, 2023
6 min read
  • Top-10 lightweights main event this ESPN main card

  • Bobby Green gets a last-minute replacement opponent in Jalin Turner

  • Former flyweight champ Figueiredo makes his bantamweight debut

UFC on ESPN: Dariush vs Tsarukyan

The odds for this match are provided by DraftKings Sportsbook. Click the links in the table below to head to DraftKings and place your bets.

FighterOdds
Beneil Dariush+225
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Arman Tsarukyan-278
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FighterOdds
Jalin Turner-225
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Bobby Green+185
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FighterOdds
Rob Font-135
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Deiveson Figueiredo+114
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FighterOdds
Sean Brady-122
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Kelvin Gastelum+102
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FighterOdds
Clay Guida+270
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Joaquim Silva-340
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FighterOdds
Punahele Soriano-270
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Dustin Stolztfus+220
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UFC on ESPN: Dariush vs Tsarukyan - Picks & Predictions

Beneil Dariush vs Arman Tsarukyan - Lightweight division

Our pick: Beneil Dariush (+225)

Jalin Turner vs Bobby Green - Lightweight division

Our pick: Bobby Green (+185)

Rob Font vs Deiveson Figueiredo - Bantamweight division

Our pick: Rob Font (-135)

Sean Brady vs Kelvin Gastelum - Welterweight division

Our pick: Sean Brady (-122)

Clay Guida vs Joaquim Silva - Lightweight division

Our pick: Joaquim Silva (-340)

Punahele Soriano vs Dustin Stoltzfus division

Our pick: Punahele Soriano (-270)

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Beneil Dariush vs Arman Tsarukyan - Lightweight Division

Dariush vs Tsarukyan Odds

Beneil Dariush TALE OF THE TAPE Arman Tsarukyan
34 Age 27
5 ft 10 in Height 5 ft 7 in
72 in Reach 72 in
22-5-1 Record 20-3

Looking to rebound from his loss to Charles Oliveira that snapped his eight-fight winning streak, Beneil Dariush looks to snap Arman Tsarukyan’s two-fight streak in the main event this Saturday.

Prior to his loss to the former lightweight champion, Dariush’s streak included wins over the likes of Mateusz Gamrot, Tony Ferguson and Drew Dober.

Tsarukyan is 7-2 in the UFC. After losing his debut to Islam Makhachev (naturally), Tsarukyan put together a five-fight winning streak before succumbing to Mateusz Gamrot. Since his second UFC loss, the number-eight ranked lightweight has gone on to defeat both Damir Ismagulov and Joaquim Silva.

Despite being ranked four spots above Tsarukyan, Beneil Dariush will enter the octagon this weekend as the +225 underdog.

To find out how to place your bets for this top-ten lightweight main event, check out our ultimate UFC betting guide to get started.

Jalin Turner vs Bobby Green - Lightweight Division

Jalin Turner TALE OF THE TAPE Bobby Green
28 Age 37
6 ft 3 in Height 5 ft 10 in
77 in Reach 71 in
13-7 Record 31-14-1, 1 no-contest

Stepping in on short notice to replace the injured Dan Hooker, number-12 ranked lightweight Jalin Turner looks to put an end to his two-fight skid when he takes on Bobby Green in the co-main event.

Ironically, in Turner’s most recent bout, he dropped a split-decision to Dan Hooker - the man he is replacing this weekend.

His opponent, Bobby Green, will enter the octagon coming off of back-to-back wins over Tony Ferguson and Grant Dawson. Despite these impressive performances, Green is seen as the +185 underdog in this matchup as Jalin Turner will not only stand five-inches taller but will enjoy a six-inch reach advantage as well.

Rob Font vs Deiveson Figueiredo - Bantamweight Division

Rob Font TALE OF THE TAPE Deiveson Figueiredo
36 Age 35
5 ft 8 in Height 5 ft 5 in
71.5 in Reach 68 in
20-7 Record 21-3-1

After almost one full year out of action, the former flyweight champion Deiveson Figueiredo will make his UFC bantamweight debut against Rob Font.

Figueiredo is coming off of a title loss against Brandon Moreno in what was their fourth championship fight in a row against one another. The loss, plus years of hard weight cuts, opened the door for the former champion to move up in weight and test his mettle.

And tested it will be, as Figueiredo will take on veteran Rob Font. Font has had mixed success recently. At one point enjoying a four-fight winning streak, he is now just 1-3 in his last four fights and is coming off of a decision loss at the hands of Cory Sandhagen.

Unsurprisingly, Font will stand three-inches taller and have a reach advantage of 3.5-inches over Figueiredo, who is ranked as a +114 underdog for his bantamweight debut.

Sean Brady vs Kelvin Gastelum - Welterweight Division

Sean Brady TALE OF THE TAPE Kelvin Gastelum
31 Age 32
5 ft 9 in Height 5 ft 9 in
72 in Reach 71.5 in
15-1 Record 17-8, 1 no-contest

After seven years spent in the UFC middleweight division - a time that included an interim title fight - Kelvin Gastelum will make his return to the 170-pound welterweight division for the first time since 2016.

Gastelum is just 2-5 over his last seven fights and has battled through some ongoing injuries. But he will enter the cage Saturday night having recently beaten champion Sean Strickland’s training partner Chris Curtis.

He takes on Sean Brady - a top welterweight contender who is coming off of his first professional loss at the hands of Belal Muhammad. He was on a 15-fight professional winning streak (including five wins in the UFC) prior to that loss.

Gastelum is a veteran of the sport and a game contender but it is no surprise to see that Sean Brady is listed as the -122 favorite to win.

Clay Guida vs Joaquim Silva - Lightweight Division

Clay Guida TALE OF THE TAPE Joaquim Silva
41 Age 34
5 ft 7 in Height 5 ft 8 in
70 in Reach 69 in
38-23 Record 12-4

This Saturday will mark Clay Guida’s 62nd professional mixed martial arts fight. That is nuts.

The veteran Guida, who is 6-6 in his last 12 fights will take on Joaquim Silva - a fighter who is 2-4 in his last six fights.

Silva will stand one-inch taller but Guida will have a one-inch advantage in reach. However, at -340, the younger Silva is expected to win.

Punahele Soriano vs Dustin Stoltzfus - Middleweight Division

Punahele Soriano TALE OF THE TAPE Dustin Stoltzfus
31 Age 32
5 ft 11 in Height 6 ft
72 in Reach 75 in
9-3 Record 14-5

Entering the UFC as a 6-0 prospect and winning his first two fights for the promotion, Punahele Soriano now finds himself with a disappointing 1-3 record over his last four octagon appearances.

He looks to right the ship when he takes on Dustin Stoltzfus in the first fight of Saturday’s main card.

Stoltzfus hasn’t enjoyed any more success than his opponent in recent years as his record over his last five appearances stands at 1-4.

Stoltzfus is one-inch taller and will have a three-inch reach advantage. However, he is listed as the +220 underdog.

How to Watch UFC on ESPN: Dariush vs Tsarukyan

  • LOCATION: Moody Center, Austin, Texas

  • WHEN: Saturday, December 2

  • TIME: 5PM EST

  • HOW: ESPN, ESPN+, TSN1, TSN5

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Ryan Bristlon

Sports Betting Analyst

Expertise:
UFC
NHL
Betting Picks
Ryan Bristlon is a Canadian writer currently residing in Hamilton, Ontario. He studied print and broadcast journalism at Humber College and has been a lifelong fan of hockey, the NHL in general, and UFC.
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