With a pair of Cy Young contenders set to take the mound, we kick off Friday’s slate of games fading the Milwaukee Brewers and Pittsburgh Pirates as both offenses will continue to struggle with generating Hits. Later in the night, we turn our attention towards Kansas City and Minnesota as negative regression looms large over the Royals top of their order as they face off against Pablo Lopez who excels at avoiding contact.
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After struggling to find his footing earlier in the year, the Pittsburgh Pirates Paul Skenes has seemingly got into a groove as the betting favorite for the NL Cy Young award has conceded a combined two Earned Runs in his last two outings. His recent performance has helped him strengthen his position for the pitchers award as the Pirates ace is currently averaging an ERA of 2.44, a WHIP of 0.941, a FIP of 2.74, and more than one Strikeout per Inning Pitched.
Against Milwaukee, Skenes will have the opportunity to sustain his high level of play as he faces off against a Brewers offense who ranks in the bottom half of the board in Team Total Hits, RBIs, Total Runs Scored, and in On Base Percentage. Especially with Christian Yelich and Jackson Chourio struggling to make contact at a competitive rate in the top of their order as both players possess a Batting Average lower than 0.250 and a OPS less than 0.700.
Like Skenes, Freddy Peralta will also have the opportunity to put together a dominant performance as he faces off against a Pirates offense who ranks below league average in the same previously mentioned metrics. Their inability to make contact will be on full display against Peralta as the Brewers pitcher averages less than one Hit Against per Inning Pitched and a WHIP of 1.060. Expect Peralta to thrive and keep a clean sheet in the first inning.
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Arguably no one in the league has been hotter than the Minnesota Twins as their recent stretch of play has helped them leap up to second place in the AL Central division standings. Their defense played a major role during that span as their offense continues to struggle to play at a competitive level. As of writing, the Twins rank near the bottom of the board in Team Total Hits, RBIs, Total Runs Scored, Bases on Walks, and in On Base Percentage.
The Brewers struggles on offense are poised to persist on Friday night as they face off against Noah Cameron who has been dominant since the start of the season. In his brief appearances, Cameron is averaging an ERA of 0.71, a WHIP of 0.632, and less than one Hit Against per Inning Pitched. Cameron’s back end also gives him a high level of support as the Royals defense currently ranks top-10 in Defensive Efficiency and in Fielding Percentage.
On the other side of the field, the Minnesota Twins Pablo Lopez is set to take the mound to battle it out against a Royals offense who struggles with getting on base. Even though the Royals make contact at a high rate, their inconsistent play hurts their chances of advancing their runners into scoring position. With Lopez getting the start, expect the Royals offense to continue to underwhelm as the Twins pitcher averages an ERA of 2.40 and a WHIP of 0.933.
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Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets - Clayton Kershaw vs. Griffin Canning - With Clayton Kershaw averaging over two runners on base per Inning Pitched and a FIP of 7.50, expect his struggles on the mound to persist as he faces off against a New York Mets offense who ranks above league average in Contact Rate and in On Base Percentage.
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros - Emerson Hancock vs. Ryan Gusto - Positive regression looms large over the Houston Astros offense as they face off against the Seattle Mariners Emerson Hancock who averages an ERA of 6.21, a WHIP of 1.680, and over one Hit Against per Inning Pitched.
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