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Premier League Top Scorer Predictions, Odds, Picks 2024

Written by: Greg Lea
Fact-checked by: James Whitelock
Updated April 16, 2024
10 min read
  • The Premier League 2023/24 season began on August 11 and will end on May 19

  • The campaign will feature 38 rounds of fixtures spread over more than nine months

  • Erling Haaland, Mohamed Salah and Son Heung-min are among the contenders

The Premier League 2023/24 season got underway on August 11 and will run through to May 19.

There are plenty of questions to be answered. Can Manchester City win another title, or will Liverpool, Arsenal or another side be able to knock them off top spot? Who will finish in the top four, and which three teams will go down to the Championship?

The big question from an individual point of view is: which of the division’s excellent attacking players will win the Golden Boot? Let’s take a closer look…

Premier League 2023/24 Top Scorer Odds

The odds for the Premier League 2023/24 top scorer are brought to you by the bet365 sportsbook.
Get a $1,000 safety net bet or $150 in bonus bets when you register your bet365 account.

Premier League 2023/24 Top Scorer Odds
Erling Haaland (Manchester City) -200
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Cole Palmer (Chelsea) +350
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Ollie Watkins (Aston Villa) +600
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Mohamed Salah (Liverpool) +1400
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Alexander Isak (Newcastle United) +1400
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Dominic Solanke (Bournemouth) +2000
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Premier League Top Scorer 2023/24 Candidates

Erling Haaland (-200) at bet365

Erling Haaland announced his arrival to the Premier League with the loudest of bangs last season. The Manchester City striker broke numerous records, including the most goals in an English top-flight season since 1966/67 with 36. 

By his sky-high standards, Haaland has not been at his best this term. The Norway international’s all-round game has been criticised, while he has not been quite as efficient in front of goal. Still, Haalandis the favorite with 20 strikes to his name.

Cole Palmer (+350) at bet365

Cole Palmer has come from nowhere to rise to second spot in this betting market. The Chelsea sensation has scored seven times in his last two home games, including a spectacular four-goal haul in a 6-0 victory over Everton on Monday.

Remarkably, Palmer is now level with Erling Haaland on 20 goals. Winning the Golden Boot would represent a stunning achievement in his first proper season at this level.

Ollie Watkins (+600) at bet365

Ollie Watkins found the back of the net on Sunday as Aston Villa registered a surprise 2-0 victory over Arsenal. It was the 19th time Watkins has beaten an opposition goalkeeper since the beginning of 2023/24.

The Villa frontman is enjoying the best season of his career and he has every chance of overtaking Erling Haaland and Cole Palmer. Many will feel Watkins is fantastic value at +600.

Mohamed Salah (+1400) at bet365

Mohamed Salah was the second-favorite in this market for months, but his odds have plummeted to +1400 after a dip in form. Liverpool, who are chasing the Premier League title, need to get their star man back to his best.

Salah was quiet in a 1-0 defeat by Crystal Palace on Sunday. But given he is only three goals behind Erling Haaland and Cole Palmer, it would be a mistake to write the former Chelsea man off.

Alexander Isak (+1400) at bet365

Newcastle United have endured a terrible run with injuries this season, but they have at least managed to keep Alexander Isak fit in recent weeks. The Sweden international continues to impress as the line-leader for Eddie Howe’s side.

Isak is averaging a goal every 104 minutes, the best record of all the Golden Boot contenders. Like Mohamed Salah, he is three strikes off top spot as things stand, with Newcastle set to face Crystal Palace in their next game.

Who Was the Top Scorer Premier League 2023?

Erling Haaland was the top scorer in the 2022/23 season. The Manchester City striker scored 36 goals in 35 appearances, setting a new Premier League record in his debut campaign in the country.

Haaland also won the European Golden Shoe, as no player in Europe scored more goals than the Norway international last term.

Who Is the All-Time Premier League Top Scorer?

Player and Clubs Goals
Alan Shearer (Blackburn Rovers and Newcastle United) 260
Harry Kane (Tottenham Hotspur) 213
Wayne Rooney (Everton and Manchester United) 208
Andrew Cole (Newcastle United, Manchester United, Blackburn Rovers, Fulham, Manchester City, Portsmouth) 187
Sergio Aguero (Manchester City) 184
Frank Lampard (West Ham United, Chelsea, Manchester City) 177
Thierry Henry (Arsenal) 175
Robbie Fowler (Liverpool, Leeds United, Manchester City) 163
Jermain Defoe (West Ham United, Tottenham Hotspur, Portsmouth, Sunderland, Bournemouth) 162
Michael Owen (Liverpool, Newcastle United, Manchester United, Stoke City) 150

Alan Shearer is the all-time leading goalscorer in the Premier League, having scored 260 goals for Blackburn and Newcastle. The former England captain also scored 23 goals for Southampton in the First Division before it was rebranded as the Premier League.

Indeed, a different picture emerges when we also take the First Division era, from 1888 to 1992, into account alongside the 29 seasons of the Premier League.

Top of the overall charts is Jimmy Greaves, who found the back of the net 357 times for Chelsea, Tottenham Hotspur, and West Ham United.

Which Players Have Finished as Premier League Top Scorer?

(Last 10 seasons)

Player(s), Club and Goals Season
Erling Haaland (Manchester City), 36 2022/23
Mohamed Salah (Liverpool), Son Heung-min (Tottenham Hotspur), 23 2021/22
Harry Kane (Tottenham Hotspur), 23 2020/21
Jamie Vardy (Leicester City), 23 2019/20
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (Arsenal), Sadio Mane and Mohamed Salah (both Liverpool), 22 2018/19
Mohamed Salah (Liverpool), 32 2017/18
Harry Kane (Tottenham Hotspur), 29 2016/17
Harry Kane (Tottenham Hotspur), 25 2015/16
Sergio Aguero (Manchester City), 26 2014/15
Luis Suarez (Liverpool), 31 2013/14

Premier League Top Scorer FAQ

Who Has Finished as Premier League Top Scorer Most?

When Is the Premier League Top Scorer Announced?

What Does the Premier League Top Scorer Receive?

Was the Premier League Called the Premiership?

How Can I Watch the Premier League on TV?

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AUTHOR

Greg Lea

786 Articles

Greg Lea is a freelance soccer journalist from London. He is the former editor of The Set Pieces, and has contributed to the Guardian, FourFourTwo, and ESPN. A Crystal Palace fan, he is a long-time subscriber to the belief that it's the taking part that counts. Email: [email protected]

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