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Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Nothing But Pitching Props

Written by: Bryan Zarpentine
Published April 29, 2024
11 min read
Best MLB Prop Bets Today 04 29 2024

Monday is an interesting day because our slate of MLB prop bets is entirely made up of pitchers. We didn’t necessarily set out to do that, but that’s how things have shaken out. There are some good pitchers on the mound, but also some we’re concerned about and have decided to fade. Take a look at our pitching props for Monday with odds from DraftKings Sportsbook, which is offering $200 in bonus bets to all new users who make a $5 bet.

For more betting opportunities check our list of the best MLB betting sites and curated list of MLB promos and bonuses.

Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Yankees vs. Orioles (6:35 PM, EST)

Grayson Rodriguez Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-120) at DraftKings

Rodriguez is one of our favorite pitchers to target, especially when it comes to strikeouts. Granted, the Yankees are close to the bottom third of the league in strikeouts. However, Rodriguez has reached six strikeouts in four of his five starts this season, so we can’t ignore the value. Even in his last start when he lasted just 4.2 innings and gave up seven runs, Rodriguez still had seven strikeouts. He also has a good history against members of the Yankees, so we think he’ll have no problem hitting six strikeouts.

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Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Cardinals vs. Tigers (6:40 PM, EST)

Steven Matz Over 5.5 Hits Allowed (-110) at DraftKings

Matz has had a couple of good starts this year, but he's also gotten shelled in his last two outings. The lefty has allowed at least six hits in three straight starts, including starts in which he failed to get out of the fifth inning. Matz doesn’t collect a lot of strikeouts and is trending in the wrong direction, which is why we can see him giving up a lot of hits on Monday. The Tigers have a lot of talented right-handed hitters and have won five of their last seven games, so they are trending upward.

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Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks (9:40 PM, EST)

James Paxton Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+115) at DraftKings

This is a low threshold, but with Paxton striking out just two batters over his last two starts, we like that trend to continue. To his credit, Paxton has a 2.61 ERA and has pitched well. But he’s gone beyond five innings just once in four starts, which doesn’t give him a lot of time to rack up the strikeouts. Paxton is also facing an Arizona lineup that ranks near the bottom in strikeouts. In other words, we’d be surprised if Paxton leaves this game with at least four strikeouts.

Tommy Henry Over 4.5 Strikeouts (-105) at DraftKings

On the other hand, we think Henry will register a big strikeout number against the Dodgers. His performances this year haven't been overly impressive, but he continues to miss bats. Henry has at least five strikeouts in five of his last six starts despite not always going that deep into games. While the Dodgers have a talented lineup, that doesn’t mean they don’t strike out a lot. Most of them haven’t faced Henry either. That should allow the lefty to get to at least five strikeouts, even if he gives up a few runs along the way.

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Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Braves vs. Mariners (9:40 PM, EST)

Max Fried Under 1.5 Walks (+120) at DraftKings

Fried was a disaster early in the year, but he looks like he’s settled down a little. He tossed a complete-game shutout against the Marlins in his last, allowing three hits and no walks. In fact, Fried has now allowed one walk or less in three of his last four starts. If nothing else, his control has improved and he’s not afraid to go after hitters. The Mariners are middle of the pack in terms of drawing walks, so it’s not as if they’re overly patient. That should result in Fried limiting his walks once again.

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Bryan Zarpentine

199 Articles

Bryan Zarpentine is a 2008 graduate of Syracuse University and has been working as a freelance writer and editor since 2010. During that time, he has contributed to countless sites while covering baseball, soccer, the NFL, college football, and college basketball.

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