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UConn finished the season with a point differential of +17.6
The Huskies have won four of their last five games by 14+ points
Northwestern’s bench scored just three points against FAU
UConn earned the tournament’s top seed, and they showed why on Friday. The Huskies demolished Stetson in the first round, but they’ll face far more of a challenge against Northwestern tonight.
Below, we will explain everything you need to know about tonight’s UConn vs. Northwestern game. We’ll share the latest odds and insights, giving you everything you need to bet confidently.
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UConn has been the best team in the country for almost the entire season. They led the Big East in scoring (81.7 PPG) and opponent scoring (64.1 OPPG) and finished with the second-best point differential in the country (+17.6). Those are incredible stats, considering they play in the Big East alongside a couple of other powerhouses. Their blowout of Stetson was expected, and many see them doing the same to Northwestern today.
We agree that bookmakers have the Wildcats as a massive underdog heading into tonight’s games. UConn does almost everything well, while Northwestern’s strengths are more limited. The Wildcats’ most dangerous talent on offense is their ability to hit the three, but UConn defends that very well.
In addition to being better in scoring and defense, UConn is also a FAR better-rebounding team. Northwestern will rely on the three-point shot, making rebounding a key factor. Even if they shoot well, it won’t matter if they can’t steal enough offensive rebounds.
Northwestern started the tournament with a bang by beating FAU, a Final Four from last season. The game was close, but Northwestern dominated FAU 19-7 in overtime. It was an impressive win, showing the Wildcats' determination and ability to score in bunches.
While it was a great win, there are two major red flags from the win. The first is that they needed overtime to beat a shaky FAU team. The Owls struggled a bit in the AAC, signaling that they were far from the same team that came within a few points of making the National Championship game. To shift from that to one of the best teams in recent memory (and last year’s winner) will be a very tall order.
The other red flag is Northwestern’s depth. While they had no problem rallying in the overtime, their bench scored just three points, with only two playing more than one minute. The Wildcats’ duo of Ryan Langborg and Boo Buie are capable of doing a lot of scoring, but they’ll need more to stay close with a team like UConn.
This is a ton of points to give up, but UConn has covered that in four of their last five games. While Northwestern is a solid team, they don’t have any edge over this UConn team. While they can be dangerous from deep, UConn is one of the best teams in the country at defending the three.
Unless there is a slew of injuries, the Huskies should have no problem covering this massive spread.
When: Sunday, March 25 at 7:45 PM EST
Where: Barclays Center in Brooklyn, NY
TV: truTV
Streaming: March Madness Live App
Michael is an avid sports fan and a veteran bettor from Milwaukee. He learned the trade from his grandfather in Las Vegas as a kid and has turned that into a successful career. He cheers for all Wisconsin pro teams along with his Alma Mater Arizona State. He specializes in baseball betting, but has experience in football, basketball, and hockey as well. When he isn’t pouring over stats, he’s spending time with his two young children.
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