Two title fights headline the final UFC pay-per-view event of the year
Six of the top-ten UFC welterweights will fight on the main card
Tony Ferguson hopes to snap his six-fight skid with a win over Paddy Pimblett
The odds for this match are provided by the DraftKings Sportsbook. Click the odds below to place your bets at DraftKings.
Fighter | Odds |
---|---|
(C) Leon Edwards | -155 BET HERE |
Colby Covington | +130 BET HERE |
Fighter | Odds |
(C) Alexandre Pantoja | -192 BET HERE |
Brandon Royval | +160 BET HERE |
Fighter | Odds |
Shavkat Rakhmonov | -650 BET HERE |
Stephen Thompson | +470 BET HERE |
Fighter | Odds |
Tony Ferguson | +245 BET HERE |
Paddy Pimblett | -305 BET HERE |
Fighter | Odds |
Vicente Luque | +275 BET HERE |
Ian Machado Garry | -345 BET HERE |
Our pick: Leon Edwards (-155) at DraftKings
Our pick: Brandon Royval (+160) at DraftKings
Our pick: Shavkat Rakhmonov (-650) at DraftKings
Our pick: Paddy Pimblett (-305) at DraftKings
Our pick: Vicente Luque (+275) at DraftKings
Head over to DraftKings Sportsbook to bet on our picks!
Leon Edwards | TALE OF THE TAPE | Colby Covington |
---|---|---|
32 | Age | 35 |
6 ft | Height | 5 ft 11 in |
74 in | Reach | 72 in |
21-3, 1 no-contest | Record | 17-3 |
Cardio machine, credentialed wrestler, and Brazilian jiu-jitsu black belt Colby Covington gets his third crack at the welterweight championship this Saturday, taking on a champ NOT named Kamaru Usman.
Some would say this is an odd choice for the number-one contender by the UFC as Covington is only 2-2 in his last four fights and hasn’t stepped into the cage since March 2022 when he defeated Jorge Masvidal by unanimous decision.
Leon Edwards, who hasn’t lost a fight since 2015 (against former champion Kamaru Usman) won his title from Usman in the summer of 2022. He has since defended it once - in a rematch against Usman whom he defeated once again this past March at UFC 286.
Edwards is younger, taller, and longer than Covington and is highly regarded as the better striker. But one must not rule out Covington’s cardio prowess and relentless pressure.
As of right now, oddsmakers list Edwards as the -155 favorite, expecting the champion to retain his title in this Saturday’s main event.
To find out how to place your bets for this welterweight title main event, check out our ultimate UFC betting guide to get started.
Alexandre Pantoja | TALE OF THE TAPE | Brandon Royval |
---|---|---|
33 | Age | 31 |
5 ft 5 in | Height | 5 ft 9 in |
68 in | Reach | 68 in |
26-5 | Record | 15-6 |
Riding a three-fight winning streak into his title fight against Brandon Moreno, Alexandre Pantoja finally won the gold via split decision at UFC 290 back in July. He will defend his title for the first time in this weekend’s co-main event.
Like Pantoja before him, Brandon Royval is also riding a three-fight winning streak into his first UFC championship boat. The number-two-ranked flyweight last defeated Matheus Nicolau via first-round knockout back in April.
Although the champion has more professional fighting experience, it is the challenger who is two years younger and who will enjoy a four-inch height advantage.
Regardless, the champ Pantoja still comes in as the -192 favorite.
Shavkat Rakhmonov | TALE OF THE TAPE | Stephen Thompson |
---|---|---|
29 | Age | 40 |
6 ft 1 in | Height | 6 ft |
77 in | Reach | 75 in |
17-0 | Record | 17-6-1 |
The second of two undefeated welterweights to appear on this weekend’s main card, sambo and wrestling specialist Shavkat Pakhmonov will have his mettle tested against the superior striker and two-time title challenger Stephen “Wonderboy” Thompson.
Thompson has struggled in recent years, to be fair, but he recently snapped a two-fight skid when he earned a fourth-round TKO win over Kevin Holland last December.
In his last appearance, Rakhmonov earned his fifth UFC win, defeating Geoff Neal via submission at UFC 285 and remaining undefeated as a pro fighter.
Despite “Wonderboys” insanely high striking credentials, it’s Rakhmovin who comes in with all the physical advantages here - standing one inch taller, having a two-inch advantage in reach, and being 11 years younger.
Rakhmonov stands as the main card’s largest betting favorite to win at -650 over Thompson.
Tony Ferguson | TALE OF THE TAPE | Paddy Pimblett |
---|---|---|
39 | Age | 26 |
6 ft | Height | 5 ft 10 in |
76.5 in | Reach | 73 in |
25-9 | Record | 20-3 |
Just three years ago, Tony Ferguson was an interim lightweight champion on a 12-fight winning streak. Today, he finds himself on a six-fight losing skid - having been finished in four of those losses, most recently by submission at the hands of Bobby Green at UFC 291.
Undefeated in his last six bouts, Paddy Pimblett will enter the cage against Ferguson riding some controversy, as many believe he didn’t do enough to earn the decision nod in his last fight against Jared Gordon.
Regardless, Pimblett was deemed the winner but has been out of action since last December recovering from injury. He is likely itching to get back to prove himself against the former interim champion.
Ferguson is a cardio machine and will have height and reach advantages in this fight. But it is no surprise that the UK-born Pimblett will enter the cage this Saturday as the -305 favorite at DraftKings.
Vicente Luque | TALE OF THE TAPE | Ian Machado Garry |
---|---|---|
32 | Age | 26 |
5 ft 11 in | Height | 6 ft 3 in |
75.5 in | Reach | 74.5 in |
22-9-1 | Record | 13-0 |
Aptly nicknamed “The Future”, Ian Machado Garry is the other undefeated fighter other than Rakhmonov on this main card. But his fight against number-nine-ranked Vicente Luque will undoubtedly be the toughest challenge of his career thus far.
Luque recently snapped a two-fight skid with his win over former lightweight champion Rafael dos Anjos back in August.
Ian Garry most recently defeated Neil Magny via decision at UFC 292 - a fight he called for in notorious fashion. It was his 13th straight win and his sixth win under the UFC banner.
Despite standing four inches taller, Garry will actually have a one-inch DISADVANTAGE in reach. Regardless, the Irishman is still a -345 favorite over Luque in this weekend’s main card kickoff bout.
LOCATION: T-Mobile Arena, Paradise, Nevada
WHEN: Saturday, December 16
TIME: 10PM EST
HOW: PPV, UFC Fight Pass, ESPN+
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