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Premier League Top Scorer Predictions, Odds, Picks 2024

Written by: Greg Lea
Fact-checked by: James Whitelock
Updated February 19, 2024
11 min read
  • The Premier League 2023/24 season began on August 11 and will end on May 19

  • The campaign will feature 38 rounds of fixtures spread over more than nine months

  • Erling Haaland, Mohamed Salah and Son Heung-min are among the contenders

The Premier League 2023/24 season got underway on August 11 and will run through to May 19.

There are plenty of questions to be answered. Can Manchester City win another title, or will Liverpool, Arsenal or another side be able to knock them off top spot? Who will finish in the top four, and which three teams will go down to the Championship?

The big question from an individual point of view is: which of the division’s excellent attacking players will win the Golden Boot? Let’s take a closer look…

Premier League 2023/24 Top Scorer Odds

The odds for the Premier League 2023/24 top scorer are brought to you by the bet365 sportsbook. Get a $1000 safety net bet or $150 in bonus bets when you register your bet365 account.

Premier League 2023/24 Top ScorerOdds
Erling Haaland (Manchester City)-400
Mohamed Salah (Liverpool)+500
Dominic Solanke (Bournemouth)+1200
Ollie Watkins (Aston Villa) +1400
Son Heung-min (Tottenham Hotspur)+2000
Bukayo Saka (Arsenal)+2800
Richarlison (Tottenham Hotspur)+3300

Top Scorer Pl

Premier League Top Scorer 2023/24 Candidates

Erling Haaland (-400) at bet365

Erling Haaland won the Golden Boot last season and he is the favorite to claim the prize again this term with the best online sportsbooks. The Manchester City striker missed several presentable chances against Chelsea last time out, but he remains the Premier League’s top scorer with 16 goals.

Haaland’s tally would probably be higher if he did not miss numerous matches through injury. But his lead at the top of the charts is narrow and another fitness issue could allow a rival to overtake the Norway international.

Mohamed Salah (+500) at bet365

Mohamed Salah is just one goal shy of Haaland’s tally after he marked his return to action with a strike against Brentford in Liverpool’s last game. The Egypt international has been remarkably consistent since his move to Anfield and he will surely be there or thereabouts at the end of the campaign.

Many will like the look of this price on Salah, who has been there and done it in the Premier League. Liverpool are creating plenty of chances, so it is hard to imagine Salah’s goals drying up any time soon.

Dominic Solanke (+1200) at bet365

Dominic Solanke is enjoying his best ever campaign. Prior to 2023/24, the Bournemouth striker had never scored more than six times in a Premier League season. With a third of this term remaining, he is already on 14 goals.

Whether he can keep pace with Haaland and Salah, both of whom play for much stronger sides, remains to be seen. Either way, Solanke has shown this season that he has the potential to be a top Premier League striker. Clubs higher up the food chain will be watching him closely.

Ollie Watkins (+1400) at bet365

Ollie Watkins has been integral to Aston Villa’s push for Champions League qualification. He is the only player in the Premier League to have hit double figures for both goals and assists. His creative qualities are underappreciated, but Watkins is a converter of chances first and foremost.

The Villa frontman is now only three goals behind Haaland. However, he is only an outsider in the race for the Golden Boot, mostly because of Salah and Haaland’s proven quality. Nevertheless, he could be an interesting dark horse bet.

Son Heung-min (+2000) at bet365

Son Heung-min is back from the Asian Cup and he will not want to waste any time making his mark for Tottenham Hotspur. However, he has lost some ground on other goal-getters over the last few weeks, with the South Korean now four adrift of Haaland in the top spot.

That margin is hardly insurmountable, but Son would do well to finish above all of the names listed here. The Spurs icon tends to operate from the left now, with the in-form Richarlison selected through the middle. Many of the chances Tottenham create now fall to the Brazilian.

Who Was the Top Scorer in Premier League 2023?

Erling Haaland was the top scorer in the 2022/23 season. The Manchester City striker scored 36 goals in 35 appearances, setting a new Premier League record in his debut campaign in the country.

Haaland also won the European Golden Shoe, as no player in Europe scored more goals than the Norway international last term.

Who Is the All-Time Premier League Top Scorer?

Player and ClubsGoals
Alan Shearer (Blackburn Rovers and Newcastle United)260
Harry Kane (Tottenham Hotspur)213
Wayne Rooney (Everton and Manchester United)208
Andrew Cole (Newcastle United, Manchester United, Blackburn Rovers, Fulham, Manchester City, Portsmouth)187
Sergio Aguero (Manchester City)184
Frank Lampard (West Ham United, Chelsea, Manchester City)177
Thierry Henry (Arsenal)175
Robbie Fowler (Liverpool, Leeds United, Manchester City)163
Jermain Defoe (West Ham United, Tottenham Hotspur, Portsmouth, Sunderland, Bournemouth)162
Michael Owen (Liverpool, Newcastle United, Manchester United, Stoke City)150

Alan Shearer is the all-time leading goalscorer in the Premier League, having scored 260 goals for Blackburn and Newcastle. The former England captain also scored 23 goals for Southampton in the First Division before it was rebranded as the Premier League.

Indeed, a different picture emerges when we also take the First Division era, from 1888 to 1992, into account alongside the 29 seasons of the Premier League.

Top of the overall charts is Jimmy Greaves, who found the back of the net 357 times for Chelsea, Tottenham Hotspur, and West Ham United.

Which Players Have Finished as Premier League Top Scorer?

(Last 10 seasons)

Player(s), Club and GoalsSeason
Erling Haaland (Manchester City), 362022/23
Mohamed Salah (Liverpool), Son Heung-min (Tottenham Hotspur), 232021/22
Harry Kane (Tottenham Hotspur), 232020/21
Jamie Vardy (Leicester City), 232019/20
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (Arsenal), Sadio Mane and Mohamed Salah (both Liverpool), 222018/19
Mohamed Salah (Liverpool), 322017/18
Harry Kane (Tottenham Hotspur), 292016/17
Harry Kane (Tottenham Hotspur), 252015/16
Sergio Aguero (Manchester City), 262014/15
Luis Suarez (Liverpool), 312013/14

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Greg Lea

787 Articles

Greg Lea is a freelance soccer journalist from London. He is the former editor of The Set Pieces, and has contributed to the Guardian, FourFourTwo, and ESPN. A Crystal Palace fan, he is a long-time subscriber to the belief that it's the taking part that counts. Email: [email protected]

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