Atlanta Braves vs Milwaukee Brewers Predictions, Betting Odds & Picks
- Battle of two extremely underrated pitchers
- Two teams desperate for consistency
- X-factors to watch on both sides
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Atlanta Braves vs Milwaukee Brewers Odds
|Team||Run Spread||Money Line||Total|
Trends to Watch
- Braves are 5-0 in their last five road games
- Braves are 6-1 in last seven games vs NL Central
- Braves are 5-1 in last six road games vs. a right-handed starter
- Braves under are 5-1 in last six road games
- Over is 4-1 in Braves last five games vs a right-handed starter
- Under is 5-2 in the last seven head-to-head meetings
- Brewers are 1-4 in the last five overall
- Brewers are 2-7 in the last nine games after a loss
- Brewers are 1-5 in the last six home games
- Brewers are 2-8 in last 10 vs NL East
- Under is 4-1-1 in Brewers last six overall
- Over is 5-1-1 in Brewer’s last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Braves vs Brewers Predictions and Picks
The Brewers have been sliding of late, losing five of their past six home games and four of their last five overall. The offense continues to struggle — scoring two runs or fewer in four of their last six games and just 11 overall during that stretch.
Atlanta meanwhile has bounced back nicely after getting swept by the Blue Jays — and are looking for a sweep of their own against The Crew. With the way Ynoa has pitched this year, it’s not a stretch to think they get it. We like the Braves money line and the under.
Garcia’s 2021 record: (18-11-2)
How to Watch Atlanta Braves at Milwaukee Brewers
|Atlanta Braves vs Milwaukee Brewers Information|
|Teams||Atlanta Braves at Milwaukee Brewers|
|Location||American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI|
|Time||Sunday, May 16, 2:10 p.m. EST|
|How to Watch||Bally Sports South, Bally Sports Wisconsin, MLB.TV|
Unheralded Pitchers Look for Signature Wins
Atlanta has been desperate to find ways to win all year and Huascar Ynoa having the early signs of what appears to be the breakout season of his young career has been a pretty good way to stay afloat in the NL East.
The 22-year-old right-hander has been one of the bright spots for the Braves, going 3-1 through his first eight starts, ranking top 15 in the league in ERA (2.23) and WHIP (0.89) while striking out 44 in 40.1 innings.
Outside of one forgettable outing in Chicago last month, he’s done very well and has been on a hot streak as of late. Ynoa is 4-0 in his last four outings, making it into the sixth inning or further in every start and giving up just three combined runs over 24.1 innings.
Not to be outdone, Freddy Peralta is also enjoying the best early starts of his young career. The 24-year-old from the Dominican Republic has never started more than 14 games in a season — he’s halfway there already this year and pacing with the best numbers fo his career.
Peralta is 3-1 and ranks top 20 in the MLB in ERA (2.77) and WHIP (0.95). Peralta has made two starts thus far in May — the first was the worst of his season but the most recent may have been the best of his career. The righty went seven strong innings, giving up just one hit, one walk, and zero runs while striking out eight, but the bullpen ended up blowing the game.
The point being, both pitchers should come in on their A-game.
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Both Sides Trying to Figure Out How to String Wins Together
While these two teams had different levels of expectations entering the season, it’s fair to say they both expected to win. The Braves thought they could compete for the World Series while the Brewers were hoping to surprise and win the NL Central.
While both could still very well happen, at this point, neither feels all that likely.
An old Detroit Tigers manager named Sparky Anderson always said you can’t judge a team until you get to 40 games. More often than not, that’s right around when you can get a sense for what the teams are going to be.
These teams, thus far, just seem to be fighting for the .500 line.
Milwaukee was once 17-10 but after going 3-10 over the past 13 games, finds itself a handful of games back of the Cardinals in the division. The problem for the Crew has been its inability to generate offense. The Brewers have the third fewest runs scored of any NL team and have scored more than four runs in a game just three times in all of May.
Christian Yelich has missed almost 75 percent of the season thus far, so it’s understandable that the offense is slow, but it should be better than it has been.
The Braves on the other hand are somewhat the opposite both in terms of how they’re losing and why they’re losing. They have avoided the lengthy six-game losing streaks, but constantly either win or lose handfuls of games in a row. Already this year they’ve had four losing streaks of three games or longer and three win streaks of three or more. Atlanta started the season 0-4 and has been fighting to get above .500 ever since. They got even at 12-12 a few weeks back, but have since fallen just below the line once again.
If the Braves are going to figure it out, it has to start with the pitching staff — they’ve given up the third most runs of any team in the NL.
X-Factors to Watch
As we pointed out for Milwaukee, what’s going to be most important on Sunday is if can generate timely hits. In that regard, if we’re going with who’s been best lately, it’s going to be Avisail Garcia.
Going into Saturday’s game, Garcia is batting .313 (5-for-16) over the last week with power — belting two home runs and four RBIs for an elite 1.139 OPS.
For Atlanta, Robert Acuna Jr. is still nursing a sore ankle, and while he’s still perfectly capable of having a big day seeing as he leads the team in every major offensive category including batting average, home runs, RBIs, OBP and OPS, we’re going to go with someone else
Freddie Freeman, coming off of an MVP season, is finally starting to show signs of heating up after a cold start to the season. Freeman is hitting .304 (7-for-23) the past week with two home runs and three RBIs for a team-best .973 OPS during that stretch.
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Tony writes about baseball for WSN.com after recently graduating with his Masters from the Medill School of Journalism at Northwestern University. Prior to that, Tony was a local sports reporter for MLive Media Group, based out of Jackson, Michigan where he covered everything from high school to professional sports. He graduated from Michigan State in 2015 with a degree in journalism. During his time there he covered the Michigan State football and men’s basketball teams from 2013-15 and hosted a sports radio show on WDBM 89FM.