Top 5 Best Picks for Homestead-Miami Speedway - Predictions & Odds

It’s the final race of the 2019 NASCAR Monster Energy Cup Series, which means that it’s also the last chance to make bank before next season.

Homestead is one of the most unpredictable tracks when it comes to results.

Few drivers have a top 5 finish ratio above 30%, which means that it can very well be anyone’s race.

While the Championship 4 drivers have dominated the Ford EcoBoost 400 in recent years, we’ve seen some occasional party crashers.

These five drivers could show up in the mix among the contenders.

How to Watch

What: Ford EcoBoost 400

Where: Homestead-Miami Speedway in Homestead, FL

When: Sunday, November 17th at 3:00 PM EST

How: NBC (TV) | Motor Racing Network (Web radio) | NBC Sports App

Favorites to Win the 2019 Ford EcoBoost 400

1. Alex Bowman

While he has been out of the championship fight since Kansas, Bowman is coming off a top 5 finish at Texas.

After a tough stretch from Talladega to Martinsville, the Hendrick Motorsports driver is seemingly getting back on track.

His record at Homestead isn’t particularly great, but he could still score a decent result this weekend.

Bowman has shown a remarkable improvement in 2019, scoring his first career win at Chicago.

Considering that most drivers on the grid do not have great results at Homestead, his odds for this race offer a great opportunity to cash in.

2. William Byron

Just like his teammate, Byron has been out of the championship fight since the Round of 8.

The second-year driver had a bit of a breakthrough in the most recent playoff races, which included a career-best finish at Martinsville.

Byron is still pursuing his first career win, although it doesn’t like he will score one in 2019.

Again, this pick is less about his career record at Homestead in the Cup Series and more about his good odds.

In his only start at the Miami oval, the Hendrick Motorsports driver finished down in 24th.

Bowman has the potential to score a top 5 finish this weekend, and he does have a good record at Homestead in the other national series.

He won the Truck Series race in 2016 and scored a third-place finish in the 2017 Xfinity Series race to clinch the title.

3. Kurt Busch

Kurt Busch is tied for fourth among active drivers with four top 5 finishes at Homestead.

The Chip Ganassi Racing driver has three top 10 finishes in his last ten starts at the track.

Busch scored a win back in 2002 and has two pole-positions at the Miami oval as well.

He finished tenth in last year’s race, so the 2004 champion is a bit of a riskier pick for a top 5 finish.

It could offer a decent payout, but Busch would be a safer pick for another top 10 finish.

4. Aric Almirola

Aric Almirola is riding on a good streak right now, having scored his best finish of the season at Texas.

The Stewart-Haas Racing driver now has two top 5 finishes in his last four starts, with one stage win.

Despite finishing ninth, he ran in the top 5 for most of the day.

Almirola also had another top 5 finish at Homestead back in 2010.

Given that the rest of the field does not have a particularly great record at the track, Almirola does have a shot at a good result.

5. Brad Keselowski

The safest pick among the five drivers listed here, Keselowski has five top 10 finishes in his last six starts at Homestead.

The 2012 champion’s 14.09 average finish at the Miami oval ranks him eighth among active drivers.

The Team Penske driver has three top 5 finishes in his last five starts at Homestead.

Keselowski had a strong start to the 2019 playoffs, scoring three consecutive top 5 finishes.

He has endured a poor run in recent races, with four results outside the top 10 in the last five races.

Homestead offers one final chance to close out the year on a high note.

2019 Ford EcoBoost 400 – Odds

The latest odds for Ford EcoBoost 400 are provided by DraftKings Sportsbook.

Good luck!

Team DraftKings
Kyle Busch +325
Denny Hamlin +325
Kevin Harvick +325
Martin Truex Jr +325
Kyle Larson +800
Joey Logano +1400
Brad Keselowski +2000
Chase Elliott +2500
Ryan Blaney +4000
Alex Bowman +5000
Kurt Busch +5000
Erik Jones +5000
Clint Bowyer +6000
William Byron +6600
Aric Almirola +8000

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