The odds for the Euro 2020 Top Scorer are provided by William Hill. Click on “Bet Now” in the table below to head to William Hill and place a bet. Get a $500 Risk-Free bet with code ‘WSNRF‘.
|Harry Kane (England)||+600
|Romelu Lukaku (Belgium)||+700
|Kylian Mbappe (France)||+900
|Cristiano Ronaldo (Portugal)||+1400
|Karim Benzema (France)||+1600
|Memphis Depay (Netherlands)||+1800
|Robert Lewandowski (Poland)||+2000
|Ciro Immobile (Italy)||+2200
|Antoine Griezmann (France)||+2200
|Serge Gnabry (Germany)||+2500
|Back Romelu Lukaku to finish as top scorer. The Inter Milan striker is coming off the back of the best season of his career, and Belgium’s creative talent will supply him with plenty of chances.|
|Location||11 European venues|
|Date||11 June 2021 – 11 July 2021|
|How to Watch||ESPN|
England, France, and Belgium are the bookmakers’ favorites to win Euro 2020, so it is not a surprise that players from those three nations also sit atop the list of top scorer odds. England captain Harry Kane is the outright favorite at +600, with the Tottenham Hotspur striker hoping to add another Golden Boot to his collection after winning the equivalent award at the 2018 World Cup.
Kane enjoyed a superb season at club level, finishing as the Premier League’s top scorer and leading assist provider. He has increasingly dropped deep to set up chances for his team-mates as his career has progressed, but the statistics show that this tactical shift has not come at the expense of his goalscoring.
Kane is a reliable finisher who thrives in and around the penalty area, while he will also take penalties for his country this summer. The 27-year-old is certainly one of the leading candidates to finish as Euro 2020’s top scorer.
|Player||Goals for club in 2020/21 (all competitions)|
|Harry Kane (Tottenham)||33|
|Romelu Lukaku (Inter)||30|
|Kylian Mbappe (PSG)||42|
|Cristiano Ronaldo (Juventus)||36|
|Karim Benzema (Real Madrid)||30|
|Memphis Depay (Lyon)||22|
|Robert Lewandowski (Bayern Munich)||48|
|Ciro Immobile (Lazio)||25|
|Antoine Griezmann (Barcelona)||20|
|Serge Gnabry (Bayern Munich)||11|
Romelu Lukaku of Belgium is the second-favorite at +700, and our pick to score more goals than anyone else. The 28-year-old’s 24 Serie A strikes in 2020/21 fired Inter Milan to their first title in over a decade, and Lukaku is understandably full of confidence going into the European Championship.
Belgium scored more goals than any other team in qualifying, and the likes of Eden Hazard, Kevin De Bruyne, and Dries Mertens will create opportunities aplenty. Belgium are also in one of the weaker groups, giving Lukaku an excellent chance to build up a lead in the scoring charts in the early stages.
Kylian Mbappe at +900 is seen as France’s favorite to finish as top scorer. Les Bleus, the reigning world champions, look set to go far in the tournament, but their goals could be spread around a front three which also includes Karim Benzema and Antoine Griezmann. For that reason, it is probably best to steer clear of France’s contenders.
Cristiano Ronaldo may have scored 36 goals for Juventus last term, but the Italian giants still had a hugely disappointing campaign. Ronaldo kept up his end of the bargain by finding the net with characteristic regularity, but many of his team-mates struggled and the manager Andrea Pirlo was out of his depth.
Ronaldo should fare better at Euro 2020, even though Portugal – the holders – have been drawn in the group of death. Fernando Santos’ side triumphed at Euro 2016, but they actually have a much better squad this time around. With Diogo Jota, Bruno Fernandes, Joao Felix and Bernardo Silva forming an excellent supporting cast, Ronaldo is good value at +1400.
Robert Lewandowski scored a stunning 48 goals for Bayern Munich in 2020/21. Forty-one of those came in the Bundesliga, as Lewandowski broke Gerd Muller’s long-standing record for the most goals in a German top-flight season. The Poland international is in the form of his life, and that bodes well for his country at Euro 2020.
The problem for Lewandowski is that his international team is not as strong as his club team. Poland are potential dark horses this summer, but it is worth remembering that they failed to live up to that tag at the 2018 World Cup. It is no reflection on his ability as a striker, but Lewandowski is unlikely to finish as the competition’s top scorer.
It is interesting to look back at which players top-scored at recent European Championships. Milan Baros was a surprise winner at Euro 2004. David Villa, one of the favorites, scooped the prize four years later. At Euro 2012, six players shared the honor with just three goals apiece, before Antoine Griezmann won the race at Euro 2016.
History shows that there is scope for an outsider to finish as top scorer, even if it is only an occasional outcome. Ciro Immobile and Serge Gnabry are both priced at +2000 or above, thus generating a healthy return should either win the Golden Boot.
Immobile is the more intriguing choice. The Italian has enjoyed two fantastic seasons at Lazio and is widely seen as one of Serie A’s top strikers. He has not yet transferred his club form to the international stage, but Italy have recaptured the feel-good factor and Immobile could step up this summer. Expect his odds to tumble if he notches a goal or two against Turkey in the competition’s curtain-raising game on June 11.
Gnabry is listed at +2500, making him something of a long shot. He only scored 11 goals for Bayern Munich last term, although that is in part because Lewandowski is the main man at the Allianz Arena. Gnabry has a magnificent record for Germany – 16 goals in 22 caps – so it could be worth a small flutter on the former Arsenal man.
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Greg Lea is a freelance soccer journalist from London. He is the former editor of The Set Pieces, and has contributed to the Guardian, FourFourTwo, and ESPN. A Crystal Palace fan, he is a long-time subscriber to the belief that it's the taking part that counts. Email: [email protected]More info on Greg Lea
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